Welcome to Electrified, it's your host, Dylan Loomis. First up, Tesla app updates is talking about dot 27 dot five and the summary. Octaview live cam, which includes the left and right pillar cameras may be coming. They did say it's likely part of the holiday update. Tesla has now added waypoints to the trip planner feature and supercharger photos have been added as well. For now, when it comes to waypoints, it looks like you can add up to four. Here's an example of the supercharger photos being added in the app. And here are the pillar cameras that are now added as selectable assets. Yes, I have the same question.
How close will this live octaview can be to the 360 bird's eye view that everyone's been asking for? In case you missed it, Green the Only did point out that Tesla will be adding ways like features, including new routing options and a driver liveliness system. One of those ways like features, the ability to detect fixed and mobile speed and red light cameras. Plus the ability to avoid construction on your route and the option to disable U-turns. It sounds like the updates to the driver monitoring system are going to be targeting those people who try to circumvent that system altogether. It'll be checking not only whether the driver is attentive, but also if they exhibit signs of a human driver.
这款实时八视角点控系统能够多接近大家一直期待的全景鸟瞰视图吗?万一您错过了,Green the Only确实指出特斯拉将会添加类似的功能,包括新的路径选择和驾驶员活力系统。其中一个类似的功能是,能够检测固定和移动的速度摄像头和红灯摄像头。此外还能够避免您行驶路线上的施工,并且提供关闭掉头的选择。这似乎表明驾驶员监控系统的更新将针对那些试图绕过该系统的人。它不仅会检查驾驶员是否专注,还会检测他们是否表现出人类驾驶员的迹象。
In a regulatory filing today, we learned that XAI is looking to raise up to $1 billion in an equity offering. They've already raised $134.7 million in equity financing from a total offering of up to $1 billion. This is definitely worth paying attention to. Don't forget, we just heard that Elon is going to discuss with the Tesla board the potential of Tesla entering into a partnership with XAI. We know Tesla moves quickly, so no guarantees here, but again, something to keep an eye on.
We got the Tesla China weekly insurance number. It came in at $17,400. I know that car news China has it at $17,600, but when you add up the Model 3 and Y and pair that with Roland's numbers, I think the correct number is $17,400, even if it's not, we'll go with that to be conservative. Here's that number plugged into the table. If you wanted to compare it to the same week in Quarter 3, that number was $11,800. So, through the first 9 weeks of Quarter 3, we were at $101,000, which means this is now the first time in Quarter 4 that we have surpassed. That rate as through the first 9 weeks of Quarter 4, we're now at $104.5,000. We're now ahead of the Q3 pace, but it is interesting that the Model 3 ramp is still holding steady right around that 33-3500 mark. It's been the Model Y growth where this number has been increasing. As we said though, all throughout the month of November, the month to watch when it comes to Model 3 plus deliveries domestically in China is going to be December, so it's kicked off with a very strong reading.
You may have already noticed by now, but this is the highest weekly number going back to July of this year. You have to go back to the first half of 2023 to find one week that was better, which was in March at $18,700, then one tied back in June. I believe the all-time high was back in September of 2021 at $23,1004,000 for the week.
CarWow UK just announced some auto awards for 2024, and you guessed it, Tesla is on the list. The Outstanding EV award goes to the new Model 3, and they said the previous Model 3 was still right up with the best EVs, but Tesla made it even better with a massive overhaul to address the weaknesses. It's now much more comfy over bumpy roads and more luxurious to drive, but still as efficient as ever, and of course, the Supercharger network of public chargers is brilliant. Here's part of CarWow's in-depth Model 3 review. I'll have it linked below if you want to dive in. Their score was a 9 out of 10. What's good, very fast, massive range, loads of tech, not so good, can be awkward using the screen for everything. German saloons still higher quality. Controls can be a little fiddly. The overall award, their Car of the Year, did go to the Volvo EX30, getting a score from their expert reviewers of a 10 out of 10.
