Hey everybody, Rob Marrow here and today we are going to be talking about a new research report from the ICCT on the automotive industry and each brand's transition to sustainable energy. We've got new updates on Tesla and China and India, updates on inventory and pricing and a few other items as well.
Another pretty nice day for Tesla Stock today finishing up 1 and 3.25% to close at $207.52 while the NASDAQ was up 1 and a quarter percent. Of course, late yesterday the house did pass unsurprisingly a bill on the ever-looming debt ceiling that now goes over to the senate. That needs to be passed by Monday, which I'm sure it will be but always creates a little bit of a circus as things move in that direction, so maybe a little bit of relief in the market today from that passing in the house.
We do have a new SEC filing from Tesla today, this is their conflict minerals report. A lot of what Tesla is doing here is covered in the impact report which we have already talked about, but if you do want to review that, that is now available.
Alright, we'll start off with China as we have talked about the last couple of days Elon has been visiting that visit is now wrapped up I believe Elon has returned to the US. So like we had talked about yesterday, being a bit of a long shot despite the reporting, looks like no unveiling or teaser or anything early glimpse or whatever the report was. Poor project highland. Most likely something lost in translation or poor reporting or poor phrasing from Bloomberg on that. I would bet that that was shown off to Elon obviously knows the design but just seeing that production run. And like we discussed not too many advantages for showing that off already, but hopefully over the next month or two we get a lot more clarity on where that is at.
At any rate during the trip Elon did continue to meet with government officials in Shanghai of note he met with the party secretary of Shanghai who reportedly discussed with Elon potential opportunities for Tesla to expand in Shanghai and expressed hope that Tesla would continue to deepen its cooperation with the city as it moves towards becoming a green sustainable and modern metropolis. So overall it seemed like a very productive visit obviously a lot that was crammed into the two or three days that Elon was there. He definitely seemed to be in good spirits when meeting with the Giga Shanghai team and reiterated that not only is Giga Shanghai producing Tesla's most efficiently produced vehicles but also their highest quality which I'm sure Tesla is hoping to surpass with Berlin and Texas.
Alright so moving on from China for the time being we've got a new report from the ICCT or the International Council on Clean Transportation we've talked about some of their research before. They have now published their global automaker ratings for 2022 taking a look at how automakers are making the transition to sustainable energy. Although it's not a perfect rating it does draw a nice contrast with some of the ESG ratings that we tend to see on companies like Tesla where they can fall below companies like Exxon or Chevron something crazy like that. This seems to be much more aligned with I guess common sense I would say or kind of how we would intuitively understand things to be in the auto market at least.
So unsurprisingly Tesla holds the top overall score on their 2022 global automaker rating. The rating is comprised of three major categories, market dominance, technology performance and strategic vision you can see Tesla's ratings there of 69, 80 and 100 respectively yielding a total 2022 rating of 83 putting Tesla at the top of the list with BYD and second place with a rating of 73 BYD falling a little bit behind on technology performance relative to Tesla.
Now each of those major categories has subcategories and we'll take a look at those in a second but interesting to see how other automakers rank on here BMW and third place actually. Ford below GM maybe a bit of a surprise on that one and then Toyota unsurprisingly in the Lagerts category looking like they're about sixth from the bottom. Anyway looking a little bit deeper at those subcategories this is where I think sort of the simplicity starts to creep into how this rating is tabulated. We can see that the market dominance category is a blend between the ratio of total sales that are zero emission vehicle sales for each automaker and they do count plug-in hybrids as not a full ZEV but maybe 50%.
So Tesla obviously getting 100 there BYD for example getting 69% even though about half of their vehicles are plug-in hybrids.
特斯拉在此方面显然获得了100分,比如比亚迪得到了69%,尽管他们约有一半的车辆是插电式混合动力车。这表明特斯拉在电动汽车领域表现更出色,并且 BYD 需要加强其纯电动汽车的产量和销售。
The second part of the score is class coverage and Tesla only gets a 38 on that one so that's basically taking a look at model variety so of the electric vehicles sold from these automakers how many segments are they covering with the models that they are offering in those zero emission variants.
So Tesla with a very slim lineup for very good reasons gets a low score on that and that really hurts their market dominance score and that's the single biggest contributor pulling Tesla score down to the 83 overall.
So covering different segments might make more sense for a legacy automaker that's transitioning to EVs but for Tesla seems a little bit over-weighted in terms of the impact.
And then the other category bringing Tesla score down a bit was technology performance where if we look at the subcategories you can see a perfect 100 across the board except for a zero in renewable energy so it seems a little bit weird to us obviously doing solar, doing energy storage on top of 100% EV so how do they get a zero here?
另一个降低特斯拉得分的类别是技术性能,如果我们看子类别,可以看到所有的项目都是完美的百分之百,除了可再生能源为零,这对我们来说似乎有些奇怪,因为特斯拉不仅从事太阳能,能量存储,而且 EV 的占比也达到了100%,那为什么这里得分是零呢?
Well if we look they say that quote on the upstream emissions the renewable energy metric analyzes how much progress an automaker has made in switching to 100% renewable electricity in vehicle production and assembly and battery manufacturing and quote.
This already feels a little bit arbitrary and when we read a little bit further that feeling increases they go on to say that a manufacturer receives one point if it uses 100% renewable electricity in all plants within a region and zero points otherwise so you could have six different regions and all your factories could use 95% renewable electricity and you'd get to zero on this category.
They say quote we only give credit to manufacturers that exhibit a commitment to 100% renewable energy because manufacturers can achieve 100% renewable energy by purchasing renewable energy certificates in most regions and quote.
