Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the on-7 first quarter 2023 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are on a listen only mode. After the speakers presentation, there'll be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, need to press star 1-1 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star 1-1 again. Please be advised to these countries being recorded. I would not like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Parag Agarwal. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Kevin. Good morning and thank you for joining on-slammy first quarter 2023 Quarterly Results Conference Call. I am joined today by Hasan and Karik, our president and CEO and FATTRAINC, our CFO. This call is being broadcast on the investor relations section of our website at www.hounslammy.com. A reply of this webcast along with our 2023 first quarter earnings release will be available on our website approximately one hour following this conference call and the recorded webcast will be available for approximately 30 days following this conference call. Additional information is posted on the investor relations section of our website.
Our unequalis and this presentation includes certain non-care financial measures. The conflation of these non-care financial measures to the most directly comparable gap measures and the gap financial measures are included in our unequalis which is posted separately on our website in the investor relations section. During the course of this conference call, we will make projection or other forward-looking statements regarding future events or the future financial performance of the company.
We wish to caution that such statements are subject to risk and uncertainties that could cause actual results or even to differ materially from projections. Important factors that can affect our business, including factors that could cause actual results to differ from our forward-looking statement, are described in our most system from 10Qs, from 10Qs, other filing with securities and exchange commission and in our earnings release for the first quarter of 2023. Our estimates are that our looking statements may change and the company assumes no obligation to update our looking statements to reflect actual results, change assumptions or other events that may occur except as required by law. Now, let me turn it over to Hassan.
Hassan? Thank you, Perog. Good morning and thank you all for joining us today. As you continue our transformation, I'm pleased to report another quarter where we've exceeded expectations with revenue of $1.96 billion and non-GAP gross margin of 46.8%, both above the midpoint of our guidance. The current market environment did not deter us from our goals. We have teams around the world who are committed to operational excellence and I am proud of the results they have achieved in this first quarter.
Over the last two years, we centered our transformation around the structural changes that would enable us to better navigate the uncertainty in the semiconductor industry. We streamlined our product portfolio, reduced price to value discrepancies, doubled down on silicon carbide and improved the overall operations of the company. We have incredible talent in the company and we have all have been all hands on deck to solve some of the world's toughest engineering problems to accelerate the ramp of this next generation technology.
Thanks to our team's relentless efforts, we are seeing greater than anticipated silicon carbide results ahead of our internal plan for manufacturing output at every stage of the process from bulls to die to modules. In Q1 alone, these results allowed us to ship nearly double our Q4 revenue in more than half of our 2022 full year revenue. We are on track to grow our revenue to $1 billion in 2023 and that is approximately 5 acts of revenue of 2022, setting ourselves up for leadership in the silicon carbide market with the majority of the substrate sourced internally.
Demand for electric vehicles, ADAS and energy infrastructure remain healthy and made of broad-based macroeconomic slowdown. While our automotive revenue increased 38% year over year, it was flat quarter over quarter. We are still supply constrained across several automotive technologies while in some other technologies we are cautiously monitoring inventory digestion. In Q2, we expect to see quarter over quarter growth in our automotive revenue. In Q1, we shifted our mix to energy infrastructure where there is high demand and high growth.
Our industrial revenue in turn increased 1% sequentially instead of the decline we had anticipated. Driven by the need for our alternative energy sources and accelerated by global geopolitical issues, installation of energy storage systems is increasing along with our content that includes silicon carbide and silicon power solutions. Pricing across our business is stable and we don't anticipate any changes in the pricing environment. A significant part of our business is secured by long-term supply agreements and pricing in these agreements is fixed for multiple years. Also, as part of our business transformation, we have walked away from price sensitive businesses in non-strategic areas to drive predictable financial results.
In Q1, automotive and industrial accounted for 79% of our total revenue as compared to 65% in the quarter year ago. When we started our transformation, we targeted 75% of our business to be automotive and industrial by 2025 and we have achieved our desired end result two years earlier. We also improved our demand visibility across all markets with commitments from our customers, new and existing in the form of LTSAs. These LTSAs also helped reduce our exposure to the volatility in the consumer and computing markets. Volkswagen, as an example, signed a three-year agreement for more than 100 current production devices, giving them the required supply chain sustainability with a major semiconductor partner. Our committed revenue through LTSAs increased again in Q1 by $1 billion.
We are supporting our customers today while working closely with them on next-generation designs for their intelligence power and sensing needs. In addition to the LTSA we announced last quarter, we were recently honored with the 2022 supplier of the year award from Hyundai Motor Group, which recognized on semi as a trusted provider for key technology in its ecosystem, offering supply chain resilience and manufacturing sustainability. Customers also recognize us as a strategic partner that provides high value through the entire design cycle, which gives them a competitive edge over their peers. In March, we launched our new Elite Power Simulation Tool to bring complex power electronics applications to market faster through system-level simulations, saving design engineers from expensive, time-consuming hardware fabrication and testing in the early stages of development. This tool will also allow us to get a broader customer reach through our distribution network with a low touch model to design in our products.
