Hey everybody Rob Maer here and today we've got some pretty exciting stuff to talk about as Elon Musk has officially unveiled or revealed X.AI, or I guess just X.AI now. We'll talk about that and some of the ties that that may have to Tesla. Then we've also got some news on text credits, news on production, updates on Cybertruck, and a few other items as well.
Alright, looking at the stock, Tesla today up 8-10% of a percent, slightly underperforming again the NASDAQ up 1.1% but closing at $271.99 on the day today as we are now one week out from the Q2 earnings report. We'll quickly look at the CPI which came out this morning, the consumer price index, so it was a little bit below expectations, probably a tenth of a percent or so across the various different metrics which is nice to see.
So just a 3% increase year over year for the headline number which was driven down by significant declines in energy year over year, so if we look at core year over year, it's a little bit stickier, still a decline from last month but up 5.3% over, this happened to me last time. This is still last month's number. There we go, now it's updated. Yeah, so 4.8% I knew that was off. 4.8% increase year over year so down from 5.3% last month. And then if we look at the month over month comparisons, these are the correct months, 0.2% increase on the core, so although a little bit stickier on the year over year comparison, in a pretty reasonable range month over month and still I think the lowest month of a month increase that we've seen sends back in looks like September of last year, so a little bit of progress there. And then for headline month over month also a 0.2% increase. So all said, I think pretty good news from the CPI reports and we'll look out for the PPI report tomorrow.
All right, so kind of the big news for today, Elon Musk has officially unveiled slash launched XAI. Interesting timing on the unveiling here, July 12th, 2023, which would be expressed in American date format of 7.1223, which adds up to 42. Of course, the Chiker Guide to the Galaxy, you know, answer and then what is the question? So the goal of XAI, which sort of framed up by that, is to understand the true nature of the universe as stated here on their website. They're also going to give a little bit more information and allow people to ask questions about XAI on a Twitter Spaces on Friday.
Elon did do another Twitter Spaces today, which we'll briefly talk about discussing some things about AI in general, but it didn't seem to be quite as focused on the company like this Twitter Spaces might be in a couple of days. So they did share a little bit about the team. You can read some of those things there and see the team members about a dozen people right now that are listed and they are of course recruiting as us companies tend to do. So I'm sure they got a lot of applications today, but in relation to the other companies, XAI says that we are a separate company from XCorp, but we'll work closely with X or Twitter, Tesla and other companies to make progress towards our mission. So obviously with anything like this, when another company starts up and whether it's Twitter, not a startup, but that Elon is putting resources towards and there's always been the drama about Tesla employees helping out with Twitter things during that period of time. I think there's probably similar questions that would come from XAI here and obviously Tesla, as Elon has said, is going to be a major player in the AI space as well.
So would it make sense for this to just fall under Tesla perhaps, but it sounds like they're going to be working on different things than sort of real world AI, which would be where Tesla's focus primarily would be, but it's nice to see that they are going to work closely. And we have seen that collaboration be effective for Elon companies over a long period of time now with Tesla and SpaceX, where they're able to share knowledge and potentially even employees at times of need to make progress when the opportunity presents itself. So although it might initially seem like it's frustrating that this doesn't fall into Tesla, this being on its own will allow them to target different people from recruiting standpoint. And some of those people could eventually then make their way into either Tesla completely working there or partially making their way over to to help out during certain periods of time where Tesla maybe needs some help with some certain things that they know they've got the expertise there at XAI to help out with. So again, I think this is actually going to be pretty beneficial for Tesla to have that sort of cross pollination opportunity down the road.
Here's the XAI Twitter, you can follow that it's just XAI, pretty simple, nice when you have the owner there of Twitter to get that handle for you. And then Elon did do a Twitter space again just talking about AI in general, so just got a couple of notes here.
He said XAI is essentially going to build slash grow an AI and what he says is a good way, or at least that's his hope. And he thinks the way to do that would be to maximally target curiosity or maximally incentivize curiosity as well as truth seeking. So that'll kind of be how they're setting the construct of what they're trying to build.
And then he said that, you know, he believes that an AI that's developed in that way for maximum curiosity should be pro humanity just because it's more interesting. He gave the example of Mars, there's not really much going on there. And and humans certainly make Earth a little bit more interesting relative to that comparison. So he hopes that one that is curious would be incentivized strongly to keep humans around, which I think kind of makes sense. But obviously no telling.
And then just kind of general things that he brought up, he said that the, you know, they started to get into conversation about AI regulation and that kind of led into China and Elon's recent discussions with China. And that led into a more general conversation about some of the risks down the road from here.
He said that the most concerning thing, probably over the next three years or so would be the situation between China and Taiwan and how that gets resolved. So Elon does view that as a pretty significant risk, which obviously there's been a lot of discussion on that and will continue to be. But interesting to hear his point of view on that so candidly.
And then he said probably in the five to six year time frame timeframe, super AI digital super intelligence, probably the next biggest concern. So we don't need to go too deep into that at this point. But obviously a lot of different ways that that can play out.
