Greetings, and welcome to the Microsoft Fiscal Year 2024 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the call over to your host, Brett Iverson, Vice President of Investor Relations. Mr. Iverson, please go ahead. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us today. On the call with me are Satya Nadella, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Amy Hood, Chief Financial Officer, Alice Jallen, Chief Accounting Officer, and Keith Dauliver, Corporate Secretary and Deputy General Counsel.
On the Microsoft and Best Relations website, you can find our earnings press release and financial summary slide deck, which is intended to supplement our prepared remarks during today's call and provides the reconciliation of differences between GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. More detailed outlook slides will be available on the Microsoft and Best Relations website when we provide ALVA commentary on today's call.
Microsoft completed the acquisition of Activision Blizzard on October 13, 2023. You will share more on the expected impact of the Activision acquisition during the ALVA commentary portion of today's call.
On this call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP items. The non-GAAP financial measures provided should not be considered as a substitute for or superior to the measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with GAAP. They are included as additional clarifying items to aid investors in further understanding the company's first-quarter performance in addition to the impact these items and events have on the financial results.
All growth comparisons we make on the call today relate to the corresponding period of last year, unless otherwise noted. We will also provide growth rates in constant currency when available as a framework for assessing how our underlying business is performed, excluding the effect of foreign currency rate fluctuations. Where growth rates are the same in constant currency, we will refer to the growth rate only.
We will post our prepared remarks to our website immediately following the call until the complete transcript is available. Today's call is being webcast live and recorded. If you ask a question, it will be included in our live transmission, in the transcript, and in any future use of the recording. You can replay the call and view the transcript on the Microsoft Investors Relations website.
During this call, we will be making forward-looking statements, which are predictions, projections, or other statements about future events. These statements are based on current expectations and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results could materially differ because of factors discussed in today's earnings press release, in the comments made during this conference call, and in the risk factor section of our Form 10K, Form 10Q, and other reports and filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We do not undertake any duty to update any forward-looking statement, and with that, I'll turn the call over to Sadja.
Thank you, Brett. We are off to a strong start to the Siska Lea, driven by the continued strength of Microsoft Cloud, which surpassed $31.8 billion in quarterly revenue up 24%. With co-pilots, we are making the age of AI real for people and businesses everywhere. We are rapidly infusing AI across every layer of the tech stack and for every role and business process to drive productivity gains for our customers.
Meanwhile, I'll highlight examples of our progress starting with infrastructure. Azure, again, took share as organizations bring their workloads to our cloud. We have the most comprehensive cloud footprint with more than 60 data center regions worldwide, as well as the best AI infrastructure for both training and inference. And we also have our AI services deployed in more regions than any other cloud provider.
This quarter, we announced the general availability of our next generation H100 virtual machines. Azure AI provides access to best-in-class frontier models from OpenAI and open-source models, including our own, as well as from meta and hugging face, which customers can use to build their own AI apps while meeting specific cost, latency, and performance needs.
Because of our overall differentiation, more than 18,000 organizations now use Azure Open AI service, including new to Azure customers. And we are expanding our reach with digital-first companies with OpenAI APIs as leading AI startups use OpenAI to power the AI solutions, therefore making them Azure customers as well.
由于我们在整体差异化方面的优势,目前已有超过18,000个组织使用Azure Open AI服务,包括刚开始使用Azure的新客户。而且,随着领先的人工智能初创公司使用OpenAI来推动人工智能解决方案,我们正在扩大与数字优先公司的合作,借助OpenAI API拓展我们的影响力,也将这些初创公司转变为Azure的客户。
We continue to see more cloud migrations with Azure Arc. We are meeting customers where they are, helping them run apps across on-prem, edge, and multi-cloud environments. We now have 21,000 Arc customers up or 140% year over year.
We are the only other cloud provider to run Oracle's database services, making it simpler for customers to migrate their on-prem Oracle databases to our cloud. Customers like PepsiCo and Vodafone will have access to a seamless, fully integrated experience for deploying, managing, and using Oracle database instances on Azure. And we are the cloud of choice for customers SAP workloads to companies like Brother Industries, Haynes, Zeyes, and ZF Group all run SAP on Azure.
Now on to data. In the age of co-pilots, organizations are looking to consolidate their data estates. That's why with our Microsoft Intelligent Data Platform, we are bringing together operational data stores, analytics, and governance. More than 73% of the Fortune 1000 use three or more of our data solutions today. And with Microsoft Fabric, we are unifying compute, storage, and governance into one end-to-end analytics solution with an all-inclusive business model. More than 16,000 customers are actively using fabric, including over 50% of the Fortune 500.
Now on to developers. With GitHub co-pilot, we are increasing developer productivity by up to 55% while helping them stay in the flow and bringing the joy back to CORE. We have over 1 million paid co-pilot users and more than 37,000 organizations have subscribed to co-pilot for business up 40% quarter over quarter with significant traction outside the United States. This quarter we added new capabilities with GitHub co-pilot chat, which are already being used by both digital natives like Shopify as well as leading enterprises like Merck and PWC to supercharge the productivity of their software developers. All up the number of developers using GitHub has increased 4X since our acquisition five years ago. We have also brought co-pilot to Power Platform enabling anyone to use natural language to create apps, build virtual agents, and analyze data. More than 126,000 organizations including 3M, Equinor, Lumen Technologies, Nationwide, PG&E, and Toyota have all used co-pilot and Power Platform to date. EY, for example, has enabled co-pilot for all 170,000 plus Power Platform users at the company. At this quarter we added new co-pilot capabilities to Power Pages, making it possible to build data-driven websites using just a few sentences or clicks. Finally, Power Apps remains the market leader in low-code, no-code development, now with 20 million monthly active users up 40% year over year.
