In the Q3 earnings call, Elon Musk, Debov Taneja, and other executives highlighted strong demand exceeding production, driven primarily by Full Self-Driving (FSD). FSD paid subscriptions in North America reached over 75% of deliveries, with global paid customers surpassing 1.7 million, half of which are on subscriptions. FSD is expected to secure full EU approval within a few months, and no later than Q1. Automotive margins excluding credits rose sequentially from 16.3% to 18.1%, and inventory order backlogs reached a four-year high.
The CyberCab fleet in Austin scaled exponentially, growing tenfold since launch, with weekly double-digit growth in unsupervised autonomous miles. Expansion to Dallas is scheduled for next month, with software releasing broadly in V15 to enable customer vehicles to join the robot taxi fleet by Q2 next year. Energy storage deployments reached 13.7 gigawatt-hours with gross margins improving from 20.4% to 33.1%, and Megapacks remain nearly sold out through 2027. Optimus has entered early production on a high-volume line in Fremont, with a million-unit annual production line targeted over the next year and customer deliveries outside Tesla anticipated near the end of next year. The Austin-based TerraFab research facility will begin commissioning machinery in the first half of next year, targeting initial test chips around May or June and useful volume production by Q3 of 2028. Total capital expenditure guidance for the year was revised to approximately $20 billion, supported by cash flow and up to $30 billion in secured borrowing capacity.
Following the call, host Travis reviewed the results and takeaways. He noted that the 75% FSD attach rate and rapid exponential growth in unsupervised robot taxi miles signal a successful quarter. The recurring subscription model is generating high-margin annual recurring revenue that changes the business profile. Although the stock dipped slightly after the call, he viewed the underlying business progress as strong, emphasizing that long-term investors should focus on the unfolding autonomy and robotics roadmap. CapEx came in lower than expected at $4.7 billion for the quarter, and full-year guidance was revised downward. Deliveries for CyberCabs are anticipated for fleet customers by the end of this year, and software updates in V15 will enhance parking, mapping, and destination handling. Despite external political noise and negative chat sentiment, the core investment thesis around autonomy, energy, and robotics remains on track.