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Before we touch on this interview between Elon and Sandy, I've seen a fair number of people saying that Sandy's just not a great interviewer complaining that they talked about things that we already know about, and Sandy took some time to kind of share some personal anecdotes, not valuing that time as well as he could have. When it comes to extracting data from Elon in his limited public time, I totally understand the sentiment. I also want to share maybe another side that toward the end of this interview really became apparent. If you watched closely, Sandy was almost on the verge of tears when he thought about how much he appreciates not only Elon's engineering genius and him taking risks being a strong leader who pushes, but also when he stands up for the truth and what he's doing when it comes to free speech. And it's because Sandy's been around and he knows the importance of what Elon is actually doing. Simply put, it was plain as day that Sandy has such a deep, genuine appreciation for Elon and he just wanted to express that to Elon as best as he could.
They did touch on some points we've already made, like the 48-volt system and much less wiring, much less copper, much smaller wire harnesses being required. Then Elon did nerd out a little bit when it came to moving to Ethernet over Canbus, which allows for much higher data rates than typical Canbus on other vehicles. He said he don't need as many point-to-point wires with a high bandwidth bus, not being constrained by the data rate. If the data rate per wire is low with a Canbus, you need many point-to-point wires, whereas if you have a high data rate like Ethernet, you can just attach to the bus and not worry about latency or data loss. Elon did say making these changes though is pretty obvious, he's really just bringing cars into the 21st century. We've had Ethernet for a long time. Nothing really has prevented the car industry from doing this and Elon just said it's making the obvious moves, bringing car electronics to 2023.
And here's Elon on the next gen platform. So we obviously are working on a low-cost electric vehicle that will be made in very high volume. We're quite far advanced in that work. I review the production line plans for that every week. And I think the revolution in manufacturing that will be represented by that car will blow people's minds. It is not like any car production line that anyone's ever seen.
Is this going to have the unboxed system or would this be too much of a question asked?
这将使用未开箱系统,还是这个问题问得太多了?
The thing that's most interesting about this is it's a production system. It's a level of production technology that is far in advance of any water-voted plant on Earth. It's going to be cool. The first production line will be here in the Gigapactrian Texas. That'll be the second place. It would take too long to complete the factory next bill.
We got some EPA and CARB certification documents for the Cybertruck. Troy was the first one I saw to do the math. The numbers most people will want to remember the energy capacity, the size of the pack, 122.4 kilowatt hours, the energy density at the pack level, 170 watt hours per kilogram, and the weight of the pack, 1,587 pounds, or 720 kilograms.
He also added a comparison when it comes to energy density at the pack level. Right now the 4680 cells in the Cybertruck at 170 do still trail the model SNX with 18650s at 187 watt hours per kilogram. But based on his math, this 4680 pack is already ahead of the Rivian R1T large pack at 169 watt hours per kilogram.
Don't forget what Elon said on the Q2 call of last year when talking about the structural pack. He said I think unequivocally from a physics standpoint, it's the superior architecture. It's the A architecture. Now because it's new, we'll start off getting, I don't know, aspirationally a C within an A architecture. But the potential is there to make it radically better. So at this point, maybe Tesla has improved from a C to a B and still further improvements ahead.
On X, James said what we talk about fairly often on the channel when the 4680 topic comes up. A lot of people out there seem to be frustrated here with Tesla's progress, but it seems like they're lacking the broader context. A conclusion I agree with, he said anyone who claims 4680s a failure because Tesla's behind its own ridiculous benchmark it set for itself is not serious and needs to broaden their perspective. That perspective being that Tesla has built this 4680 project from the ground up from conception to final production. As I said, just last week, this is hard for even pure battery makers to do. And yes, it'll take longer for Tesla to hit their own targets. But the only reason they're at where they're at today is because they set those initial targets so high in the first place.
If you really want to get into the weeds on these documents, there was a pretty solid post on Reddit going over some of the main takeaways. I'll have it linked below if you're interested doing some back of the napkin math of my own. If you take the pack weight and then divide that by the energy capacity of 122.4 kilowatt hours, that would be a multiplier of 12.96. If you then multiply that by 50 kilowatt hours, which is supposed to be the size of the range extender, that would be a weight in the neighborhood of 648 pounds.
