The Twenty Minute VC (20VC): Venture Capital | Startup Funding | The Pitch - 20VC: The Future of Datacentres: What You Need to Know | Why Everyone Gets GPU Depreciation and AI's Energy Costs Wrong | Who Really Makes Money From AI & Why Most Moats Don't Exist with Chase Lochmiller
In a captivating interview on 20VC, Chase Lockmiller, CEO of Crusoe Energy, offered a deep dive into the company's ambitious journey to become an "AI super major," following their recent $3.9 billion Series F round. Lockmiller shared insights into Crusoe's unique vertical integration strategy, the evolving landscape of AI infrastructure, and his personal philosophy shaped by mountaineering and a prior career in quantitative finance.
Lockmiller began by connecting his passion for mountaineering to Crusoe's company culture, emphasizing resilience, preparedness for change, endurance, and a strong safety mindset. He recounted a personal turning point in 2018 after climbing Mount Everest, where an absence of a clear path led him to consider either investing his own money or tackling significant entrepreneurial challenges. This period birthed Crusoe, initially driven by a goal to build an AI platform, but first monetizing waste energy through Bitcoin mining. He noted that prior financial success empowered him to take bigger risks, leading to bigger outcomes.
The "pivot" from Bitcoin to AI, while appearing external, was an internal long-term goal. Lockmiller highlighted the launch of ChatGPT on November 30, 2022, as the pivotal moment that dramatically shifted global perception and demand for AI compute. Crusoe, having already launched its cloud platform in early 2022, was uniquely positioned. Lockmiller foresaw AI infrastructure being distributed where energy was abundant and low-cost, rather than centralized like traditional data centers. This vision necessitated a deep focus on designing AI-specific data centers and securing energy resources.
Lockmiller stressed that the primary supply constraint today is the lack of suitable places to plug in GPUs. He described the supply chain as a "game of whack-a-mole," where vertical integration allows Crusoe to navigate bottlenecks. As an example, Crusoe developed its own power distribution centers in 28 weeks when market lead times were 100 weeks. This vertical integration not only ensures timely delivery but also provides crucial cost transparency.
Addressing public concerns about data centers, Lockmiller debunked common myths. He stated that modern AI data centers use "pretty close to zero water," citing Crusoe's Abilene facility, which uses water equivalent to only 10 single-family homes annually. He also argued that data centers, contrary to popular belief, often lead to *lower* energy prices for communities by catalyzing investment in generation capacity. Legitimate, albeit temporary, concerns include construction traffic and noise. Lockmiller emphasized the positive impact on local economies through job creation, tax revenue (e.g., doubling school tax receipts in Abilene), and overall economic development.
Crusoe's business model is framed around selling three core products: data centers, GPUs, and tokens. Lockmiller likened Crusoe to an "AI super major," akin to Exxon in the oil and gas industry, vertically integrated across upstream, midstream, and downstream operations. This strategy inherently hedges against market fluctuations; for instance, while GPU rental margins are currently high due to shortages, Crusoe's diverse offerings (including managed inference and fine-tuning services) provide flexibility across different margin profiles. He highlighted that the "GPU is actually the most valuable thing in the entire data center," making efficient utilization and management of memory (like the KV cache) critical for delivering tokens cost-effectively.
Regarding chip depreciation, Crusoe uses a six-year cycle, but their strategy of abstracting away the underlying chip through managed services aims to extend monetization for much longer. Lockmiller expressed optimism about the ingenuity of application developers in creating value from compute capacity, noting that early financers often underestimated the longevity of chip value. He acknowledged the challenge of forecasting demand but pointed to Crusoe's focus on modular, manufactured data centers to enable more just-in-time AI infrastructure delivery.
Lockmiller concluded with personal reflections, emphasizing the importance of prioritizing family despite a demanding career by consciously scheduling and being present. His "unpopular belief" is that data centers are positive assets for communities, deserving of celebration for their economic and social contributions. He expressed that he doesn't worry about income or wealth inequality, believing the overall value creation by AI will benefit humanity. Looking back, the Chase of 2018 would find the scale and realization of Crusoe's ambitious vision "unbelievable," particularly the profound impact of AI and the sheer number of people (nearly 2,000) who have invested their careers in the company.