Hey everybody Rob and we're here and today we've got a major 4680 battery production update. We've also got a new product introduced by Tesla, Raps for vehicles. Take a look at those. We've got a business unit sale and a few other items as well.
Looking at the stock, Tesla down about a quarter percent today, closing at $262.99. The NASDAQ pretty nice day, up 7.10% of a percent and that was despite the producer price index or PPI report coming in. A little bit higher than expectations this morning. So from Bloomberg we can see the recap here. The producer price index headline number was up half a percent month over month versus expectations of about three tenths of a percent and core, so excluding food and energy. That was up three tenths of a percent versus expectations of about two tenths of a percent.
So with that being a little bit higher normally you'd expect maybe a little bit of a subdued reaction with the market as that could lead to higher interest rates later on if PPI stays a little bit higher. Obviously these aren't really too far outside of the range but still would like to see them probably coming down a little bit further. Anyway if we look at the CME Group's FedWatch tool, we can see that actually over the last day and over the last week certainly expectations for a continuation of paused interest rates at the next FOMC meeting in November have actually increased. So despite the higher PPI results, still more market expectations for rates to stay the same.
So what seems to be going on here is just based on some recent Fed commentary as we can see from a New York Times article today. Looks like there are Fed comments that sort of indicate that maybe the Fed is still kind of thinking pause and it seems to be outweighing the results that we saw here from the producer price index. So we'll see CPI will be tomorrow. We'll see if that kind of comes in similarly but we'll keep an eye on that.
Getting into the news for Tesla, kind of an exciting update here. Tesla has shared on X that they have just built their 20th million, 20 million 4680 sell at Gigatexas. So we last heard an update from Tesla on this outside of the commentary that they shared on the Q2 call back in June six on June 16th. So a little bit less than four months ago, Tesla had produced their 10 million sell at Gigatexas.
So at the time we weren't 100% sure if that meant 10 million 4680 in total or 10 million specifically at Texas, we leaned more towards the latter just that it was Texas production, which seems to have been the case based on Tesla Q2 earnings call comments. So presumably this is still the same. This would be 20 million just at Gigatexas rather than 20 million total produced at Gigatexas. So a little bit unclear, but that is again where I lean on this update pretty strongly.
So nice to see this obviously 10 million cells in last, you know, again, just a little bit over a quarter, that's a little bit less than a gigawatt hour. So that would mean a little bit less than a four gigawatt hour annual run rate over that period. However, obviously this should be something that is ramping over time. So now that we're in October, this should actually suggest a higher run rate than that. So take a look at that we've got some good forecasting or extrapolating that was done from Jordan Giesige of the limiting factor, always a fan of his work. He actually put a forecast out or next again extrapolation out of Tesla's growth rates in the second quarter if that kind of continued basically up 21% month over month.
That would lead to the 20 million the cell being produced in pretty early October and right on schedule with that previous growth rate, that's where we've ended up. So a really great job of forecasting that out here. And with some of the other math that Jordan has done with that extrapolation, that would suggest that right now Tesla is roughly right around a five gigawatt hour annual run rate on 46 A.V. is just at Texas. And again, if that kind of continues to grow, we're almost doubling that, you know, that run rate quarter over quarter, a little bit less than that, but pretty close to it.
So very exciting growth in terms of the 46 A.D. production. Nice to see that that growth is stayed on track.
非常令人激动的是,46年生产方面的增长非常突出。很高兴看到这种增长依然保持在正轨上。
And that's kind of despite Tesla, as they talked about on the Q2 call, really starting to do the next generation, what they're calling the cyber cell with 10% greater energy density, starting to get that ramped up.
So obviously for five gigawatt hours, the big question is, you know, can that support the cyber truck ramp? Is this going to be a limiting factor for the cyber truck ramp?
Five gigawatt hours, you know, depending on the pack size of the cyber truck, whether that falls somewhere probably between 100 kilowatt hours and 200 kilowatt hours, then you're looking at, you know, 25,000 to 50,000 sort of run rate that that could support.
So it should be enough cells right now at this level of production to support the early ramp of the cyber truck. As long as Tesla is hitting their, you know, sort of energy density requirements and things like that, then we should have enough cells here for the initial part of the of the ramp, which is really good news. And hopefully this will continue to ramp at, you know, a similar pace here and be able to continue to support that as Tesla gets the rest of the cyber truck up to speed. But good to see that at least right now that doesn't appear like it would be something that would be a major constraint in terms of the ramp.
So I'm sure we'll get a little bit more color on this on the Q three call here in a little bit less than a week or I guess a week from today. I'm sure Tesla will talk about it and hopefully share a little bit more details on that. But very exciting to see this milestone and glad to see that the progress that we saw on Q two, which was pretty substantial, has now continued and become even more substantial here in the third quarter.
All right, next kind of the interesting update that we got from Tesla last night, they've added a new product to the Tesla shop. So this is color wraps. They also have a clear wrap option that's a little bit cheaper, but color wraps for the model three and the model Y that are between $7,508,000.
