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Musk Visits China, Tesla Seeks AI Talent, FSD Beta 11.4.2

发布时间 2023-05-31 01:46:09    来源
Hey everybody, Rob now we're here. Welcome back to Tesla Daily. Hope everybody had a great weekend. Today we are going to be talking about Elon Musk's first visit to China in quite a long time. We have a few other stories out of China as well. We've got Tesla's release of FSD beta 11.4.2 and an update on Tesla's hiring attempts for their AI development. So quite a few things to go through today.
大家好,我是Rob,欢迎回到《特斯拉日报》。希望大家周末过得愉快。今天我们要谈谈埃隆·马斯克长时间以来首次访问中国的事情。此外,我们还有其他一些来自中国的故事。我们将讨论特斯拉发布的FSD Beta 11.4.2以及他们AI开发人员招聘情况的最新更新。所以今天有很多事情要说。

We'll start off with the stock. Tesla up 4.1% on the day today. The NASDAQ up about a third of our percent. So we didn't have an episode on Friday, but this continues a really strong couple of days here. Trading days here for Tesla following the Ford announcement. So really nice to see the markets have been generally supportive of kind of growth type of stocks right now, kind of probably riding a little bit of the Nvidia wave alongside the Ford announcement as well.
今天股市开始,特斯拉(Tesla)股票上涨了4.1%,纳斯达克指数上涨约0.3%。尽管上周五我们没有进行任何交易,但特斯拉股票在福特公告后的几天一直表现出色。现在的市场总体上对增长型股票非常支持,可能跟福特公告及 Nvidia 的热潮有关。

So nice to see that. And hopefully we'll see that continue throughout the rest of this week. We do have a couple of SEC filings to go through right off the bat here. The first was a form four. This was filed for JB Strabble. Just showing his ownership as he is now on Tesla's board of directors.
很高兴看到这个消息。希望在这个星期剩下的时间里,我们会继续看到这种发展。我们得先处理几份SEC的文件。第一份是提交的四表格,显示了JB Strabble的投资持股情况,因为他现在是特斯拉的董事会成员。

And although JB was a co-founder and former CTO for a long time, it doesn't look like he owns any more shares or options of Tesla. Obviously JB starting Redwood materials back in 2017 and really taking it sort of the next level in 2019. Looks like probably most of that equity went to fund Redwood materials would be my best guess on that front. So it'll be interesting to see hopefully JB gets a little bit of shares back through his board position.
尽管JB曾是特斯拉的联合创始人和前CTO长达一段时间,但似乎他不再拥有任何特斯拉的股份或期权。显然,JB在2017年创立了Redwood材料公司,并在2019年将其提升到了新的水平。我的猜测是,他的大部分持股都被用于资助Redwood材料公司。因此,有望看到JB通过他的董事职位重新获得一些股份,这将是非常有趣的。

And then we also have a form 144. This is on behalf of Drew Beguino. This is basically just a form that is alerting investors of a potential stock sale or the intent of a stock sale. But it's only for 10,000 shares. Drew does this relatively frequently as just part of his general compensation. So nothing too major with this form 144.
然后我们还有一份关于Drew Beguino的144表格。这基本上只是一份提醒投资者有可能出售股票或意图出售股票的表格,但只涉及1万股。Drew经常提交这样的表格作为他的一般报酬,所以这份144表格并没有太大影响。

Alright, getting into the news from Elon Musk, he has arrived today. It looks like in Beijing and has met with Chinese minister of foreign affairs. I think he may have some other meetings lined up with other government officials in China as well. And then it sounds like he's going to carry through and go into Shanghai, probably visit Gikshanghai and things like that there.
好的,接下来是埃隆·马斯克的最新消息。他今天似乎已经抵达了北京,与中国外交部长进行了会晤。我认为他可能还要与其他中国政府官员进行其他会议。而且据听说,他还将前往上海,可能会访问上海特斯拉工厂等相关地点。