Now on to business applications. All up Dynamics 365 took share for the 10th consecutive quarter. We are using this AI inflection point to redefine our role in business applications. We are becoming the co-pilot-led business process transformation layer on top of existing CRM applications like Salesforce. For example, our sales co-pilot helps sellers at more than 15,000 organizations including Rockwell Automation, Sandwick, Coromant, Securitas, and Teleperformance personalized customer interactions based on data from third-party CRMs. We are also bringing co-pilot to Dynamics 365 to help with everything from suggestive actions and content ideas to faster access to valuable business data. In this quarter, we introduced co-pilot in Dynamics 365 Field Service to help streamline frontline tasks.
现在让我们谈谈商业应用。Dynamics 365连续十个季度获得份额。我们正在利用这个人工智能的转折点重新定义我们在商业应用中的角色。我们正在成为基于现有CRM应用程序(如Salesforce)之上的副驾驶员引导的业务流程转型层。例如,我们的销售副驾驶员帮助超过15,000家组织,包括Rockwell Automation、Sandwick、Coromant、Securitas和Teleperformance,根据第三方CRM的数据进行个性化客户互动。我们还将副驾驶员引入Dynamics 365,帮助提供建议性措施和内容创意,更快地访问有价值的业务数据。在本季度,我们在Dynamics 365 Field Service中引入了副驾驶员,以帮助简化一线任务。
Now on to industry and cross-industry clouds. In healthcare, our Dragonabian Experience solution helps clinicians automatically document patient interactions at the point of care. It's been used across more than 10 million interactions to date. And with DAX co-pilot, we are applying generative AI models to draft high-quality clinical notes and seconds increasing physician productivity and reducing burnout. For example, atrium health, a leading provider in southeastern United States credits DAX co-pilot with helping its physicians each save up to 40 minutes per day in documentation time. We are also introducing healthcare data solutions in Microsoft fabric enabling providers like Northwestern Medicine and SingHealth to unify health data in a secure, compliant way. And with our Microsoft clouds of sovereignty, which will become generally available by the end of the calendar year, we offer industry-leading data sovereignty and encryption controls, meeting the specific needs of public sector customers around the world.
No one to future a work. Co-pilot is your everyday AI assistant, helping you be more creative in word, more analytical in Excel, more expressive in PowerPoint, more productive in outlook and more collaborative in teams. Tens of thousands of employees at customers like Bayer, KPMG, Mayo Clinic, Suncorp and Visa, including 40% of the Fortune 100 are using co-pilot as part of our early access program. Customers tell us that once they use co-pilot, they can't imagine work without it. And we are excited to make it generally available for enterprise customers next week.
This quarter, we also introduced a new hero experience in co-pilot, helping employees tap into their entire universe of work, data and knowledge using chat. And the new co-pilot lab helps employees build their own work habits for this era of AI by helping them turn good prompts into great ones.
When it comes to teams, usage continues to grow with more than 320 million monthly active users making teams the place to work across chat, collaboration, meetings and calling. This quarter, we introduced a new version of teams that is up to two times faster while using 50% less memory and includes seamless cross-tenant communications and collaboration. We have seen nine consecutive quarters of triple-digit revenue growth for teams' rooms and more than 10,000 paid customers now use teams' premium. Teams has also become a multiplayer canvas for business process. There are more than 2,000 apps in teams' store and collaborative apps from Adobe, Atlassian and Workday each exceeded 1 million monthly active users on teams. And with Viva, we have created a new market category for employee experience, helping companies like Dell, Lloyd's Banking Group and PayPal build high-performance organizations. With skills in Viva, we are bringing together information from Microsoft 365 and LinkedIn to help employers understand workforce gaps and suggest personalized learning content to address it, all in the flow of work.
All up, we continue to see more organizations choose Microsoft 365 and companies across private and public sector, including Cerribris, Chanel, DXC technology all rely on our premium E5 offerings for advanced security, compliance, voice and analytics. No one to Windows. The PC market unit volumes were at roughly pre-pandemic levels. We continue to innovate across Windows adding differentiated AI-powered experiences to the operating system. We rolled out the biggest update to Windows 11 ever with 150 new features including new AI-powered experiences like ClickChamp, Paint and Photos. And we introduced co-pilot in Windows, the everyday AI companion which incorporates the context of the web, your work data and what you are doing on the PC to provide better assistance. We are seeing accelerated Windows 11 deployments worldwide from companies like BP, Eurowings, Cantor and RBC. Finally, with Windows 365 boot and switch, we are making it easier than ever for employees at companies like Crocs, Hamburg Commercial Bank and the ING Bank to get a personalized Windows 365 cloud PC with co-pilot on any device.
Now on to security. The speed, scale and sophistication of cyber attacks today is unparalleled and security is the number one priority for CIOs worldwide. We see high demand for security co-pilot the industry's first and most advanced generative AI product which is now seamlessly integrated with Microsoft 365 Defender. Dozens of organizations including Bridgewater, Fidelity, National Financial and Government of Alberta have been using co-pilot in preview and early feedback has been positive. We look forward to bringing co-pilot to hundreds of organizations in the coming months as part of the new Early Access program so they can improve the productivity of their own security operation centers and stop threats at machine speed. More broadly, we continue to take share across all major categories we serve and our 7 Microsoft Sentinel now has more than 25,000 customers and revenues surpassed $1 billion annual run rate. We have customers in every industry like Booz Allen Hamilton, Grant Thornton and MetLife use our end-to-end solutions to protect their environment.