So obviously Tesla sells zero emission vehicle credits those would be different from this but Tesla does actually purchase renewable energy offsets but from Tesla standpoint how they market the purchase of those credits is for offsetting supercharger network energy consumption rather than factories a company like BMW who was scoring 100 in this subcategory doesn't have to worry about anything coming close to the supercharger network so again this is very arbitrary and definitely unfair to score Tesla in this way if they wanted to Tesla could probably just change that language and say that all factories are 100% renewable energy without actually changing anything about their production or purchasing process and then all of a sudden they'd have 100 in this category.
This also doesn't seem to consider at all Tesla contribution for energy generation or energy storage which up until this year the energy generated by Tesla solar products actually exceeded the consumption from all Tesla products including vehicle production and charging.
So at the end of the day it's just a rating it doesn't matter all that much but hopefully that point is clear.
在一天的结束时,这只是一种评价,它并不那么重要,但希望这个观点很清楚。
Anyway there are a handful of other interesting charts in the report so we'll take a quick look at those the first being energy consumption of BEV's Tesla scoring at the top there so according to their research Tesla's vehicles are the most efficient I think this ranking might struggle a little bit with segmentation but interesting nonetheless similarly they looked at charging speed Tesla again at the top here by a pretty significant margin Tesla a little more than 25% ahead of second place Hyundai Kia I'm not sure of their exact methodology on this but they do say that it is sales weighted within each brand for the averages that they are showing here finally a nice chart showing the ratio of zero emission vehicles to internal combustion engine vehicles for each manufacturer with Tesla of course at the top at 100% but you can see the performance of companies like Toyota Honda at the bottom 1% and 0% I think a really nice visualization there.
Alright let's move on I want to take a quick look at inventory it's been a while since we have done that and we do have some price changes on inventory as well first looking at inventory from Matt Young for new Tesla vehicles in the US we can see that it's actually gone down a little bit overall at least in terms of what is being displayed which of course we know is not necessarily a perfect proxy for available inventory but it is what we've got.
If we take a look at the breakdown by model you can see that the model 3 and red has continued to pretty consistently trend up in available inventory model Y in blue still quite low there towards the bottom anyway as model 3 inventory has continued to increase Tesla has started to increase the inventory discounts on model 3's we've talked about Tesla doing this kind of across the lineup and it gives Tesla a little bit more pricing flexibility without as much volatility or at least perceived volatility on pricing which makes a lot of sense as sales grow Tesla can be a little bit more localized with pricing in this way and again just a little bit more adaptable the one price model is great but almost impossible to balance consistently over the long term especially as you are growing quickly you're either going to be leaving dollars on the table and creating an order backlog or falling short in sales having to do a lot of promotion or very rapid and very visible price adjustments for the entire lineup which comes with its own set of challenges and attention positive and negative so I think it's a problem that Tesla is starting to recognize a little bit more of especially in this economic climate and that's why we're seeing more of this discounted inventory type of model we're seeing more of the referral program coming back and playing a larger role gives Tesla more levers to play with rather than just one unilateral pricing for the entire country so anyway for model 3 right now there are some discounts up to about three thousand dollars and although model Y has a lot less available inventory there discounts to be found there but much smaller at about five hundred dollars a piece so a lot of people taking this as you know clearing out model 3 inventory before a refresh and that may be an I'm sure Tesla has that on their mind but I also wouldn't be too surprised if this is just a lever that Tesla is pulling to continue to move through model 3s in general without having to technically lower the price which might take some of the lost your way from a highland announcement if that's announced at a lower price or something like that.
Alright next up we've got another report on Tesla and India this is coming from financialxpress.com not a site that I'm familiar with but they are reporting that India has asked Tesla to submit a roadmap on the time frame needed to basically localize the supply chain if Tesla were to actually build a vehicle plans in India apparently the expectation is for Tesla to respond with a plan in the next three to six months and it sounds like depending on how that plan looks India may be willing to allow some concessions on tariffs to help reduce supply chain roadblocks until things became more localized in India so it kind of makes sense and I hadn't seen that reported yet but we'll see what comes of it.
Alright next we've got a quick report on Tesla sales in May in Norway and I think you guys know I don't like looking at individual countries individual month sales but this one is interesting in May there were 2,691 Tesla model wise sold in Norway that is about three and a half times the runner up Volkswagen 94 and put the model Y alone at 20% market share for the month of May. Now again it is just one month but if we look at your to date turns out May was actually below the average because your to date the model Y has a 24% market share in Norway so crazy for one car to have that kind of market share the only thing more impressive is that somehow the Toyota BZ4X has 4% market share your to date that is pretty surprising to me.
Alright last couple of quick things there is a new satellite image of Gigatexus posted on Twitter from Geosat gives a really nice shot of the Tesla logo spelled out in the negative space of the solar panel array on the roof that Tesla has been working on for a while just a really nice shot of the factory in general too and gives a sense of completion though obviously Gigatexus is going to continue to grow for many years. Lastly then we've got an update on BYD's sales for the month this is coming from C&EV post we can see that their total new energy vehicle sales including plug-in hybrids set a new record of 240,000 in a month of May and probably more importantly for pure BEVs they sold almost 120,000 this was the first month of the year that they clipped their numbers from November and December on BEVs so despite the Tesla price cuts a pretty strong month here for BYD though obviously depending a little bit on how that mixes out from a margin perspective.
Alright that'll wrap it up for today then as always thank you for listening make sure subscribe and sign up for notifications and also find me on twitter at Tesla Podcast and we'll see you tomorrow for the Friday June 2nd episode of Tesla Daily. Thank you.