Now obviously, the range extender is not going to be this heavy because it's not going to have all of the rest of the parts of the main battery pack. However, just based on the weight of the cells alone, the range extender could be anywhere from 350 to 500 pounds. Translation, most people will most likely not be moving the range extender in and out of the Cybertruck on their own.
I just don't want it to be lost on us what Tesla has pulled off with the 4680 cell and the structural pack in the Cybertruck in a pretty short time since they began working on 4680s. That entire startup under the Tesla umbrella is only going to get better.
On X, Elon agreed with a sentiment from whole Mars that the narrative about the Cybertruck being dangerous for pedestrians is nonsense, to which he said, yes, we are highly confident Cybertruck will be much safer per mile than other trucks, both for occupants and pedestrians.
Gene Munster shared some thoughts on the Cybertruck and he asked, is the Cybertruck too structurally expensive to ever be profitable at a $50,000 price point? To this, I would say, given that the entry level Cybertruck starts around $61,000, and yes, it's not available yet, not until 2025, but when that's available, that would mean Tesla would only have to drive the price of that variant down roughly 19% to then offer it at a $50,000 price point.
One thing I'm fairly confident in Tesla is not going to price any vehicle at a place where they think they can never actually make money on the product. Now yes, they're not going to right away at the early phase of the ramp, but once they hit volume production, that's when they'll be able to.
My prediction here is this, at some point this decade, Tesla will sell a Cybertruck for $50,000 or less, and they will make a profit on it. Gene concluded by saying the Cybertruck is the latest evidence Tesla's tech lead is increasing.
There's a new best project in Santa Barbara that was switched on last Friday. That includes 44 Tesla megapacks. A local supervisor said the battery backup would be available when SoCal Edison had to call a public safety power shut off for wildfire safety. And after a survey of businesses, they found that energy security was number two in importance. The megapack is not just some green initiative, but it's solving real-world problems.
Here we have it. The situation with Tesla in Sweden is now expanding to other countries. And at this point, I would say it's kind of something serious to consider, obviously not in a sense of an existential risk for Tesla or anything close to that, but just something that could be material to Tesla's business. Now we have harbor workers and drivers at the Danish Union 3F that are going to stop offloading and transporting Tesla cars to Sweden in about two weeks. This will prevent Tesla from circumventing this blockade by Swedish dock workers who have halted shipments by sea.
Not only is neighboring Denmark joining in on the sympathy strike, but we have Finland and their transport workers union meeting on Thursday to decide how it will respond to the Swedish unions asking them for help. Now we have Danish dock workers, Norwegian dock workers, Swedish dock workers, all joining in on these strikes with Finland now considering getting involved all the while we only have a handful of actual Tesla mechanics that are joining in on the strike. Most of the Tesla employees are still working as normal. The Norwegian unions are also examining whether to organize their Tesla workers in Norway. The leader of Denmark's largest union is now saying solidarity is the cornerstone of the trade union movement and extends across borders.
Looking at sales in Sweden's Scandinavian neighbors markets for 2022 in Norway, Tesla sold 21.3 thousand vehicles, which was more than Sweden itself back in 2022 where they were at about 7500 for the year. You may recall earlier this year talking about Tesla already selling more Model Y's in Denmark this year than any other car in the country's history. My point if all of these Nordic countries end up joining in the sympathy strikes that could be roughly around 100,000 units of volume that are involved in this situation per year. This year out of Tesla's 1.8 million expected deliveries, that's about 5.5%. At this point, I still don't see either side capitulating here so most likely Tesla is just going to keep circumventing these actions by these sympathy strikes. The question is how long can they do that for before enough is enough?