现在让我们来谈谈安全性。当今网络攻击的速度、规模和复杂程度是空前的,安全性是全球首席信息官的头等大事。我们看到对安全合作伙伴的需求很高,它是该行业中第一个也是最先进的生成型人工智能产品,现在已经与Microsoft 365 Defender无缝集成。包括布里奇沃特、富达、国家财务和阿尔伯塔政府在内的许多组织已经在预览中使用了合作伙伴,并且早期反馈是积极的。我们期待在未来几个月中将合作伙伴带给数百个组织,作为新的早期访问计划的一部分,以提高他们自己安全操作中心的生产力,以及以机器速度阻止威胁。更广泛地说,我们继续在我们所服务的所有主要领域中获得份额,我们的7个Microsoft Sentinel现在拥有超过25,000个客户,并且收入超过了10亿美元的年度营业额。像Booz Allen Hamilton、Grant Thornton和MetLife这样的每个行业都有我们的客户,他们使用我们的端到端解决方案来保护他们的环境。
Now on to LinkedIn. We are now applying this new generation of AI to transform how the 985 million members learn, sell and get hired. Membership growth has now accelerated each quarter for over two years in a row. This quarter we introduced new AI driven features across all of our businesses including a learning coach that gives members personalized content guidelines and tools to help employers find qualified candidates and sellers and marketeers attract buyers in a single step. Since introducing AI assisted messages for recruiters five months ago, three-fourths of them say it saves them time and we have seen a nearly 80% increase in members watching AI related learning courses this quarter.
More broadly we continue to see record engagement and knowledge sharing on the platform. We now have more than 450 million newsletter subscriptions globally up 3x year over year. Premium subscription sign-ups were up 55% year over year and our hiring business took share for the fifth consecutive quarter.
Now on to search advertising and news. With our co-pilot for the web we are redefining how people use the internet to search and create. Campaign users have engaged in more than 1.9 billion chats and Microsoft Edge has now gained share for 10 consecutive quarters. This quarter we introduced new personalized answers as well as support for Dali 3 helping people get more relevant answers and to create incredibly realistic images. More than 1.8 billion images have been created today. And with our co-pilot and shopping people can find more tailored recommendations and better deals. We are also expanding to new endpoints bringing Bing to meta-AI chat experience in order to provide more up-to-date answers as well as access to real-time search information.
Finally, we are integrating this new generation of AI directly into our ad platforms to more effectively connect marketeers to customer intent and chat experiences both from us as well as customers like actual Springer and Snap.
Now on to gaming. We were delighted to close our acquisition of Activision's Lizette King earlier this month. Together we will advance our goal of bringing great games to players everywhere on any end point. Already with Game Pass we are redefining how games are distributed, played and discovered. We set a record for our role for subscriber this quarter. We really start to feel this quarter to broader claim. More than 11 million people have played the game to date. Nearly half of the hours played have been on PC and on launch day we set a record for the most Game Pass subscriptions added on a single day ever. Minecraft has now surpassed 300 million copies sold and with Activision's Lizette King we now add significant depth to our content portfolio. We will have $13 billion plus franchises from Candy Crush Diablo and Halo to Warcraft, Elder Scrolls and Gears of War. We are looking forward to one of our strongest first party holiday line-ups ever including new titles like Call of Duty, Modern Warfare 3 and Forza Motorsport.
In closing we are rapidly innovating to expand our opportunity across our consumer and commercial businesses as we help our customers thrive in this new era. In just a few weeks we will be holding our flagship Ignite Conference where we will introduce more than 100 new products and capabilities including exciting new AI innovations. We will be drawing courage, you to tune in.
Thank you Satya and good afternoon everyone. This quarter revenue was $56.5 billion, up 13% and 12% in constant currency. Our inks per share was $2.99 and increased 27% and 26% in constant currency. Consistent execution by our sales teams and partners drove a strong start to the fiscal year. We saw six-year expectations and we saw share games again in this quarter across many businesses. As customers adopt our innovative solutions to transform their businesses.
In our commercial business the trends from the prior quarter continued. We saw healthy renewals particularly in Microsoft 365 E5 and growth of new business continued to be moderated for standalone products sold outside the Microsoft 365 suite. In Azure as expected the optimization trends were similar to Q4. Higher than expected AI consumption contributed to revenue growth in Azure.
在我们的商业业务中,上个季度的趋势继续延续。我们看到了特别是在 Microsoft 365 E5 方面的健康续订,而独立于 Microsoft 365 套件之外销售的产品的新业务增长仍然受到调节。在 Azure 平台上,优化趋势与第四季度相似,正如预期的那样。预料之外的较高的人工智能消费为 Azure 的收入增长做出了贡献。
In our consumer business PC market unit volumes are returning to pre-pandemic levels. Advertising spend landed roughly in line with our expectations and in gaming strong engagement helped by the Starfield launch benefited Xbox content and services. Global bookings increased 14% and 17% in constant currency in line with expectations primarily driven by strong execution across our core annuity sales motions with continued growth in the number of $10 million plus contracts for both Azure and Microsoft 365.
Commercial remaining performance obligation increased 18% to $212 billion. Roughly 45% will be recognized in revenue in the next 12 months up 15% year over year. The remaining portion which will be recognized beyond the next 12 months increased 20%. And this quarter our annuity mix was 96%. FX did not have a significant impact on our results and was roughly in line with our expectations on total company revenue, segment level revenue, COGS and operating expense growth.