Alright, so moving on from X AI for now, although we'll continue to talk about it. We do have an update here. I'm not sure who was the original poster on this, but Patrick Connell sharing a photo of some cyber truck bodies at Giga Texas, presumably, where we can see pretty much the full setup here of the body and white. You can see the giant rear castings massive front castings. It looks like up here as well. And then of course, the rest of the frame, which would be comprised probably of stamped materials. So pretty cool to see, you know, more than one of these at a time and see them sort of pieced together. And again, I think we're continuing to make pretty good progress from all the visible signs externally that we can see for cyber truck, hopefully this quarter.
Alright, let's move on to China production data. So we did get this overnight. And pretty interesting stuff here. So if we look at the July production numbers, it was 80,365 vehicles produced by Tesla. But most interestingly was the Model 3 production numbers, which was 27,440.
So we had of course those rumors that, you know, Tesla was stopping Model 3 production early in June to make improvements for Highland. And pretty clearly that didn't happen unless it was just a very, very short period of time that they stopped Model 3 production for, because 27,000 actually higher than last month, and probably higher than the average over the last six to nine months.
So there really doesn't seem to be any significant downtime for the Model 3 in June. That could mean that we're coming up on more significant downtime since presumably not a lot of that retooling maybe has happened yet. And what it also could mean is that we are likely seeing lower production numbers from Berlin and Texas, then a forecast which had some downtime here for the Model 3 in June in Shanghai would have yielded because if this was something closer to zero, then that would leave, you know, 25,000 vehicles that would have had to come from somewhere else. And presumably those would have come from Texas and Berlin. So it's actually a little bit disappointing on that hand that this number is coming in higher, although it's nice to see strong production from Shanghai.
I would have preferred to see these units being produced by Berlin and Texas because it would mean that they're further advanced in the ramp, which is obviously going to yield higher production figures if you extrapolate from that. So we'll have to go back and kind of do a little bit, a little bit of math on how that shakes out for Berlin and Texas, but it would be a little bit lower than what we thought maybe initially with the Q2 delivery and production report.
Now one final note on this, a little bit more positive. Since there were this many Model 3s produced and we did still see a pretty massive drain in inventory towards the end of this quarter, where you can see wholesale sales, including exports, but wholesale sales outpacing production by about 13,300 vehicles. With that being the case, with Model 3 production being pretty much normal throughout this month, I think it speaks a little bit more positively to the sales figures because if this had just been no Model 3 production and then we still saw these Model 3 sales, it would have been reasonable to be draining that inventory. But the fact that we're still seeing inventory decline while production was up and running, I think is a pretty positive sign for demand for the Model 3. I don't think I explained that super well, but hopefully that point comes across at least a little bit. If you have questions on that, just ask me in the comments.
Another milestone for Shanghai, they did produce their 1 millionth Model Y vehicle today. An awesome milestone. If we go back and we look, I don't have it all shown here, but Model Y production started, I think late Q4 2019, but really an earnest in Q1 of 2020. So really now we're what, two, three years in for them to have already produced their 1 millionth vehicle, just a pretty incredible pace of progress on that ramp, obviously. And if we look at the lifetime production, I think through June, it's somewhere in the 980,000 ballpark. It's a little bit unclear on that, you know, Q4 2019 production. Actually, sorry, I think I'm one year off on that. I think it was Q4 2020 and then going into 2021 was when it's so just push those comments forward one year. But with that being the case, I think so far, it was around 980,000 produced, which would maybe mean 20,000 produced so far in the first, you know, 12 days of Q3, which would be roughly in line with their pace, maybe a little bit better than the pace of production that we have seen so far. So it doesn't tell us a whole lot, but just kind of shows that they've had solid production here in the first part of the month.
Alright, update here on Gigabro Lynn. So it looks like next week right on earnings day, the application documents for the expansion of Gigabro Lynn that we have previously talked about are going to be made public for public commentary, which of course is a pretty lengthy process, as we know, in Germany. So that's going to be published on the 19th, we should be able to kind of dig into those plans and see what Tesla is looking to do. Of course, the expectation is that these plans will be to double the capacity up to 1 million cars per year. So keep an eye out for that next week, although it may get lost a little bit in everything relating to earnings.
Then on Tesla's website, we've got an update on the federal tax credit, no changes right now, but Tesla has changed the language in their little banner here to say that reductions to tax credits are likely after December 31st. So basically saying as we head into 2024, there are going to be some reductions to this full credit as those criteria for full credits get a little bit tougher on battery components and battery materials, you know, qualifications. So what's interesting here is that if we go to the Model 3 page, so this is the Model 3 just general page, this banner stays the same reductions to tax tax credit likely after December 31st. If we go to the order page, we see the same thing here where it is. Where did that go? There it is. I know I'm covering it here, but you can see reductions likely after December 31st on this Model 3 page. And then if we go over to Model Y, banner is different. It doesn't include that language. And then same thing here, that language is omitted. So whatever reductions that Tesla is expecting with this update seem to be focused on Model 3. Obviously, we've had a little bit of flip-flopping on that throughout the year. So not too surprising on that, but we'll see how that comes in.
