Welcome to Electrified. It's your host, Dylan Loomis. Quick shout out to my newest patron, Keith H. Thank you for choosing to support the channel. Last night at Tesla's Fremont Factory in California, there were some pro-Palestine protesters that were causing some havoc around the factory grounds. And as a result, Tesla closed the facility to protect the workers. The demonstration, one of several in the Bay Area taking place today. Others taking place nationwide. It was all part of a wider effort to disrupt the nation's global economy today. And that included, as you saw, blockades on bridges, roads used for that purpose. As for why Tesla in particular was targeted organizers pointing to a lawn must decision to invite Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to the plant last year. This was most likely short-lived and just a temporary disruption, as far as we know Fremont should be back open and operating today.
Some more information about these layoffs that Tesla have been trickling out over the past 12 to 24 hours. Be careful with all of these, as you have some frustrated employees, ex-employees, I'm sure. Sources are saying some departments are losing around 20% of their staff, and they are not excluding high performers. These layoffs were largely due to poor financial performance. They noted many of those affected were working on projects that have fallen lower on Tesla's priority list. This one was interesting, it looks like Rohan Patel actually gave a comment to TechCrunch, and he said he decided Sunday night to leave Tesla because of big overall changes at the company. Rohan declined to be specific, but he noted in a message, it would be better for me not to speculate. Tesla is going to be stronger than ever, and change is good.
Drew Baglino also decided to comment and confirmed what we speculated about yesterday. He said, I feel good about the impact I've been able to achieve, my leadership team is strong, the energy business I'm responsible for are doing well, etc. Hassan Nizar, who is also on Tesla's policy and business development team, had some really nice farewell words for Rohan saying no one cannot work him, understand every corner of the business better, or immediately take over a room like Rohan. The guy can grasp and process interdisciplinary concepts better than any engineer or scientist I've ever known. Rohan is fearless, he once told me his biggest weakness is he has never seen a pitch he doesn't want to swing at. Knock to throw salt in our wounds here, I just think it's nice to see these Tesla leaders finally get some of the recognition that they really deserve.
Lars, who is still at Tesla, also had some really nice words to share with Drew Baglino, I'm not going to read it, but it's on the screen, so pause if you haven't seen it. Elon liked this post from Chris Zang, he said, I told you Elon has re-entered wartime CEO mode, this scene is familiar to the veterans of the Tesla community, today Elon decided to bet the entire company on Robotaxi, I don't know if all in Robotaxi is right or wrong, I don't have the answer. Naturally, the question becomes, was Elon liking the wartime CEO part of that comment or the betting the company on Robotaxi part? This bet the company narrative gets thrown around a lot in all reality, of course it's not true, Tesla has a strong fundamental business even if Robotaxis don't pan out on the timeline we're expecting.
However, I do think it would be somewhat accurate to say this is a bet devaluation of the company type of move. That's because if Tesla can't solve for Robotaxis in the next few years and they're left with a re-rating of Tesla's valuation just on the current business lines, it's definitely not going to have a PE around 60 where it stands today. Looking at today's numbers just focusing on the bottom for Wall Street's fiscal year 2024 EPS estimates, they're now down to $2.81 for the year, which puts Tesla's forward a PE at 56. I hope this would go without saying but never make financial decisions based on one metric alone, but if we take Wall Street's expectations for this year, given Tesla's stagnant growth right now, even if Tesla's forward PE were to drop to let's call it 40, that would be a Tesla stock price of $112. As always, I just want everybody to be prepared for the possibilities of what could happen here if Elon doesn't go out of his way to calm Wall Street's fears and all of the uncertainty around Tesla right now and there's some sort of delay or hiccup with the Robotaxi rollout, a different type of valuation for Tesla at least in the near term the next 6-12 months could be right around the corner.
Sawyer had pointed out that all inventory vehicles for Tesla not just the Model Y had those inventory discounts removed. The only ones that still have discounts are demo vehicles. Replying to that, Elon said, we are simplifying and streamlining the whole Tesla sales and delivery system, it has become complex and inefficient. I'm not exactly sure what this has to do with inventory discounts and or whether this change has more to do on the internal Tesla side or the external customer facing side, but in the next few days we'll probably have some more info. There is plenty of chatter out there right now that Tesla might start to offer low interest rate financing which would be a really nice offer but for now that's just speculation. Yesterday I had mentioned that it looked like Tesla was not doing any sort of hiring freeze but fast forward to today and that may have changed. If you go to their careers page and search for just North America, there are currently only 5 job listings remaining. Zero in the Middle East. But there are however tens if not hundreds for Asia Pacific and in Europe. This could definitely just be something that's temporary as Tesla and all of the staff globally adjust after these mass layoffs so something to monitor in the weeks ahead. I would guess that some will eventually come back but most likely not all given Tesla's renewed focus on certain departments. There are still a few jobs listed on the official Tesla account on X but not too many.