Microsoft Cloud revenue was 31.8 billion dollars in Group 24% and 23% in constant currency ahead of expectations. Microsoft Cloud grows margin percentage increased slightly year over year to 73%. A point better than expected primarily driven by improvement in Azure. Excluding the impact of the change in accounting estimates for useful lives, Microsoft Cloud grows margin percentage increased roughly two points driven by the improvement just mentioned in Azure as well as Office 365 partially offset by the impact of scaling our AI infrastructure to meet growing demand. Security growth margin dollars increased 16% and 15% in constant currency and growth margin percentage increased through over year to 71%. Excluding the impact of the change in accounting estimate growth margin percentage increased roughly three points driven by the improvement in Azure in Office 365 as well as sales mix shift to higher margin businesses.
Operating expenses increased 1% lower than expected due to cost efficiency focus as well as investments that shifted to future quarters. Operating expense growth was driven by marketing LinkedIn and Cloud engineering partially offset by devices at a total company level. Head count at the end of September was 7% lower than a year ago. Operating income increased 25% and 24% in constant currency. Operating margins increased roughly 5.0 over year to 48%. Excluding the impact of the change in accounting estimate, operating margins increased roughly 6 points driven by improved operating levers through cost management and the higher gross margin noted earlier.
Now to our segment results. Revenue from productivity and business processes was $18.6 billion in Group 13% and 12% in constant currency, ahead of expectations, driven by better than expected results in Office 365 commercial and LinkedIn. Office commercial revenue Group 15% and 14% in constant currency. With a bit more in period revenue recognition while buildings remained relatively in line with expectations. Growth continues to be driven by healthy renewal execution and our food growth as E5 momentum remains strong. Paid office 365 commercial seats grew 10% year over year with installed base expansion across all customer segments. Seat growth was again driven by our small and medium business and the cost of the cost was again driven by our small and medium business and frontline worker offerings with continued impact from the growth trends and new standalone business noted earlier. Office commercial licensing declined 17% in line with a continued customer shift to cloud offerings. Office consumer revenue increased 3% and 4% in constant currency with continued momentum in Microsoft 365 subscriptions which grew 18% to 76.7 million. Fixed in revenue increased 8% ahead of expectations driven by slightly better than expected performance across all businesses. Growth was driven by talent solutions though we continued to see negative year over year bookings there from the weaker hiring environment and key verticals.
Dynamics revenue grew 22% and 21% in constant currency driven by Dynamics 365 which grew 28% and 26% in constant currency with continued growth across all workloads. Growth margin dollars increased 13% and growth margin percentage increased slightly year over year. Excluding the impact of the change in accounting estimate, growth margin percentage increased roughly one point driven by improvement in Office 365. Operating expenses increased 2% and operating income increased 20% and 19% in constant currency.
Next, the intelligent cloud segment. Revenue was 24.3 billion dollars, increasing 19% and ahead of expectations with better than expected results across all businesses. Overall, server products and cloud services revenue grew 21%.
Azure and other cloud services revenue grew 29% and 28% in constant currency including roughly three points from AI services. While the trends from prior quarter continued, growth was ahead of expectations primarily driven by increased GPU capacity and better than expected GPU utilization of our AI services as well as slightly higher than expected growth in our per user business.
In our per user business, the enterprise mobility and security install base grew 11% to over 259 million seats with continued impact from the growth trends in new standalone business noted earlier. In our on-premises server business, revenue increased 2% ahead of expectations driven primarily by demand in advance of Windows Server 2012 and of support.
在我们的每个用户业务中,企业移动性和安全的安装基数增长了11%,超过了2.59亿个席位,并持续受到先前独立业务增长趋势的影响。在我们的本地服务器业务中,营收增长了2%,超出预期,主要受到对Windows Server 2012和支持需求的推动。
Segment partner services revenue increased 1% and was relatively unchanged in constant currency ahead of expectations driven by better than expected performance and enterprise support services. Segment gross margin dollars increased 20% and 19% in constant currency and gross margin percentage increased slightly.
Excluding the impact of the change in accounting estimate, gross margin percentage increased roughly 2 points driven by the improvement in Azure noted earlier, even as we scale our AI infrastructure to meet growing demand. Increasing expenses increased 2% and 1% in constant currency, operating income grew 31% and 30% in constant currency.
Now to more personal computing. Revenue was 13.7 billion dollars, increasing 3% and 2% in constant currency above expectations with better than expected results across all businesses. Windows OEM revenue increased 4% year over year, significantly ahead of expectations, driven by stronger than expected consumer channel inventory builds and the stabilizing PC market demand noted earlier, particularly in commercial.
Windows commercial products and cloud services revenue increased 8%, driven by demand for Microsoft 365 E5. Devices revenue decreased 22%, ahead of expectations due to stronger execution in the commercial segment. Searching news advertising revenue ex-tech increased 10% and 9% in constant currency, really ahead of expectations. We saw increased engagement on Bing and Edge share games again this quarter. Although search revenue growth continues to be impacted by a third-party partnership.
Ending gaming revenue increased 9% and 8% in constant currency, ahead of expectations, driven by better than expected subscriber growth in Xbox Game Pass, as well as first-party content, primarily due to the Starfield launch. Xbox content and services revenue increased 13% and 12% in constant currency and Xbox hardware revenue declined 7% and 8% in constant currency. Segment gross margin dollars increased 13% and 12% in constant currency and gross margin percentage increased roughly 5% year over year, driven primarily by sales mix shift to higher margin businesses.