Also on tax credits, so the New Jersey tax credit program on EVs looks like it's been extended. I think they kind of reevaluate this each year. And I think they're going into the fourth year on this now. So there is going to continue to be a $4,000 tax credit in New Jersey for EVs under $45,000. And then for vehicles between $45,000 and $55,000, it's going to be a $1,500 credit. So pretty exciting. I mean, if we go back to the Model 3 order page here, you can see vehicles starting at about $40,000. You knock $11,500 off of that between a state credit and a federal tax credit. You're looking at a vehicle that starts under $29,000 that is a Tesla Model 3, which then you factor in gas savings and maintenance savings and things like that. If you're buying a car that is at all similar to the Model 3, it doesn't really make a lot of sense to buy much else, at least for a new vehicle. So pretty, pretty nice to see those incentives kind of stack up there in New Jersey and really make that value hard to really compete with with any other car.
All right, a couple of quick things here. So not a Tesla app reporting that with a recent software update, Tesla has added the capability to control the windshield wipers with the editability of the steering wheel controls. So the quick wheels, you can now program those or edit those to be controllable for the wipers, which I think previously there was maybe a little bit of capability. And now it's fully capable to manage just from that, if you want to customize it in that way. So nice to see that update. Hopefully we'll become irrelevant with Tesla's, you know, actually go to Wiper update here coming soon with integrating surround video neural networks to the Wiper algorithms or, you know, neural networks control system.
Okay, we've got another update here on the solar roof. So it looks like Tesla has settled a class action lawsuit relating to the solar roof price increases that we talked about a number of months ago, which not surprising these were pretty significant price increases that were sent out to customers that had already basically ordered. So although maybe not technically locked into an agreement, pretty much implied that they had secured their pricing. And then Tesla kind of went back and changed that. So the settlement only $6 million, not a huge hit. But probably what's most interesting is it gives us a little bit of information as a part of the court case on where the solar roof orders or customer, you know, placements at that point in time were. So according to Tesla, according to the court documents, there were 8,600 customers that were a part of the group affected by the price cut price hikes, resulting in about 6,300 cancellations, which is about a 70% cancellation rate very high. But these price increases were very significant at that time, if you recall those, you know, tens of thousands of dollars in many cases. And then it also says that Tesla completed about 1,650 of the solar roof contracts of this 8,600 at the original price. So I'm not sure the remaining group, I think there were like 400 people that were a part of the settlement. I'm not 100% clear on what the settlement ended up entailing versus just completing it at the original price. Seems like a fine outcome. But you know, for those, for those people, it'd be about, you know, 13,000 per person on average. But for Tesla, obviously a pretty small, small impact.
All right, a couple of things to vote on. So the earnings questions for, or the say.com, saytechnologies.com earnings questions are now available. So probably unlikely that any new questions would make it to the top at this point. But you definitely can still go vote on the questions that have been submitted. And that will probably have an impact still these tend to change throughout the week leading up.
So definitely, you know, if you want to connect to say go and vote. I tried out to comment too much on these, but you know, the first question here, it's about FSD transferability. This question has probably been asked like five times. So hopefully we can get another question in there, at least another question that ends up at the top. Thrustrating on those end up being the same.
But the other thing you can vote on is supercharger locations now for Q3. This happens every quarter, last quarter, a supercharger and Poland one. This quarter, you can see, you know, number of different options throughout the US and internationally, you can vote for five different options, or up to five different options. I'll do some subliminal messaging there on the screen. But definitely go vote the link for that is in the description, as well as the say link as well.
And then last couple of things. Interesting update on the UAW today. We've talked before about how negotiations are going to be coming up soon with the UAW and the automakers. And it looks like those are starting to kick off with the UAW reaching out today to, or I guess making appearances today at each of the factories for, you know, these big three. And they say the president, Sean Fane said that the strike target is the big three.
If the big three is not going to come to the pump for workers, there's going to be issues. So not surprising, obviously negotiating tactic, but coming out pretty early with those strike mentions. So it'll be interesting to see how that develops here over the next few months.
And then finally, we've got an update on Lucid. They've announced their Q2 delivery and production report 2100, almost 2200 vehicles produced, about 1400 delivered, very similar numbers to last quarter. If we look at this in context, we can see here, you know, deliveries to vehicles less than last quarter production, 150 vehicles or so less than last quarter. And you can see inventory continues to grow.
So the spread between these two lines, that'd be your growth and inventory. They're now at about 4,500 vehicles that have not been delivered versus 1400 delivered this quarter. If you use the days of supply calculation that Tesla uses on their earnings report, that ends up being 243 days of inventory or inventories. If you want to look at my my typo there versus Tesla's 16.
So it continues to look pretty challenging for Lucid at this point. Obviously, with their price points, they're above the federal tax credits and competing with, you know, the Model S refresh and things like that. So I don't know, it's tough to see a path for them, but obviously they've got a lot of financial backing. We'll see how that plays out. I'm not super hopeful. Lucid.
All right, that was a long one today, but that'll wrap it up. As always, thank you for listening. Make sure you subscribe and sign up for notifications. You can also find me on Twitter at Tesla podcast and we'll see you tomorrow for the Thursday, July 13th episode of Tesla Daily. Thank you.