To top it all off, we have a Swedish source reporting that Tesla put out a press release saying they're actually going to expand in Sweden. Nowhere at all do they mention the strike. Nicolas on X added some context. Tesla is opening a new service center that will increase the level of service significantly. Tesla also said they have 40 technicians that travel around to customers throughout Sweden and can perform up to 80% of all cases outside the service centers. And they said it's easy to pick up your car at one of the company's delivery centers. It is pretty wild that this multi-country attack on Tesla can take place, but so far Tesla is standing its ground and pushing back.
Lamborghini just reached a new deal with unions to introduce a four-day workweek for its production workers. Not only are they cutting the hours but they're also raising the wages. Productivity on a four-day workweek will be all over the map depending on who you ask, but I do have friends on a four-day workweek and they love it. I have a strong sense that come 2028 UAW negotiations. This is going to be back on the table for the big three. For Lamborghini, it'll be a rotating two-shift schedule. They'll alternate a five-day week with a four-day week. So overall they'll cut 22 days of work every year.
Mary Barra just confirmed that the next-gen Chevy Bolt is going to arrive in 2025 and it's going to move to the Altium platform. GM did say it'll be buying LFP cells for the new Bolt and it'll be built at a lower cost and on a faster timeline. But GM has said they're no longer going to provide EV production targets other than they're looking to have a million units of capacity in North America come 2025. On the cruise front, Mary Barra said the safety review should be completed in the first quarter. I'm not going to rush either of them. We want to be thorough in what we do and informed because that will then dictate how we go forward from a resource perspective and more importantly from a technology perspective. It'll most likely be quarter one of next year when we learn that cruise is going to operate as a shell of itself like I've been saying now for weeks. As far as we've heard, this new Chevy Bolt is supposed to be built in Kansas after a $391 million factory upgrade. As Alexandra highlighted, just as GM is doing that $10 billion share buyback, they're also raising $3 billion with a debt offering. You can't make this stuff up.
Lucidair is taking a page right out of the Tesla playbook and is simplifying its model lineup. They're going to be offering lower pricing, different customization options and their discontinuing a number of variants. Canadian pricing will be announced on Wednesday. For 2024, Lucid will only offer three air variants, the Pure, the Touring and the Grand Touring. The Air Grand Touring performance has been discontinued. Customers will however have more options when it comes to customization and adding features. Additionally, Lucid has added new comfort and convenience packages. Lucid still searching for sales and I'm not sure that these changes with a $77.4 thousand dollar entry price are going to be enough.
Lucidair正在向特斯拉的策略学习,并简化其车型系列。他们将提供更低的定价、不同的定制选项,并且停产一些车型。加拿大的定价将在周三公布。到2024年,Lucid将只提供三种Air车型:Pure、Touring和Grand Touring。Air Grand Touring Performance已停产。然而,顾客在定制和添加功能方面将有更多选择。此外,Lucid还推出了新的舒适和便利套餐。虽然Lucid的起始价为77,400美元,但他们仍在寻找销售机会。我不确定这些变化是否足以吸引消费者。
Toyota has revealed two new full BEV concepts. However, they're insisting that these will be formally introduced as real cars within the next two years starting in Europe. We're looking at an SUV and a sport crossover. This is part of Toyota's plans to launch six new full BEVs in Europe by 2026.
That Ford battery deal with CATL? It just won an award of its own? Not a good one though. The most egregious misuse of taxpayer funds. This award going to Michigan for offering Ford and CATL $1.75 billion. Other estimates have that number even higher up to $2.2 billion. Meanwhile, Ford has been backing off its original plans, reducing the number of expected jobs from $2,500 down to $1,700. And the word is Michigan's contribution to the project could be nearly as much as what Ford plans to spend on its own factory. Just so you know, this award is coming from the Center for Economic Accountability, who claims to be independent and non-profit. However, we all know what happens when organizations rely on donors, whether intentionally or not. Just know before I say this, there's a lot of ice money in Michigan. Just putting it out there. The CEA president said it's notable that in five years we've now had two electric vehicle battery plants and one EV assembly plant stand out as the worst economic development deals of their respective years. Translation, Legacy Auto has been gifted billions of dollars in funding to make something happen with EVs and so far they've fumbled the rock.
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