This is a transcript of an interview with Christoph Fokke, the CEO of ASML, by Nicola Tangyan, CEO of the Norwegian Song of Wealth Fund. ASML is a critical company that produces lithography systems used to make computer chips. These systems are fundamental to advancements in various fields like healthcare, electric vehicles, communications, and defense.
Fokke explains that ASML's lithography systems print electronic circuits onto chips. They are the sole producer of EUV (Extreme Ultraviolet) lithography printers, which use light with a very short wavelength (13.5 nanometers) to print smaller features. The difficulty in creating EUV light lies in generating enough power to industrialize the tool. ASML has spent over 20 years developing the technology. To create EUV light, they hit a tiny tin droplet with a high-powered CO2 laser 50,000 times per second, hitting it three times for each droplet to optimize the light output. The machines are the size of a double-decker bus and require seven planes and 50 trucks to transport. This size is due to the complex optics needed to guide the light in a vacuum to print the image on the wafer.
The discussion touches on Moore's Law, which posits that the density of transistors on a chip doubles every two years. While some claim Moore's Law is dead, Fokke believes it's still in effect and is crucial for delivering performance, especially for AI. AI is driving an acceleration in demand, with some AI developers wanting a 16-fold increase in transistor density every two years. He anticipates this development to continue for at least another 20 years, driven by innovation.
Developing the EUV technology required over $6 billion and more than 15 years. ASML cultivates a long-term mindset by prioritizing what they believe is right for the industry. They invested in EUV because they saw it as the only scalable technology for providing both resolution and productivity. They were so convinced that the industry would need it that they asked customers to co-invest. This belief in contributing to the industry's advancement by extending Moore's Law is a core value.
ASML also collaborates closely with Zeiss on optics. This relationship is crucial for their success, as both companies focus on their respective strengths and foster a culture of challenging each other.
Regarding AI, Fokke is a firm believer in its potential for humanity. He foresees AI accelerating R&D by leveraging the vast amounts of data generated in their product development and usage. This requires increasingly complex models and high computing power, creating a significant opportunity for companies like Nvidia, AMD, TSMC, Intel, and Samsung. He believes AI is changing the industry, shifting the focus from mobile to AI and driving changes in roadmaps across the industry.
The geopolitical tensions between the US and China pose challenges. The previous era of open collaboration has shifted towards decoupling. This can increase costs, slow down innovation, and disrupt the industry's balance. While China lacks access to EUV, putting them significantly behind in advanced logic, he hopes for better political solutions for global collaboration. Taiwan's role in the supply chain also presents risks, given its geopolitical importance.
Fokke sees that the Chip Acts are useful for kickstarting activity and investment in US, Japan, UK and South Korea, but structural cost competitiveness is critical for the industry. He emphasizes the importance of flexibility, access to capital, infrastructure, and affordable energy.
He also discusses the lack of major technology companies in Europe, attributing it to issues like flexibility, cost, access to capital, and energy prices. He emphasizes the need for political will to reinvest in the future and create opportunities.
ASML's location in Veldhoven, Netherlands, is a legacy of Philips' innovation hub. The company has fostered a strong ecosystem with critical suppliers. He describes ASML's culture as non-political, with employees focused on doing what's right for the company. The culture encourages open debate to drive better decisions.
Fokke believes the key to good leadership is humbleness, authenticity, content, and a focus on simplifying. He remains grounded by continuous engagement with engineers, operations, sales, customers, and suppliers. He emphasizes the importance of storytelling to explain complex topics simply and inspire action. Fokke is personally driven by solving problems and connecting with people. He genuinely enjoys his work, and there has been not one boring day.
He advises young people to focus on finding something they genuinely enjoy and excel at. He emphasizes that success and fulfillment stem from pursuing passions, not chasing titles like CEO. This allows for personal growth, positive impact, and genuine excitement in one’s endeavors. Stress is to be avoided as it clouds good decision-making.