Chris Hohn, founder of TCI, one of Europe's most successful funds and a major charitable foundation, joins Nikola Tangan to discuss investment philosophy and philanthropy.
Hohn emphasizes the importance of "high barriers to entry" or "moats" in good investments. These moats make it difficult for competitors to enter the market and erode profits. Hohn distinguishes this from simply focusing on growth or newness. While distressed assets or cheap, low-quality assets can be good investments if trading at significant discounts, he prefers businesses with sustainable competitive advantages.
These moats can take various forms: irreplaceable physical assets (like airports, toll roads, telecom towers), intellectual property (aircraft engines), installed base, scale, network effects (Visa, Meta), strong brands (McDonald's), and high customer switching costs (mission-critical software). Crucially, Hohn values sustainable moats with multiple layers of defense. He underscores that competition destroys profits, and substitution can eliminate a business.
While recurring revenue streams are important, Hohn prioritizes essential products and services over discretionary ones. He uses the example of rating agencies whose services are ultimately essential. He stresses the distinction between growth driven by volume versus price, highlighting the immense value of pricing power – the ability to raise prices above inflation. Companies with pricing power can experience significant profit growth even with moderate volume increases.
Hohn discusses the double-edged sword of regulation. While low barriers to entry invite competition and substitution, extremely high barriers can attract regulatory scrutiny. The ideal situation involves weak and rational competition.
He steers clear of certain industries he deems inherently risky or unprofitable, including banks (due to leverage, opacity, and potential for mismanagement), auto manufacturing, retail, insurance, commodity manufacturing, tobacco, traditional asset managers, fossil fuel utilities, airlines, wireless telecom, and media (due to competition and disruption).
He analyzes Microsoft as an example of a tech company with a strong moat due to bundling and customer switching costs. While investing in Alphabet, he acknowledges the increasing competition in search. He believes that AI will generally increase productivity but will dramatically disrupt certain sectors like call centers and Indian outsourcing.
Hohn explains that his team first evaluates the strength and sustainability of a company's moats before considering valuation metrics. They focus on long-term valuations using discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis. The longer the investment horizon, the greater the value of companies with durable competitive advantages and compounding earnings power. He argues the best businesses outperform over time and often the short term market fluctuates around that long term trend.
Hohn posits that the best businesses in the public market are often superior to those in the private equity space because private equity firms are typically limited to smaller, less-dominant companies. He believes sales occur when views of intrinsic value are not as good as other things and when faith begins to wane.
Regarding his approach to investing, Hohn emphasizes humility, a willingness to acknowledge errors, a focus on company fundamentals rather than market speculation, long-termism (with an average holding period of eight years), concentration in a few high-conviction investments, and the use of intuition. He defines intuition as "thinking without thinking," a form of pattern recognition operating beyond pure intellect.
Hohn touches on his journey from aggressive activist to engaged owner, finding the need for constructive discussion with businesses. He emphasizes good governance matters.
Hohn describes his experiences shorting Wirecard, emphasizing the danger of shorting. It is difficult to short because the asymmetric risk and reward. And because you can be correct but have to eventually cover.
The TCI corporate culture is small, collegiate, and based on intangible trust. Hohn prioritizes cultural fit and long-term team dynamics over raw talent.
A significant portion of TCI's profits are channeled to charitable causes, with a focus on climate change and children's health in Africa and India. Hohn sees philanthropy as a "soul urge" rooted in a desire to serve humanity.
Hohn addresses the backlash against ESG, particularly the "E" (environmental), lamenting the mindset that prioritizes short-term profits over the well-being of the planet and future generations. He emphasizes the necessity of a shift in consciousness to address global challenges effectively.
Finally, he advises young people on a spiritual path to embrace the reality of the spiritual world and connect to their souls, seeing it as the source of real purpose, meaning, and joy.