索耶指出,特斯拉所有库存车辆,不仅是 Model Y,都取消了库存折扣。唯一还有折扣的是展示车辆。对此,埃隆表示,我们正在简化和优化整个特斯拉销售和交付系统,它已变得复杂且低效。我不确定这与库存折扣有何关系,或者这种改变更多地涉及特斯拉内部还是外部客户服务方面,但在接下来的几天里,我们可能会有更多信息。目前有很多关于特斯拉可能开始提供低利率融资的传言,这将是一个非常不错的优惠,但目前仅仅是一种猜测。昨天我提到特斯拉似乎没有进行任何形式的招聘冻结,但快进到今天,情况可能已经改变。如果你去他们的招聘页面并搜索只在北美地区,目前只剩下 5 个职位空缺。中东地区没有。但在亚太地区和欧洲,有十甚至上百个职位。这可能只是暂时的,因为特斯拉和全球员工在裁员后进行调整,未来几周需要密切关注的事情。我猜有些人最终会回来,但很可能不是所有人,考虑到特斯拉重新专注于某些部门。在 X 账户上特斯拉的官方账户仍有一些职位空缺,但并不多。
Replying to James Stevenson, Elon said every half decade or so, Tesla has to do a complete organizational overhaul to reach the next level. That said, our executive tenure is unusually high at well over 10 years at Tesla. We can all speculate as much as we want from outside of the stadium but over the next two years we're going to find out if this is enough from Elon and Tesla to get them to the next level. I know not all of you agree with me here but I want to be on the record right now as saying I think the answer to that is going to be yes. With the Brazilian authorities in full on censorship mode, Elon was quick to recommend a VPN and in a second post about using VPNs he was saying how easy they are to use. Then while Elon's posts as far as we know are not sponsored by Surfshark, today's episode is. While things in America, arguably, are not as bad as things in Brazil yet, in my opinion it's still wise to use a VPN like Surfshark. Clearly even our government is very interested in abusing its power to spy on us by any means necessary and when you layer in the level of nefarious actors online rising, it's questionable why you wouldn't use a VPN like Surfshark. Simply put, a VPN encrypts your online data and activity giving you your online privacy back. It works at home, at your family's house, in the airport or anywhere you're at and Surfshark is one of the only VPNs to allow one account for use on unlimited devices. Surfshark also offers a bunch of other features like changing your IP address to look like it's coming from another country, unlocking new libraries of content, it can get you better deals on flights and hotels, the clean web feature will clean up those annoying websites with ads everywhere, and all of that and more costs less than a cup of coffee per month. So if you'd like to secure your privacy with Surfshark, you can enter my coupon code electrified for an extra three months free at surfshark.deals slash electrified linked below.
Tesla's new spring software update is looking pretty exciting, but sadly it's going to be mostly for those with AMD based cars. So if you're out there still rocking an Intel based chip on a 2021 or prior vehicle, I'm sorry on this one. Model three and wise with the AMD chip are going to get this new immersive full screen vehicles control view when the vehicle is parked. It'll have bigger playback controls and quick access to recent favorites and up next in the media player. It'll also have expandable autopilot driving visualizations with a smaller map in the top right for trip guidance. Auto shift beta is coming to the model SNX 2021 and later.
This can now also shift between drive and reverse based on your surroundings in addition to shifting out of park. Audible is now available as a native media app and as an audible user that's great to hear. By the way, if you have any recommendations drop them below. You'll be able to sync your Spotify queue across vehicles and devices and adjust the playback speed. Now if you listen to electrified on Spotify, that 2x option for my slow speaking self should be there. There's a new hands-free trunk option but only for model SNX 2021 and later and the upgraded model three.
You just stand still behind your trunk with your phone key and then the trunk will open on its own. Maybe this feature is excluding the model Y for now because it does not have ultra-wideband support but that's just a guess. In select countries, you can now get a preview if there's a Sentry Mode event right on your phone. If Sentry Mode triggers the alarm state, you can press and hold on the notification to see a quick video clip. There's increased regenerative braking for SNX 2021 and later on the highway and then rear passengers can now see current trip details time and temperature at the top of the rear touchscreen. No native YouTube music yet and no auto shift for model three and why like many were speculating.