But it sounds like the result of this initial meeting with the foreign minister of foreign affairs was that Elon said he's committed to further expanding Tesla's business in China is against decoupling, which I think in this context would be decoupling of China in the US. So kind of interesting contrast to what we had heard Elon say on the David Fabre interview where he mentioned that there are some limits on Tesla's ability to grow in China.
但是据听起来,这次与外交部长的初次会面的结果是,埃隆承诺进一步扩大特斯拉在中国的业务,反对中美脱钩,我认为在这个背景下,这指的是中美之间的脱钩。这与我们之前在David Fabre采访中听到埃隆提到特斯拉在中国发展能力存在一些限制的情况形成了有趣的对照。

It looks like maybe we're not quite at those limits yet. If Elon is talking about continuing to expand the business here, I'm sure they also talked about FSD. That was another rumor that we had previously in terms of Tesla wanting to be able to deploy FSD beta and possibly the government support of that. So we'll see what else comes out of this. I'm sure we'll continue to hear more as his trip continues.
看起来我们可能还没有达到那些限制。如果埃隆谈论继续扩展业务,我肯定他们也会谈到全自动驾驶。这是另一个之前有传闻的事情,即特斯拉希望能够部署全自动驾驶测试版,并可能得到政府的支持。因此,让我们拭目以待他继续旅行时还会公布什么其他消息。我确信我们将继续听到更多信息。

But Elon Musk was also seen with CAT, C-A-T-L-C-E-O. And we know that obviously Tesla's got a lot of business with them, C-A-T-L building factory in Shanghai next to Gikshanghai as well. So I'm sure they had a lot to discuss in addition. So again, we'll probably hear more about this as the week carries on. I'm sure Elon will be there for at least a couple of days. So we'll keep it out for more.
埃隆·马斯克还与CATL公司的CEO见面了。我们知道特斯拉显然与CATL有很多业务往来,CATL在上海即将建立一座工厂,就在Gikshanghai公司旁边。因此,我相信他们还有很多其他方面的议题需要讨论。所以在接下来的这个星期里,我们可能会听到更多关于此事的消息。我相信马斯克至少会在那里待几天,我们会继续关注。

Alright, next up we've got new China-insured vehicle numbers for the week of May 22nd through May 28th. So this week, the numbers came in at 12,800. You can see here a pretty strong week for Tesla relative over the last couple of quarters. This now puts quarter to date at right around 80,000 vehicles insured so far through the first eight weeks of insured vehicle data.
接下来,我们来看一下5月22日至5月28日的中国保险车辆新数据。本周的数据显示,有12,800辆车被保险了。相对于过去几季度来说,特斯拉这一周的表现相当强劲。截至目前,前8周的保险车辆数据总计已达到约80,000辆车,表现令人满意。

Versus Q4 last year, that was about 73,000 at this point in time. Q1 was about 56,000 or so at this point in the quarter. But remember in Q1, we did have Chinese New Year affecting the early production there in the first quarter. So it looks like we're continuing to develop this quarter pretty solidly for a record quarter.
与去年第四季度相比,此时点大约有73,000个订单。第一季度在这个时候有大约56,000个订单左右。但是请记住,在第一季度,我们有春节影响了第一季度的早期生产。因此,看起来我们本季度的发展还是相当稳定的,有望创下历史记录的季度。

Tesla would need to average about 11,500 over the following five weeks the remainder of the quarter. So it looks like a very achievable number with the 12,800 that we're seeing here. But a little bit of a caveat to that and also tying this in with Elon's visit to China, we had previous reports that beginning June 1st in a couple of days, gigashang high employees had been told to not bring their cell phones into work.
Tesla需要在接下来的五个星期内平均每周生产大约11,500辆车来完成本季度的任务。从我们目前观察到的12,800辆车来看,这个数字看起来很可行。但有一点需要注意的是,同时也要把伊隆访问中国的情况考虑在内。之前有报道称,从6月1日开始(几天后),吉利汽车的员工被告知不要带手机上班。