游戏收入以实际货币计算增长9%和8%,超出预期,这主要得益于Xbox Game Pass订阅者增长超出预期,以及一手内容,主要来源于Starfield的发布。Xbox内容和服务收入以实际货币计算增长13%和12%,而Xbox硬件收入以实际货币计算下降了7%和8%。在以实际货币计算方式下,该业务部门的毛利增加了13%和12%,毛利率相比去年大致提高了5%,主要原因是销售结构向利润率更高的业务转变。
Operating expenses declined 1% and operating income increased 23% and 22% in constant currency. Now back to total company results. Capital expenditures, including finance leases, were $11.2 billion to support cloud demand, including investments to scale our AI infrastructure. Cash paid for PP&E was $9.9 billion. Cash flow from operations was $30.6 billion of 32% year over year, driven by strong cloud billings and collections.
Free cash flow was $20.7 billion of 22% year over year. This quarter, other income and expense was $389 million higher than anticipated, driven by interest income, partially offset by net losses on investments and foreign currency remesherment. Our effective tax rate was approximately 18%. And finally, we returned $9.1 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends.
Now moving to our Q2 outlook, which in less specifically noted otherwise, is on a US dollar basis. The activation acquisition closed on October 13th. So my commentary includes the net impact of the deal from the date of acquisition. Our outlook includes purchase accounting impact, integration and transaction related expenses, based on our current understanding of the purchase price allocation and related deal accounting.
The net impact includes adjusting for the movement of Activision content from our prior relationship as a third-party partner to first-party. Now to FX, based on current rates, we expect FX to increase total revenue and segment level revenue growth by approximately one point. We expect FX to have no impact to CODS and operating expense growth in commercial bookings.
We expect consistent execution across our core annuity sales motion, including healthy renewals, but growth will be impacted by a low growth expiry base. Therefore, we expect bookings growth to be relatively flat. Microsoft Cloud growth margin percentage should be relatively flat year over year. Excluding the impact from the accounting estimate change, Q2 Cloud growth margin percentage will be up roughly one point, primarily driven by improvement in Azure and Office 365, partially offset by the impact of scaling our AI infrastructure to meet growing demand. We expect capital expenditures to increase sequentially on a dollar basis, driven by investments in our cloud and AI infrastructure. As a reminder, there can be normal quarterly spend variability in the timing of our cloud infrastructure buildup.
Next to segment guidance. In productivity and business processes, we expect revenue to grow between 11 and 12% or 18.8 to 19.1 billion US dollars. Growth and constant currency will be approximately one point lower. In office commercial revenue growth will again be driven by Office 365 with seat growth across customer segments and our food growth through E5. We expect Office 365 revenue growth to be a roughly 16% in constant currency. We're excited for Microsoft 365 co-pilot general availability on November 1st and expect the related revenue to graduate over time.
In our on-premise business, we expect revenue to decline in the mid to high teams. In office consumer, we expect revenue growth in the mid single digits, driven by Microsoft 365 subscriptions. For LinkedIn, we expect revenue growth in the mid single digits, driven by talent solutions and marketing solutions. It continues to be impacted by the overall market environments for recruiting and advertising, especially in the technology industry where we have significant exposure and in dynamics. We expect revenue growth in the high teams, driven by Dynamics 365.
For intelligent cloud, we expect revenue to grow between 17 and 18% or 25.1 to 25.4 billion US dollars. Revenue growth in constant currency will be approximately one point lower. revenue will continue to be driven by Azure, which, as a reminder, can have quarterly variability primarily from our per user business and from end period revenue recognition depending on the mix of contracts. In Azure, we expect revenue growth to be 26 to 27% in constant currency with an increasing contribution from AI. Growth continues to be driven by Azure consumption business and we expect the trends from Q1 to continue into Q2. Our per user business should continue to benefit from Microsoft 365 sweet momentum, though we expect continued moderation in seat growth rates given the size of the installed base. For H2, assuming the optimization and new workload trends continue and with the growing contribution from AI, we expect Azure revenue growth in constant currency to remain roughly stable compared to Q2. In our on-premises server business, we expect revenue growth to be roughly flat with continued hybrid demand, particularly from licenses running in multi cloud environments. And in enterprise and partner services, revenue should decline low to mid single digits.
Now to more personal computing, which includes the net impact from the Activision acquisition. We expect revenue of 16.5 to 16.9 billion US dollars. Windows OEM revenue growth should be mid to high single digits with PC market unit volumes expected to look roughly similar to Q1. In devices, revenue should decline in the mid teens as we continue to focus on our higher margin premium products. In Windows commercial products and cloud services, customer demand for Microsoft 365 and our advanced security solutions should drive revenue growth in the low to mid teens. Search and news advertising ex-tech revenue growth should be mid single digits with roughly four points of negative impact from a third party partnership. This should be driven by volume strength supported by edge browser share gains and increasing being engagement as we expect the advertising spend environment to be similar to Q1. Reminder that this ex-tech growth will be roughly four points higher than overall search and news advertising revenue. And in gaming, we expect revenue growth in the mid to high 40s. This includes roughly 35 points of net impact from the Activision acquisition, which as a reminder includes adjusting for the third party to first party content change noted earlier. We expect Xbox content and services revenue growth in the mid to high 50s driven by roughly 50 points of net impact from the Activision acquisition.