只要站在你的行李箱后面,用手机钥匙按一下,行李箱就会自动打开。也许目前这个功能还没有包括 Model Y,因为它没有超宽带支持,但这只是猜测。在部分国家,你现在可以在手机上立即预览是否有 Sentry Mode 事件发生。如果 Sentry Mode 触发了警报状态,你可以按住通知来查看一个快速视频片段。SNX 2021及更晚版本在高速公路上实现了更强的再生制动力,而后排乘客现在可以在后置触摸屏的顶部看到当前行程详情的时间和温度。目前还没有原生 YouTube 音乐,也没有 Model 3 和 Model Y 自动换挡,就像很多人猜测的那样。
If you're not sure what hardware your Tesla has, just go to controls and then software and then additional vehicle information. In a recent drone flyover from WUWA of the Shanghai export lot, there are some what we believe to be model three ludicrous variants ready for export. There's about 40 of them ready to go, maybe headed to showrooms so I would expect an official announcement sometime in the next two to three weeks if not sooner. The weekly Tesla China data came in at 6230. If you wanted to compare that to week two of quarter one, that number was 7400. I did adjust our little scoreboard right here so in the blue, we have the quarter over quarter comparison which right now through the first two weeks, we're down about 23.3%. The green still shows Tesla's best quarter to date for this metric but that's not really in play in my opinion this quarter.
And at the bottom in the light orange, we have the year over year comparison so for the first two weeks of quarter to this year, we're currently down about 58.3% relative to last year. It's worth noting April 4th through 6 was the tomb sweeping holiday in China so that could have impacted deliveries a bit. Jim Fan and Vidia's senior research manager said humanoid robots will exceed the supply of iPhones in the next decade, gradually then suddenly. Elon added, yeah. I'm not sure if Jim was talking about the annual supply or the cumulative number. All I do know is in 2023, Apple sold about 235 million iPhones. I'm genuinely curious about what you all think about this. Just say yes or no below if you think something like this is going to happen by 2034.
This TikTok video went viral about the cyber truck accelerator pedal or the cover that actually was sliding off and would then get stuck causing unintended acceleration. It seems like an easy fix but the safety regulators have contacted Tesla about this issue. Some cyber truck deliveries the next few days have been canceled or delayed so it sounds like they need until about April 20th to get this problem fixed. In the spring software update, there are some new things for the cyber truck as well, the first one being the much anticipated power share. The colorizer option is now there for the UI so you can pick the color or see your cyber truck in a new wrap. There's new horn and lock sounds, cabin overheat protection, and the turning circle is now improved by 1.6 feet. No word on autopilot or FSD but it's pretty wild that the turning radius can be shrunk by 1.6 feet with just a software update.
I'm guessing after the earnings call next Wednesday, there will be some headlines about Tesla's spiking inventory levels. As far as we can tell, they may jump from around 16 now to the high 20s so figured it was worth showing everybody this chart. This green line is the EV days of supply from Cox Automotive so this is for the US market. The industry average for EV days of supply is 114 days. The industry average for ICE vehicles is 74 days so even if Tesla's days of supply goes into the 30s which I don't think it will, it's still significantly below the industry averages. And what this chart does not factor in for a company like Tesla is that as Tesla grows with more showrooms, they need more inventory on hand for customers to actually experience. I'm not necessarily predicting this but I won't at all be surprised if that inventory number goes back down in quarter two for Tesla. They haven't done price cuts, they've actually had price hikes, they've removed those price cuts for the inventory vehicles.
So really that means one of two things either Tesla has seen their margins go too low and they do actually now have a margin floor that they don't want to go below or there's been a slight uptick in demand that we'll see in the numbers in quarter two. Jordan from the limiting factor shared a helpful chart from BatteryLine that shows us all of the different automakers and battery makers and their 4680 plans. You'll probably have to screenshot and zoom in here but it's interesting to see the game of follow the leader that Tesla has begun. Let's not forget the form factor isn't really the magic sauce here, it's actually what goes inside of the form factor. There are certainly benefits but also some trade offs with a larger form factor but again what we really should be focusing on are things like the tablets design or dry battery electrode, all of the chemistry that's happening inside. It's not just 4680s though there are three companies EVE, BMW and Gosh and that are focusing on the 46 95.
I think one of the most important takeaways here though is that the main Tesla suppliers are all working on some variants of the 46 XXL. If I could ask Elon one question about batteries it might be how much of Tesla's internal cell IP they're willing to share with their suppliers. Sawyer pointed out that Best Buy and Tesla are still partnering together this time around for the Power Wall 3. On the Best Buy website there's a dedicated page to the new Power Wall 3 with some videos and infographics and a link taking you direct to the Tesla site. Martin Broward, a logistics company has come out of the woodwork saying they've been running a pilot with the Tesla Semi since earlier this year.