And it sounds like there might be some downtime could be related to projects Highland around that point. So that could affect Tesla's ability to hit a record number this quarter in terms of vehicle sales in China if Model 3 production is down for significant portion of the quarter for the last month. So keep an eye on that. And maybe as these numbers come in, that could give us a little bit more of a hint to on if that is really happening. So let's go on there in China right now.
听起来好像可能与海兰德项目有关,可能会造成一些停机时间。因此,如果 Model 3 的生产在本季度的最后一个月中有重大部分时间被中断,这可能会影响特斯拉在中国的汽车销售记录的创纪录的能力。所以要密切关注这个情况。当这些数字出现时,或许能够更好地提示我们这是否真的正在发生。所以让我们关注中国市场的动态。

One quick story, this is a story that dates back a couple of years now. We're not going to go into it too detailed today because we've talked about it before and it's really not super important. But there's been a little bit of a resolution on a second lawsuit that has been brought by a Tesla customer who complained of break failure and was pretty demonstrative at Tesla vehicle displays at car shows and things like that against Tesla and making claims against them that they were, you know, basically covering it up or lying or something like that. A couple of lawsuits have now been dismissed. So kind of a win for Tesla in that regard.
这是一个很快的故事,大约是几年前的事情。今天我们不会过于详细地谈论它,因为我们以前已经谈过了,而且它真的不是非常重要。但是有一个特斯拉客户提出了第二起诉讼,他抱怨刹车失灵,并在特斯拉车展和其他活动中进行了相当有说服力的表演,声称特斯拉在隐瞒事实或说谎。现在已经有几起诉讼被驳回了。因此,从这个角度来看,对特斯拉来说是一种胜利。

Next up we've got Tesla's release of FSD beta 11.4.2. So this had previously been with employees. Elon had said this one was kind of the one that was ready for really wide release. And they have now done that beyond just initial employees from not a Tesla app.
接下来我们将看到特斯拉发布了 FSD beta 11.4.2 版本。之前这个版本只是给员工使用的。埃隆表示这个版本准备好了可以广泛推广。目前已经不仅限于初始员工使用,也可以从非特斯拉应用程序中获取。

It looks like about 40% of beta users have currently been updated to 11.4.2. I did have the good fortune of being able to drive 11.4.1 about eight hours this weekend and then 11.4.2 about eight hours back. So I had a nice chance to compare them. And 11.4.2 definitely did a lot better in terms of just some minor issues that I had with 4.1. So still needed to do a little bit more in city testing but so far my results have been pretty positive and that seems to be the case for others in sort of initial testing as well.
目前看来,大约有40%的Beta用户已经升级到11.4.2版本。我上个周末特别幸运,驾驶11.4.1开了大约八个小时,然后又驾驶11.4.2开了差不多八个小时。所以我有一个不错的机会来比较它们。就我经历来看,11.4.2在处理一些我在4.1版本中遇到的小问题时表现明显更好。尽管还需要进行一些城市测试,但目前我的测试结果非常积极,而其他用户进行的初步测试似乎也是如此。

Now kind of an interesting thing here that Elon updated us on Twitter. Obviously a lot of people have complained about auto wipers over the years. Elon applying to Tesla Tino here saying that, sorry this is one of the last neural nets to be updated to surround video from single camera single frame. Which once they get around to doing that that should be a very significant step change in terms of the functionality, the performance of this feature.
现在有点有趣的事情,埃隆在Twitter上更新了我们。显然,多年来有很多人抱怨自动雨刷器的问题。埃隆向特斯拉Tino申请,表示很抱歉这是最后一个神经网络需要从单个相机单帧更新到周围视频的问题。一旦他们解决了这个问题,这将是功能和性能方面非常重大的一步变化。