So they're not actually in the design studio, not a part of the order configuration. However, this would be done after after delivery at a service center. Right now, Tesla says that this is only available at two service centers in California, so pretty limited in terms of the scope or availability at this point.
But Tesla is offering, I think, seven different colors here. You know, you can kind of go and flip through those if you want on the Tesla shop page, but an interesting new option, of course, obviously the question is, is Tesla doing this in preparation for the cyber truck, and I think there would be, you know, some pretty strong relation in that certainly timing wise, there seems to be.
And we've obviously seen Tesla do a lot of wraps with the prototype vehicles, which they seem to kind of been testing out. So I would like to see them if they kind of, you know, go further into this direction, I would like to see it be a factory option where you're not doing it necessarily at the service center. But I think Tesla probably right now is doing this on the three in the Y and sort of a sort of a test or a small scale way, just to kind of see how that'll play out with the cyber truck.
So there's been a lot of discussion on the costs here. Eight thousand dollars, obviously that's significantly more expensive than any of the paint options Tesla has. It's more expensive than wrapping a vehicle would be just aftermarket with a vinyl wrap.
But something that's important to note is that this is basically a P.P.F. or paint protective film wrap. So Tesla specifies here self self healing your thing based film protects the paint beneath from chips scratches and swirling if I could read today.
But one of the, you know, this is what I've got actually got on my car is P.P.F. not obviously not a colored version of it. So you're actually getting kind of a wrap aesthetic with the paint protective film, which is a pretty significant difference from vinyl.
So when I got my car wrapped, I did a video on this. It was a couple of years ago now, but I did link to that in the description if you just want to kind of see a little bit more behind the scenes on that.
Obviously you can see from this shot right here. I don't know specifically what film Tesla is using, but it is pretty strong and protective, obviously as the name implies of the vehicle. So a little bit more value than something like a vinyl wrap would be, which is, you know, just kind of more of a color version or, you know, color option versus this is actually very protective of the paint.
So kind of interesting to see that. And again, I think that plays into what we'll see with the cyber truck. Tesla Scope had shared on X that they have been told that Tesla will offer a cyber truck or app service. So no surprise, but it sounds like that'll happen within the first six months of customer deliveries. So we'll keep an eye out for that. And I don't imagine Tesla's probably got some kind of interesting ideas there for the cyber truck as we've seen again on those prototypes.
All right. Next up, we've got a new EV survey. So we talked about one of these probably a few weeks ago now at this point, but kind of similar results, so this is a new poll from Ipsos and Yahoo Finance says that 57% of respondents, I think they surveyed just over 1000 people, I believe again, a representative sample, but 57% of respondents answered that they are not likely to purchase an electric vehicle as their next car with concerns about cost driving range and lack of charging stations among the top concerns. And kind of interestingly, the poll also found that of the brands they would be most likely to purchase for an EV Toyota actually stood at the top at 30% with Tesla second at 23%. So good to see Tesla up there. Maybe a little bit surprising to see Toyota at 30% above there, but this actually misreports on what the actual question was. If we look at it a little look at it in a little bit more detail. The actual question was when thinking about purchasing a fully electric or plug-in hybrid EV, which automakers are you most likely to consider. So I think when you throw a plug-in hybrid EV that completely changes things certainly for Toyota, at least in terms of perception. So maybe a little bit less surprising to see these kind of results.
However, what I actually thought was most interesting with these survey results was that only 30% of people that responded were familiar with programs like the Federal EV tax credit. So again, you've got seven out of 10 potential customers that don't necessarily understand that they could be getting $7,500 off potentially. That's a huge difference and then only 20% of buyers were familiar with recent price cuts of electric vehicles, obviously significantly from Tesla. So you've got 80% of people not really understanding that they've been these significant price cuts. We're talking 20% here and then another 70% of people that don't know you can get another 15% off. So there's no surprise there that sometimes the perception is that a Model Y or a Model 3 costs $70,000 to $80,000 without this understanding. So it kind of supports the survey that we talked about again a couple of weeks ago. It's just a survey. You can't necessarily take a ton away from it, but there does seem to be a pretty strong indication that there are gaps in understanding in terms of what the actual situation is for EVs right now, even just pricing and that's sort of step one. Like if they don't even know how much the car costs, how are they supposed to understand things like the charging network and all else that comes along with actually owning an EV. So it would be nice to see some increased awareness out there and hopefully Tesla can help drive that through various ways.
All right, next we've just got a quick update on China numbers. So we'd previously talked about wholesale sales for September. So those came in at about 74,000. So that's export and retail. We now have the breakdown of that. Previously it had been indicated that there was a little over 30,000 exported. We now have that final number 30,000, 566, which leaves 43,000, 507 retail or domestic sales for China for September. So obviously a little bit of a dip from what we had seen in August, which was relatively high number, but still a pretty strong result there for that of the month, especially when we consider the lack of availability on the Model 3. We don't need to spend much time on this because again, the most interesting number for us for September is going to be that model three production number, which we still don't have. So hopefully we'll get that in the next couple of days. And as soon as we do, we'll keep an eye out for it or I'll pass along.