And real quick we have to give our resident semi-tracker Heinrich Zane some recognition here as he was weeks ahead of this one. We talked about his post back in March when he said Tesla was working with a new customer. So Heinrich if you see this thank you for your efforts keep it up I'll have his X account linked below if you want to go give him a follow. Martin Broward is among several companies in the US to use the Tesla Semi. They called Tesla a leader in the space and said the pilot used two Tesla Semi's running routes to restaurants. They said overall our drivers had positive feedback on how the vehicle performs. The Tesla Semi rises above any other tractor with mobility, center seat configuration and precise movement that allows the driver to navigate safely. The Tesla Semi experience has been impressive since day one. Our drivers had no problem learning the systems and maximizing the features that set these tractors apart. We've been able to push these tractors well beyond expectations and look forward to our electric future.
Martin Broward will review the results of the pilot to consider implementing the Tesla Semi's into our west coast fleet as California state regulations begin to push ZEV starting in 2026. Dan Priestley who works at Tesla on the Semi said these demonstrations with the Semi have provided great product feedback on how to make the best Class A truck while also showing customers how it can fit in their operations. I know people out there are frustrated waiting for the Tesla Semi to enter volume production but one this testing phase is certainly necessary for Tesla to work out any kinks for these vehicles and then two you have to remember we need an entirely separate charging infrastructure for the Tesla Semi. There could always be other supply chain bottlenecks we don't know about but for expectations going forward I'm not expecting any type of volume production of the Semi until 2025 at the earliest.
It's already the middle of April and the foundations have not even been laid at the new Tesla Semi site at Giga Nevada. After a nine week delay Ford has resumed ascending 2024 F-150 lightnings to the dealers. Ford still has not given any information as to what the quality issue actually was. Sawyer shared this video of three GMC vehicles doing the crab walk side by side on the snow. I'm just gonna scroll down a touch here and go ahead and leave this up for a second or two.
Boston Dynamics the company that Hyundai bought back in 2021 announced it's retiring its famous hydraulic humanoid robot Atlas after debuting over 10 years ago. They shared this farewell video with footage of Atlas with some of the failures along the way and while some parts were actually really funny I found myself feeling somewhat sentimental which was pretty weird because I wasn't really even an Atlas fan I just knew what it was. I'm sure Boston Dynamics is retiring this to work on whatever they have next with the billions of dollars flowing into the humanoid space right now. Probably something with more of a commercial focus if I had to guess. At least now people won't be able to make the foolish comparison about how far behind Atlas Tesla is with Optimus.
Rivian just dropped a pretty slick software update of their own where they're actually now grading different charging stations. It grades stations across the US and Canada and gives real-time reliability scores from A to F for different stations. Factors in things like network uptime, the number of successful charging sessions, and peak performance of the chargers. The scores are integrated into Rivian's trip planner and then your car will prioritize which stations have the highest scores when planning your route. They'll be grading not only the Rivian Adventure network but the Tesla Supercharger network as well.
Nissan said they expect to mass produce EVs with some next-gen batteries by early 2029. They're hoping to leap ahead with a new type of battery. They're expecting to start a pilot production line by March of 2025 with commercial production in 2028. Tesla stock closed the day at $157.11 down 2.71% while the NASDAQ was down 0.12%. It was a normal volume day for Tesla trading about 1 million shares above the average volume the past 30 days.
One of the reasons I share this volume metric is so that over time we can see what type of news events actually bring a lot more activity in Tesla stock either way. You also may recall when I started sharing this metric the average volume the past 30 days was about 109 million. So on a daily basis we're now about 14 million shares lower and if you just say an average of about 165 dollars a share that's 2.3 billion dollars that was trading Tesla that's now effectively on the sideline. Again just daily averages here but the point is that there is some money that's waiting to see what's going to happen whether it's the Q1 call or something else.
You guys know I'm not one to hype up any quarterly call for Tesla but I will say given all of the uncertainty right now it would be a great time for Elon to actually lay out some plans and some expectations. I'm not at all personally expecting him to do that but for Tesla stock in the short term it would go a very long way. Don't forget Elon's nudging that VPNs are easy to use your surf shark deal will be linked below. Hope you guys have a wonderful day please like the video if you did you can find me on x linked below and a huge thank you to all of my patreon supporters. you.