Obviously if you're trying to gauge rain from a single camera single frame, it's gonna be a lot less effective than doing that over time with video based and with a camera. So I'll be excited to see that update when Tesla does finally have a little bit of time to implement that.
显然,如果你试图通过单个摄像头单个画面来判断下雨,那么效果肯定比使用基于视频和相机的长时间观测要差很多。所以,当特斯拉最终有一点时间来实施这个新功能时,我会感到很兴奋。

Now also an interesting update here in Tesla's job listings. This was pointed out on Twitter. Tesla now is listing a position for a machine learning engineer for a large language model, a large language model, and for autopilot AI parentheses dojo. So in the job description, they talk about the position doing a setup and training for large language models.
特斯拉的工作列表中有一个有趣的更新,Twitter 上有人指出。特斯拉现在正在列出一个针对大型语言模型和自动驾驶 AI(道场)的机器学习工程师职位。在工作描述中,他们谈到这个职位要做大型语言模型的设置和培训。

I don't know, I'm having trouble saying that large language models like GPT-3 and porting such models to run efficiently on the dojo supercomputer. So not only is it interesting that Tesla's specifically talking about training large language models, they're also talking about running those efficiently on dojo, which of course we have talked about and Elon has talked about, could be a possible another revenue source for Tesla if they're able to leverage that for other companies that are looking to do a similar sort of AI training.
我不知道怎样表述,但我发现像GPT-3这样的大型语言模型在Dojo超级计算机上的高效运行仍然是一个难题。因此,特斯拉不仅谈论训练大型语言模型这一有趣话题,他们还在探讨如何在Dojo上高效地运行这些模型。这当然也是我们谈论过的,而且埃隆也曾提到过,如果他们能够利用此技术为其他企业提供类似的AI培训服务,那么这将成为特斯拉可能的另一项收入来源。

So I think pretty exciting to see this position listed and LLM's call out very specifically in this position. So hopefully we'll hear a little bit more on that later on.
我认为很兴奋看到这个职位上特别注明了LLM,希望稍后能听到更多关于这个的信息。

Next we've got a couple of updates on charging. Tesla has started to offer one free year of unlimited overnight vehicle charging at home. I think previously at an investor day, it kind of announced a charging plan with Tesla Electric in Texas.
接下来我们要更新一下充电方面的情况。特斯拉开始提供一年的无限制家庭夜间充电服务。我记得之前在投资者日上,特斯拉宣布了与得克萨斯州的特斯拉电动公司合作的充电计划。

I believe it was $30 per month, if I remember correctly, for sort of unlimited charging. So this would basically be $360 discount on sort of that rate for customers in Texas that are in eligible territories to sign up for Tesla Electric. If they take delivery of a new Model 3 between May 26th and June 30th. So kind of a Q2 incentive looks like it's specifically focused on Model 3 as Tesla adds a little bit of incentive and again, a very small portion of their sales territories there in Texas.
我记得每个月大约是30美元,可以无限充电。因此,对于那些符合条件的德克萨斯客户注册Tesla Electric,这就相当于在那种充电速率上享受360美元的折扣。如果他们在5月26日至6月30日之间交付一辆新的Model 3。因此,这是第二季度的激励计划,看起来专门针对Model 3,因为Tesla增加了一些激励并且在其销售领域中的德克萨斯只占很小一部分。

So kind of cool to see a little bit of a combination of different products and Tesla's ability to leverage those sort of the ecosystem concept, of course, to be able to promote the Model 3 here. And then we also heard a little bit more from Ford on their plans with the adoption of NASES the North American charging standard.
看到不同产品的结合和特斯拉能够利用这种生态系统概念来促进Model 3的推广真是太酷了。我们还听到了福特计划采用北美充电标准(NASES)的更多信息。