Now back to company guidance. We expect CODs between 19.4 to 19.6 billion US dollars, including approximately $500 million of amortization of acquired intangible assets from the Activision acquisition. We expect operating expense of 15.5 to 15.6 billion US dollars, including approximately $400 million from purchase accounting adjustments, integration and transaction related costs from the Activision acquisition. Other income and expense should be roughly negative $500 million as interest income will be more than offset by interest expense, primarily due to a reduction in our investment portfolio balance and the issuance of short term debt both for the Activision acquisition. As a reminder, we are required to recognize gains or losses on our equity investments, which can increase quarterly volatility.
We expect our Q2 effective tax rate to be between 19 and 20%. Now some additional thoughts on H2 as well as the full fiscal year. First FX. Assuming current rates remain stable, we expect FX to have no meaningful impact to full year revenue, CODs or operating expense growth. Therefore in H2, we expect FX to decrease revenue CODs and operating expense growth by one point. Second, Activision. We expect approximately $900 million for purchase accounting adjustments as well as integration and transaction related costs in each quarter in H2.
For our full FY24, we remain committed to investing for the cloud and AI opportunity, while also maintaining our discipline focus on operating leverage. Therefore, as we add the net impact of Activision, inclusive of purchase accounting adjustments as well as integration and transaction related expenses, we continue to expect full year operating margins to remain flat year over year. In closing, with our strong start to FY24, I am confident that as a team, we will continue to deliver healthy growth in the year ahead, driven by our leadership in commercial cloud and our commitment to lead the AI platform wave.
With that, let's go to Q&A, Brett. Thanks, Amy. We'll now move over to Q&A. Out of respect for others of the call, we request the participants please ask only one question. Joe, can you please repeat your instructions? Yes. Ladies and gentlemen, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad and a confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment, please hold it full for questions. And our first question comes from the line of Keith Weiss with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed.
Thanks, Ellen. Thank you for taking the question and very nice quarter. The pace of innovation you guys have been putting out has been pretty amazing and new products like garnering traction probably faster than we've expected on our side of the equation. But we're also working in a overall spending environment that remains volatile at that. And I think investors are getting more concerned on it. So two questions on this.
One, based on sort of the new products and the innovation, do you think you guys can sustain the type of commercial growth that we saw on Q1 as we go through the year or the environment too tricky for that? And then when it relates to investment, Amy, you've been able to keep overall optics for the very low and the very low disc quarter. At some point, should we be thinking about a return to a more aggressive investment behind all this product innovation?
Yeah, maybe I can start, Keith, and you can add to it. Overall, there are multiple things, Keith, that are all happening obviously simultaneously. If you just take Azure and try to characterize where's the growth for Azure coming from? Or what sort of drivers for Azure numbers? There are three things all happening in parallel. Like for example, take cloud migrations. A good reminder of where we are and even the core cloud migration story is the new Oracle announcement. Once we announced that the Oracle databases are going to be available on Azure, we saw a bunch of unlock from new customers who have a significant Oracle estate that have not yet moved to the cloud because they needed to run the route with the rest of the app estate in one single cloud. And so we're excited about that. So even the financial services sector, for example, is a place where there's a lot of Oracle that still needs to move to the cloud.
The second thing, of course, is the workload start, then workloads get optimized, and then new workloads start. And that cycle continues. We'll lap some of those optimization cycles that were fairly extreme, perhaps in the second half of our fiscal. And the third thing is for us, that's unique and different is new workload starts around AI. Given our leadership position, we are seeing complete new project start, which are AI projects. And as you know, AI projects are not just about AI meters. They have lots of other cloud meters as well. So that sort of gives you one side of what's happening in terms of enterprise.
The other piece is on the fast side. Obviously, again, this is a new product that's going to go through the enterprise adoption cycle. The results are on productivity, which we demonstrated with GitHub co-pilot, is what's giving us good confidence. And our customers, more importantly, good confidence around what these products represent in terms of value. And so we're in the very, very early innings there. And so we look forward to seeing the traction for these products going forward.
I'll keep maybe just a few things to add. And then I'll talk a little bit about the operating leverage, which is the second part of your question. In general, we solve very consistent execution from Q4 to Q1. And that's what we're talking about in DQ2. I think that speaks to our value prop, which is where if it's not Q1, it speaks to making sure that customers are getting a very quick return on value, real productivity improvement, real savings. So that when we're asking at renewal or talking about E5 upgrades or talking about AI services, that those come with real promises of high value scenarios. And so I think that is an important piece, as you think, about stability and commercial demand.
And then if you think about the nature of your question, it was partially why I talked about in my full year guidance that now, even with the addition of Activision and purchase accounting impacts, integration impacts, we still feel confident we can deliver consistent operating margins to last year. And it speaks to, I think, some of the improvements we're making in Azure and even Microsoft 365 grows margins, even in the core of the commercial cloud. It speaks to the pace at which we're delivering AI revenue with the increasing cost expense and capital investment ahead with the demand we see. And although you're right, our operating expense comparables in H2 get more challenging than in H1, we're really focused on making sure that every dollar we put and commit is back to the priorities we talked about, which is commercial cloud leadership and leading the AI way. And so I think that focus is really helping on both execution and leverage.
Excellent. Thank you, guys. Thanks, Keith. Jill, next question, please.
太棒了。谢谢你们。谢谢,Keith。Jill,请问下一个问题。
The next question comes from the line of Mark Mortler with Bernstein Research. Please proceed.
下一个问题来自伯恩斯坦研究的马克·莫特勒。请继续。
Thank you very much, and congratulations on a really strong quarter. AI has been far stronger than expected. Your guidance for Azure this quarter, and while you discuss higher utilization and more GPUs have helped, has the fact that Microsoft has a full AI DevStack, co-pilot reference architecture and plug-in architecture been a meaningful factor, not just from a revenue perspective, but also even potentially from a margin perspective. In addition, can you give us any color on whether Azure GPUs predominantly model training or are we seeing a lot of inferencing yet from clients? Thanks.
