User Upload Audio - 33,500% RETURN - Mark Minervini's VCP Setup that made him Millions $$$
发布时间:2024-10-12 16:43:38
原节目
这段文字记录了马克·米勒维尼(Mark Minervini)、马克·里奇二世(Mark Richie II,昵称 Marky)和布兰登·赫奇帕斯(Brandon Hedgepath)之间的讨论,他们都是经验丰富的交易员,隶属于 Minervini Private Access。他们分享了在交易中实现“超级业绩”的经验、见解和策略,重点关注心态、风险管理、仓位管理和卖出规则。对话从他们职业生涯早期的错误开始,布兰登和 Marky 回忆起他们最初的“风格漂移”,不断从一种策略跳到另一种策略,而没有精通任何一种。对他们来说,一个转折点是参加了马克·米勒维尼的大师交易员课程(Master Trader Program,MTP),该课程提供了一种一致且永不过时的市场方法。布兰登甚至卖掉了他的汽车来参加,这表明了他的决心。
马克·米勒维尼强调了个人责任的重要性,呼应了威廉·奥尼尔(William O'Neil)的观点,即亏损是由于市场或股票分析中遗漏了某些要素。马克还强调分析和标记图表以找到共同点。量化交易结果(平均收益、平均损失、胜率)对于理解交易背后的数学和风险至关重要。理想情况下,交易员应该追求 2:1 或更高的盈亏比。
心态在交易成功中起着至关重要的作用。马克强调了选择的力量、对自己的信念以及承担责任。学习和努力工作是必不可少的,但谦逊和向比你更懂行的人放弃你“认为”你所知道的东西也很重要。市场会暴露弱点,你需要管理它们。布兰登强调将交易收益与情绪分开。心态需要随着账户规模的增长而演变,从 1000 美元到数百万美元。基于百分比的方法对于避免与基于美元的损失产生情感纠缠非常重要。
这三位交易员还讨论了多个层面的风险:止损单、流动性、仓位规模和价差。目标是改善“最坏情况”,并创造不对称杠杆,即潜在的上涨空间远远超过下跌空间。
马克展示了两个交易案例:美光科技(Micron,MU)和 IBIT(比特币 ETF),展示了他们买入、趁势卖出和管理风险的过程。在美光科技的案例中,他展示了如何在低点反弹时买入,并增加了现有仓位。在比特币 ETF(IBIT)的案例中,马克多次交易该股票,一路上都获得了超额收益(alpha)。
一个关键点是理解股票的“行为方式”,识别作弊区域的重要性。
逐步建仓是一个重要的讨论概念,包括仓位规模和多元化。当他们的头寸表现良好,显示出吸引力,并且管理好最坏情况时,他们会增加敞口。马克和布兰登不一定会为了开设另一个头寸而平仓一个头寸。然而,关闭和开放的组合通常被使用。
然后,讨论转向 IBIT,包括“免费滚动”的概念,即交易员拿出部分初始利润(在交易朝着正确的方向发展后,最初的趁势卖出)以将风险转移到盈亏平衡点。
讨论强调了专注的重要性,小组不鼓励追逐每一个机会,并将你追踪的股票限制在少数几只。
最后的建议包括时间和继续投入时间的重要性,以及承认有效的方法。
马克·里奇补充了一条关键信息,即进行股票交易,至少一年内摆脱所有的指数和其他外部噪音。
这三位交易员一致强调了风险管理和管理风险以及机遇的重要性。风险应该是一种机遇。马克最后总结说,心态是最重要的。
The transcript features a discussion among Mark Minervini, Mark Richie II (Marky), and Brandon Hedgepath, all experienced traders affiliated with Minervini Private Access. They share their experiences, insights, and strategies on achieving "super performance" in trading, focusing on mindset, risk management, position management, and sell rules. The conversation begins with early career mistakes, with Brandon and Marky recounting their initial "style drift," jumping from one strategy to another without mastering any. A turning point for them was attending Mark Minervini's Master Trader Program (MTP), which provided a consistent, timeless approach to the market. Brandon even sold his car to attend, illustrating his commitment.
Mark Minervini emphasizes the importance of personal responsibility, echoing William O'Neil's sentiment that losses are due to missed elements in market or stock analysis. Mark also highlights analyzing and marking up charts to find common denominators. Quantifying trading results (average gain, average loss, win rate) is crucial for understanding the math behind trading and risk. Ideally, traders should aim for a 2:1 or better reward-to-risk ratio.
Mindset plays a crucial role in trading success. Mark emphasizes the power of choice, belief in oneself, and taking responsibility. Learning and hard work is essential, but humility and the ability to surrender what you "think" you know to someone who knows more is important. The market reveals weaknesses and you need to manage them. Brandon highlights separating trading gains from emotion. The mindset needs to evolve as account size grows, from $1,000 to millions. A percentage-based approach is important to avoid emotional entanglement with dollar-based losses.
The three traders also discuss risk on multiple levels: stop-loss orders, liquidity, position sizing, and spread. The goal is to improve the "worst case scenario" and create asymmetric leverage, where potential upside far exceeds downside.
Mark presents two trade examples: Micron (MU) and IBIT (Bitcoin ETF), showing their processes for buying, selling into strength, and managing risk. With Micron, he demonstrated how to buy coming off of the lows and added a larger position to his existing position. With Bitcoin ETF (IBIT), Mark traded the stock multiple times, capturing alpha along the way.
A key point is the importance of understanding how a stock "acts," identifying cheat area’s.
Progressive exposure is a key concept discussed, including position sizing and diversification. They increase exposure when their positions work well, are showing traction, and managing the worst-case scenarios. Mark and Brandon don't necessarily close one position to open another. However, a combination of closed and open is often used.
Then, the discussion turns to IBIT, including the concept of "free rolling," where the traders take a portion of the initial profit (the initial sell into strength after the trade moves in the right direction) to move the risk to break even.
The importance of focus is stressed, with the panel discouraging chasing every opportunity and limiting the stocks that you track to a handful.
Final advice included the importance of time and continuing to put in the time as well as acknowledging what worked.
Mark Ritchie was able to add a key piece of information, which was to trade, the stock and get rid of all the indexes and other outside noise for at least a year.
The three traders unanimously emphasized the importance of risk management and managing risk and the opportunities. Risk should be opportunity. Mark concluded by saying that the mindset is the most important thing of them all.