Ford is going to be sending all Ford EV owners an NASES adapter. So obviously they said in 2025, they're going to use that NASES connector as their standard on their EVs. But until then, the adapter will have to get them by and Ford sounds like it's going to be sending those out probably complimentary, but TBD I guess on that piece. So I think there's maybe around 100,000 I was able to find exact numbers on Ford's deliveries in US EV so far. But it's not going to be a huge number. Still, it'll be a decent size order for that adapter from Tesla.
福特将给所有福特电动汽车车主发送NASAS适配器。显然,他们表示在2025年,他们将把这种NASAS连接器作为他们的电动汽车上的标准。但在此之前,适配器将起到作用,福特听起来可能会免费发送,但我猜这部分尚待确定。因此,我认为福特在美国交付的电动汽车数量约为10万辆(我能找到确切数字)。但这并不是一个很大的数字。尽管如此,从特斯拉那里购买适配器的订单数量还是相当可观的。

All right, last few things here. One thing from the NITSA from NITSA today is that they've closed an investigation of Tesla on allowing passengers, intended allowing passengers, and sometimes drivers to play video games through the Tesla entertainment system on the touchscreen while the vehicle is not in park. So this is going back, I think almost a year and a half now, and Tesla very quickly disabled that functionality unfortunate for passengers, but obviously if drivers are doing that, it's not something that would be safe with current autopilot functionality. And NITSA did find that, you know, I'm not sure how they determined this, but they say that it's apparent driver use of passenger play was approximately third of the trips in which that was being used. So basically, passengers using it two thirds of the time, drivers actually using it one third of time, again, not sure how they came to that conclusion, but obviously that is a relatively significant number for the amount of usage that it was getting if that is accurate. But again, Tesla disabled that quickly, so basically they're just wrapping this up and saying no recall needed because Tesla's already kind of taken care of that problem.
好的,最后几件事情。今天NITSA(国家公路交通安全管理局)的一个消息是,他们已关闭调查特斯拉允许乘客(意图允许)有时候司机在车辆不在停车状态下,通过特斯拉娱乐系统在触摸屏上玩电子游戏的问题。我想这大约有一年半的历史,而特斯拉非常迅速地禁用了该功能,这对乘客来说很不幸,但显然,如果司机在做这件事,与当前的自动驾驶功能一起使用并不安全。NITSA确实发现,在使用乘客玩耍时,司机使用的显然只占了大约三分之一的行程。换句话说,乘客使用该功能的时间占了三分之二,而司机实际上只使用了三分之一的时间。我不知道NITSA是如何得出这个结论的,但如果这是准确的,这对于使用量来说是一个相对较大的数字。但是,特斯拉很快就禁用了这个功能,所以他们只是总结说不需要召回,因为特斯拉已经解决了这个问题。

Next, we've got another state EV credit. So not necessarily a new credit, but an update to EV state credits in Colorado. So beginning July 1st, this year, all Colorado residents who purchased or lease an EV with an MSRP up to $80,000 will call off five for an EV tax credit of $5,000. I don't think their income caps on this. So kind of like similar what we talked about with Minnesota, but they're using an even higher MSRP here with this $5,000 credit. So pretty cool. I think the current state EV tax credit is $1,500, or sorry, $2,000. So a pretty significant increase. And they also say that beginning next year, January 1st, 2024, EVs under $35,000 will be eligible for an additional tax credit of $2,500.
接下来,我们有另一个州级电动车(EV)税收抵免。虽然不是全新的税收抵免,但这是对科罗拉多州EV税收抵免的更新。从今年7月1日开始,所有购买或租赁价值高达80,000美元的EV的科罗拉多居民将获得5,000美元的EV税收抵免。我认为这项税收抵免没有收入上限。所以这就像我们谈到的明尼苏达州一样,但他们在这项5000美元的税收抵免中使用了更高的建议零售价(MSRP)。非常酷。我认为现有的州级EV税收抵免是1,500美元,或者说是2,000美元。因此,这是一个相当大的提高。他们还说,从明年1月1日开始,价值低于35,000美元的EV将有资格获得额外的2,500美元的税收抵免。