No, thank you for the question, Mark. Yeah, it is true that we have, you know, the approach we have taken is a full stack approach all the way from whether it's chat, JPT, or Bing chat or all our co-pilots, all share the same model. So in some sense, one of the things that we do have is very, very high leverage of the one model that we used, which we trained, and then the one model that we're doing inferencing at scale. And that advantage sort of trickles down all the way to both utilization internally, utilization of third parties, and also over time you can see that sort of stack optimization all the way to the silicon, because the abstraction layer to which the developers and our writing is much higher up than low-level kernels, if you will. So therefore, I think there is a fundamental approach we took, which was a technical approach of saying we'll have co-pilots and co-pilots stack all available. That doesn't mean we don't have, you know, people doing training for open source models or proprietary models. We also have a bunch of open source models. We have a bunch of fine tuning happening, bunch of R and LHF happening. So there's all kinds of ways people use it, but the thing is we have scale leverage of one large model that was trained and one large model that's being used for inference across all our first-party SaaS app, as well as our API in our Azure AI service. And the reason Mark, that's important is that it means even beyond the point that you made is that when it comes to our ability to leverage the infrastructure that we're building out, we don't really have a preference in terms of how people are utilizing that infrastructure, whether it's through all the means that Satya mentioned. It gives us a good opportunity to see quick conversion into revenue.
Yeah, I mean, one other thing I would just add to perhaps Mark's question as well as Keith's is in a, this platform transition, I think it's very important for us to be very disciplined on both our tech stack as well as our capital spend all to be concentrated. The lesson learned from the cloud side is this, we're not running a conglomerate of different businesses. It's all one tech stack up and down Microsoft's portfolio. And that I think is going to be very important because that discipline, given what the spend like, it will look like for the AI transition, any business that's not disciplined about their capital spend accruing across all their businesses could run into trouble.
Extremely helpful. Thank you so much. Thanks Mark. Until next question, please.
非常有帮助。非常感谢你。谢谢你,马克。下一个问题,请。
The next question comes from the line of Brent Till with Jeffries. Please proceed.
下一个问题来自Jeffries的Brent Till,请继续。
Thanks, Amy, good to see the 12% growth. Many investors are asking, can you sustain double digit growth, especially with a stronger AI boost coming in the next several quarters? You know, I think looking at our, they said Q1 was a strong start to the year. Q2 certainly implies that we talked about stability for Azure into the second half of the year looking at an in line with what we're seeing for Q2. And so I think we feel good about our ability to execute, but more importantly our ability to continue to take share. Thanks, Brent. Joe, next question, please.
Next question comes from the line of Ramon Lenschel with Barclays. Please proceed.
下一个问题来自巴克莱的Ramon Lenschel,请继续。
Hey, thank you. You sound very optimistic about the opportunity in the office base with the core pilot coming out now very soon. Can you speak a little bit about what you're seeing there in the customer base that tested this already in terms of how excited it were, the special features there? And what does it mean in terms of adoption curve for that going forward once you go OGA and first of November? Thank you.
Thanks, the question Ramon Lenschel.
The good news is twofold. One is the fact that what is 40% of the Fortune 100 are already in the preview and are using the product and I think you all have also done lots of checks and the feedback is very, very positive. And in fact, the interesting thing is it's not any one tool, right, which is the feedback even sort of is very clear that it's deep all up. You just keep hitting the core pilot button across every surface, right, whether it's in word to create documents in Excel to do analysis or PowerPoint or Outlook or Teams. Like clearly the Teams meeting, which is an intelligent recap, it's not just a dumb transcript. It's like having a knowledge base of all your meetings that you can query and add to essentially the knowledge terms of your enterprise. And so we are seeing broad usage across and the interesting thing is by different functions, whether it's in finance or in sales, like by roles, we're seeing productivity gains like we saw with developers in GitHub Copilot. So that's the data. We are very excited about our Ignite Conference where we will talk a lot more about all of the use cases and where's the value and give more prescriptive guidance on how people can deploy. But it's so far so good as far as the data is and the feedback is. And of course, this is an enterprise product.
I mean, at the end of the day, we are grounded on enterprise cycle times in terms of adoption and RAM. And it's incrementally priced. So therefore, that all will apply still, but at least for something completely new to have this level of usage already and this level of excitement is something we're very, very pleased with. Thank you. Thanks, Trevor.
To your next question, please. The next question comes from the line of Carl Kierstedt with UBS. Please proceed. Okay, great. Thanks, Amy. That's on the 28% concurrency azure growth that's terrific. I wanted to press you a little bit on the outlook for Azure. You're obviously guiding to a one to two point detail in December and then stable thereafter. But why would it be stable? Why wouldn't it accelerate in the second half of your fiscal year if the AI contribution is increasing as you bring on more GPU capacity? Is this a function of perhaps continued core XAI as you spend optimization, continuing or maybe even getting slightly worse? Why couldn't we see some upside in that Azure number? I know you're trying to be conservative, but I just love to understand it. Thanks so much.
Thanks, Carl.
A couple things as I talked about Q2 and then into H2. We've been very consistent that the optimization trends have been consistent for us through a couple of quarters now. Customers are going to continue to do that. It's an important part of running workloads. That is not new. There obviously were some quarters where it was more accelerated. But that is a pattern that has been a fundamental part of having customers both make new room for new workload adoption and continue to build new capabilities. I think that impact remains through the rest of the year. My view has unchanged on that.