Speaking of model three highland, we've got an update from WUWA again at the port in Shanghai. Continue to see just rows and rows and rows and rows of model three highland, which is exciting and hopefully shows that Tesla is proceeding through this ramp pretty quickly. So again, we'll look at for that production number, which will give us our first real clue at some of those numbers. And obviously the photos here.
All right. Next, we've got an update from Tesla Hong Kong on X that the first V4 supercharger has now opened in Asia. So we've been talking about this over the last few days for US V4 superchargers. Obviously, originally these were being installed on the in Europe pretty slowly. Now we've seen a handful in the US. Now we're seeing one in Asia. So it really does look like the V4 supercharger ramp is happening in pretty full force. So good to see that, I'm sure we'll continue to see that expand.
All right. Next, we've got kind of an interesting update here. We've talked about Tesla's acquisition of Wifurian a couple of times now. So this was a relatively small acquisition for Tesla, but it looks like they had something in mind here pretty specifically because they have now already sold this off to Pulse, which has announced that they have acquired Wifurian. So Tesla acquiring this company and then just a few months later selling it to Pulse. It looks like Tesla has done this just to maintain the engineers from Wifurian. So the robot report noting that according to a source with knowledge of both of these acquisitions, the engineers will remain at Tesla not included with the deal. So pretty much an aqua hire from Tesla that they took took what they needed. And now we're flipping out the rest of the company to someone that wants the other parts. So interesting to see that, but I guess always nice to see some talented engineers joining Tesla. However, it is accomplished.
Alright, next we do have an update on the earnings call. So say technologies is now published in the Q&A for the earnings call for next week. So shareholders can go ask and vote on questions to be asked at that meeting. Right now it looks like V12, Cybertruck 4680 ramp are kind of in the top slots, which I think all those topics are very interesting to get more details on. I'm sure with Cybertruck Tesla's going to have a lot to talk about. And you know, hopefully we'll hear some pretty major updates even before we get to the Q&A. But if you do want to go participate in that, that is at again, say technologies.com.
And then we've got an interesting update here from automotive news on gigapresses. So obviously we've seen what Tesla has done with gigapress over the years. Looks like now other automakers are kind of getting on board. So the report is that there's been a gigapress 6100 spotted with Ford branding on it. So maybe not too surprising to see Ford kind of stepping in that way. They seem to be one of the least the faster followers in terms of their intent or their efforts at least in terms of Tesla. So it looks like they're at least testing out a 6,000 ton press. And then Idra also reporting that 9,000 ton press has been spotted as well, not without branding printed on it. But apparently a source is indicating that that is actually going to Hyundai. So a 6,000 ton over to Ford 9,000 ton over to Hyundai. And it sounds like there's two other 9,000 ton presses that are going to a quote unquote premium automaker in Europe. And sources also indicated that Volvo had previously purchased two gigapresses from Idra. We don't know the size on those ones, at least from this report. But interesting to see kind of all of a sudden a lot of these different automakers lining up and becoming purchasers of gigapresses at similar scales. Maybe not in terms of the unit counts, but in terms of the capability of the gigapress that, you know, what to what Tesla is doing. So we'll keep an eye on that, but it seems like they're at least investing in it for R&D and maybe beyond a little bit later.
And then finally for today, a really interesting update from the UAW. Kind of out of nowhere tonight, they've announced that they have increased or expanded the strike at Ford. So 8,700 workers, pretty significant increase here have now, um, striked.
I don't know what the correct verfage here would be, but the Kentucky truck plant. So this is significant. This is, um, you know, these more significant plants had been sort of excluded from previous strikes, but this has very profitable lineup for, uh, for Ford, including full size SUVs, heavy duty F series pickup trucks.
So I guess what happened here is that Ford and the UAW were having a negotiating, a negotiation session tonight. Sounds like Ford came to the negotiation session with pretty much the exact same offer that they had previously presented. And after a brief discussion that lasted only a few minutes, according to this report, John Fane, president of UAW stood up and said something along the lines of if that's all you've got, you just lost KTP or the Kentucky truck plant.
So a pretty major escalation here in terms of the UAW. They will have another update on, on Friday as they usually do. But this is again, a major plant for, for Ford.
Apparently, this produces about 25 million or sorry, $25 billion of annual revenue for Ford, which would be about one sixth of its overall global revenue. So again, so far, we've kind of seen these, these little strikes trying to not necessarily maximize impact. And now the UAW getting much more aggressive with those, with those strikes at this plan, at least for Ford. So we'll keep an eye on that. And again, we should hear another update on that on Friday.
Alright, that'll wrap it up for today then. So as always, thank you for listening. Make sure you're subscribed and signed up for notifications. You can also find me on X at Tesla podcast. And we'll see you tomorrow for the Thursday, October 12th episode of Tesla daily. Thank you.