Now it sounds like this gets phased out. I'm not sure how the second part of it works with the phase out, but it looks like beginning in 2026, this $5,000 credit gets cut to $3,500, then it scales down to $1,500, then to $1,500 before being completely phased out. So an exciting update in the short term. Hopefully once Tesla gets this next generation vehicle out, they can maybe sneak in there with a little bit of $7,500 credits on a lower price vehicle in addition to potentially a federal credit of $7,500 where the vehicle might then be what, like $15,000? Could be kind of crazy. They're in Colorado for a little bit, but that phase out timing will make that a little bit challenging for Tesla to hit. So we'll see on that, maybe the Model 3 eventually with Project Island gets under this, in which case that can be very compelling there with this credit in addition to already being compelling, of course, with the $5,000 credit sort of base.
现在听起来好像这个税收减免将被逐步取消。我不确定它的第二部分如何与税收减免同时开展,但似乎从2026年开始,这个5000美元的税收减免将被降至3500美元,然后逐渐降为1500美元,然后再降至1500美元,最终被完全取消。因此,短期内有一个令人兴奋的更新。希望一旦特斯拉推出下一代车型,他们可以通过低价车型的500美元税收减免加上潜在的7,500美元联邦税收减免,可能会达到15000美元左右,这可能有点疯狂。他们在科罗拉多州待了一段时间,但取消的时间表会让特斯拉很难达到目标。因此,我们将拭目以待,也许Model 3最终带有Project Island,这在税收减免的基础上,已经十分具有吸引力。

So excited to see that for Colorado, they've always been pretty supportive with those EB credits.
非常兴奋看到,科罗拉多州一直以来对那些EB积分非常支持。

And then we talked previously about the event that Tesla was holding at Kickup or Lynn. So we kind of figured out or Tobias Lynn figured out that that was going to be an employee event, sort of a family celebration day. So Tesla did have that. They say, celebrated 10,000 employees, celebrated with 10,000 employees in their families at Kickup or Lynn family day. So they just put a quick video up of that celebration, but nice to see some fun there at Kickup or Lynn.
我们之前曾经谈到了特斯拉在Kickup或者Lynn进行的活动。所以我们推测或者说Tobias Lynn推测,那将是一次员工活动,也是家庭庆祝日。所以特斯拉确实举办了这个活动。他们说,在Kickup或者Lynn家庭日,与10,000名员工和他们的家人一起庆祝了10,000名员工的到来。所以他们发布了一个快速的庆祝视频,但是很高兴在Kickup或者Lynn看到一些有趣的东西。

And then finally for today, we do want to take a quick look at the calendar. Nothing too major going on, of course, various economic reports this week, but no CPI or PPI yet, as we wrap up in May, we should see those in early June. Not sure if they'll be next week, but I think it's actually probably the following week. So it doesn't look like anything too major, of course, a lot going on in Congress as usual, but we'll see on that sort of stuff.
今天最后,我们想快速查看一下日历。当然,本周有各种经济报告,但还没有CPI或PPI,5月份结束时我们应该会在6月初看到这些报告。我不确定它们是否会在下周,但我认为可能是下下周。看起来并不是太重要,当然,国会方面有很多事情正在发生,但我们将观察这些事情。

So that'll wrap it up for today. As always, thank you for listening. Make sure you're subscribed and signed up for notifications. You can also find me on Twitter at Tesla Podcast. And we'll see you tomorrow for the Wednesday, May 31st episode of Tesla Daily. Thank you.
今天的节目就到这里了。感谢您一如既往的聆听。请确保您已订阅并开启通知。您也可以在Twitter上找到我,我的账户是Tesla Podcast。我们将在明天的5月31日星期三为您呈现Tesla Daily的节目。非常感谢。



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