Then of course, I think the key component has always been new workload starts. At the scale we're talking about being able to have stability in our Azure business does mean that we will have a lot of new workload starts. Primarily, we're expecting those to come from AI workloads. But AI workloads don't just use our AI services. They use data services and they use other things. That combination, I think, looking on a competitive basis, we feel good about our execution, we feel good about taking share and we feel good about consistent trends. I feel good about that guide and what it says about where we are on share.
Terrific. Thanks. Thanks, Carl. Joe, next question, please.
太棒了,谢谢。谢谢,卡尔。乔,下一个问题,请。
The next question comes from the line of Brad Fills with Bank of America. Please proceed.
下一个问题来自美国银行的Brad Fills。请继续。
Oh, wonderful. Thanks so much. Very impressive to see the Office 365 commercial seat growth hanging in here in that double digit range. It's very impressive just given the scale of that business. We think of Office as having such a dominant market position. Curious how you think about where that seat is coming from and how many more of those seats are out there to go get?
Thanks for that question. Maybe I'll take that copy if you want to add. In general, our seat growth does come from all segments, but with a particular strength and small and midsize businesses as well as what we call the frontline worker opportunity. That has been, I would say, looking back a number of quarters where the majority of our seat growth has gone. While obviously it's slowed a bit to your point, I think the fact that we're still able to add seats at this level speaks to the broadening nature of what Microsoft 365 means. It's more applicable to more people.
I think many people have thought, oh my goodness, you've got a lot of customers already. We look and say, how many people when you expand what Microsoft 365 means, whether it's security or it means analytics or it means teams and lots of things in an expanding definition, it applies to more types of workers and frankly, the value is such, especially on the small business front, where it's to the point where I think people feel like it's a great way to spend even the spend money they have. This remains a pretty compelling offer.
Thank you. Thanks Brad. Joe, next question, please.
谢谢。谢谢,布拉德。乔,接下来请问一个问题。
The next question comes from the line of Brent Braceland with Piper Sandler. Please proceed.
下一个问题来自Piper Sandler的Brent Braceland。请继续。
Thank you, good afternoon. One thing that really stood out to me was the intelligent cloud segment operating margins. These came in, I think, at the highest level in six years despite elevated AI investments. Was there a one-time tailwind here that helped or are you at the point where Azure has got a common to scale where Microsoft could sustain high margins even with an ambitious AI investment cycle?
Thanks for that question. I think there are a couple things going on and I would say in particular, this was a very good leverage quarter in that segment. Number one, the Azure revenue growth and the stability we're seeing in it absolutely is a help to operating leverage. The second component of that is our core Azure business. The team continues to deliver thoughtful growth margin improvement across both technical decision, software implementations, our teams on the infrastructure build side have done really good work to deliver that and so that's been helpful as well. And then of course, on operating expenses, there's been a good focus on continuing even within that segment to make sure we're focusing that work on leaving in the AI transition with Azure. And so you're right, even as we're investing in AI infrastructure, which will and should show up as revenue, it'll also show up in Cogs and still deliver good margin. But this does have a slightly, as I talked about earlier, easier comp in Q1 and Q2, given it was some of our highest growth operating expense quarters in our company's history a year ago.
Makes sense, thank you. Thanks Brent. Jill, we have time for one last question.
没问题,谢谢。谢谢你,布伦特。吉尔,我们还有时间最后一个问题。
And the last question, we'll come from the line of Greg Moskowitz with Mizzouo. Please proceed.
最后一个问题,我们将由Mizzouo的Greg Moskowitz提出。请进行提问。
Okay, thank you very much for taking the question and maybe just have to follow up to a print which is asking about put on the growth margin line. Any, the Microsoft Cloud growth margins up two points a year of a year, exclude and use for life change. A little more improvement than we've seen in some time and some investors were worried that it might go in the other direction given increased AI investments. And so, as you look forward, do you think that you could drive some continued growth margin improvement over the medium term and even as higher CAPX? We'll filter into the model.
Thanks. Yeah, let me break that into two components because they're both important and the really good question, Greg. On our core business, the core Azure business, the core Office 365, M365 business, dynamics business, they continue to deliver growth margin year over year improvements in the core. And so that, like in other quarters, has helped this quarter.
In addition, what Tati mentioned earlier in a question, and I just want to take every chance to reiterate it. If you have a consistent infrastructure from the platform all the way up through its layers, that every capital dollar we spend, if we optimize revenue against it, we will have great leverage because wherever demand shows up in the layers, whether it's at the SaaS layer, whether it's at the infrastructure layer, whether it's for training workloads, we're able to quickly put our infrastructure to work generating revenue. Or on our being workloads, I mean, I should have mentioned all the consumer workloads use the same frame. And so when you think about our investment in AI, yes, it will, because we're committed to leading this way, then see demand, you will see that impact in CODS growth. But what we're committed to doing is making sure it's highly leveraged and making sure you see the same growth in revenue. And I think, you know, on occasion, you may see something tick up, you know, one or two points of the other one not quite get there. But the point is it's going to be very well paired because of the choices we've made over the past, frankly, numerous years to get to a point where that infrastructure is consistent. And I just add that it'll be very well paired at the company level.
You know, I realize all of you care a lot about each one of our segments and each one of our KPIs that I do too. But at the end of the day, our stack and the way it works, the way we do our capital allocation, the way we think about even the optimization of the demand to utilization is across the entirety of all of our segments and all of our products.