我们今天正在支持客户,与他们密切合作为他们的智能功率和感应需求设计下一代产品。除了上季度宣布的LTSA外,我们最近还荣获了来自现代汽车集团的2022年度供应商奖,这认可了我们半导体作为其生态系统关键技术的可信供应商,提供供应链韧性和制造可持续性。客户也认可我们作为战略伙伴的高价值,通过整个设计周期为他们提供竞争优势。在三月份,我们推出了新的Elite Power Simulation Tool,通过系统级模拟将复杂的功率电子应用程序更快地推向市场,为设计工程师节省了早期开发阶段昂贵、耗时的硬件制造和测试。此工具还将使我们通过低触点模型,在我们的产品设计中拥有更广泛的客户覆盖率。
Global automotive OEMs are choosing to partner with OnSemi for the superior performance of our end-to-end silicon carbide solutions. Just last week we announced an LTSA with Zikr, a leading all-EV manufacturer in China who has selected OnSemi's third generation 1200 volt Elite Sik MOSFET to increase the electric power train efficiency and extend the range of its expanding portfolio of high performance electric vehicles. These Elite Sik power devices deliver improved power and thermal efficiency, which reduce the size and weight of the traction in the voters to deliver improved performance, resulting in extended driving range and faster charging speeds. BMW Group has also selected OnSemi's Elite Sik to support range extension for their next generation elective vehicles. They secured an LTSA with us to equip their future electric drive trains with our silicon carbide technology to increase efficiency and system level performance.
全球汽车原始设备制造商选择与OnSemi合作,以获得我们全面的碳化硅解决方案的卓越性能。就在上周,我们宣布与中国领先的全电动汽车制造商Zikr签署了长期供应协议,他们选择了OnSemi的第三代1200伏Elite Sik MOSFET,以提高电动汽车动力总成效率并扩大高性能电动汽车产品组合的行驶里程。这些Elite Sik电源器件提供了改进的功耗和热效率,从而减小了磨擦扭矩器的尺寸和重量,提供了改进的性能,包括延长行驶里程和更快的充电速度。BMW集团也选择了OnSemi的Elite Sik来支持下一代电动汽车的里程延长。他们与我们签署了长期供应协议,用我们的碳化硅技术为未来的电动动力总成提供高效性能。
We also continue to invest in silicon power and as Auto OEMs move to a zonal architecture, we deliver intelligent power solutions that meet all voltage range requirements from 12 volts to 48 volts and beyond. Through these strategic partnerships, we are enabling our customer sustainability efforts while also working on our own. We committed to the Science-Based Targets Initiative and pledged to set near-term science-based emission reduction targets in line with SBTI criteria and our decarbonization journey to achieve net zero emissions by 2040.
Our Q1 revenue for intelligent sensing increased 26 percent year over year. We introduced our new HyperLux family of image sensors to support the transition to 8 megapixel devices, where ASPs can be up to 2.5 times that of 1 or 2 megapixel image sensors. Our traction for image sensors in automotive has proliferated into industrial automation and smart retail applications. Our newest 8 megapixel image sensor achieved stunning or K video quality with optimized near infrared response, necessary for industrial applications with harsh lighting conditions such as security and surveillance, body cameras, doorbell cameras and robotics.
The shift out of lower-value commodity applications coupled with capacity expansion in differentiated products and packages reduced the supply to demand gap and is driving margin expansion and revenue growth in our focus markets. Automotive and industrial now account for more than 95 percent of our intelligent sensing business. Beyond image sensing, our intelligent sensing penetration is expanding with other sensing solutions in our portfolio.
We shift our 1 billionth inductive position sensor IC to HELLA, one of the largest automotive supplier who uses our technology and their drive-by-wire systems such as accelerator pedal sensing, steering and torque sensors as well as actuators for pressure boost and turbos. We also lead the market in automotive ultrasonic sensors with more than 20 sensors in one of the latest EV models from elating European OEMs. In Q1, our intelligent power and intelligent sensing revenue accounted for 69 percent of our total revenue as compared to 64 percent in the quarter a year ago.
As we get ready for the next chapters and with our journey, we are applying what we know, operational excellence in controlling what we can and executing to our commitments. We have positioned ourselves to lead in our focus markets with superior technology to offer our customers and we have the agility to pivot and adapt to change as required by the business and market environment. And more importantly, we have the team to execute.
Now I will turn to call over to Seth to provide additional details on our financial and guidance. That.
现在我将转交给Seth,他将提供关于我们的财务和指导的额外细节。这样做是为了让大家更加易于理解。
Thanks, Eson. As Eson highlighted, we exceeded expectations in the first quarter, which is a testament to our employees around the globe for a committed to operational excellence. Our ability to focus, invest and execute has provided benefits across all areas of the business and allowed us to maintain our financial targets while navigating the market uncertainty. We continue to identify and extract operational efficiencies in our business groups and corporate functions while identifying cross margin expansion opportunities.
I'll start by diving into our results for the first quarter. Total revenue was $1.96 billion above the midpoint of our guidance driven by strength in Silicon Carbide and energy infrastructure. In Q1, our Silicon Carbide manufacturing output was ahead of our internal plans and we nearly doubled our Q4 revenue, increasing our confidence in our past to the billion dollar year.
Our automotive business now accounts for 50 percent of solar revenue and at $986 million in Q1, it was flat sequentially offset by a recovery in industrial revenue. Industrial revenue grew by 1 percent quarter to quarter, surpassing our original projection. We anticipate another stellar year for our energy infrastructure business with projected 50 percent growth over 2022 at a creative gross margin.
Revenue for the Power Solutions Group or PSG was $1 billion in increase of 3 percent year over year and we saw sequential gross margin expansion as our Silicon Carbide ramp exceeded expectations on both revenue and margins. Revenue for the Advanced Solutions Group or ASG was $593 million, a decrease of 14 percent year over year and revenue for the Intelligent Sensing Group or ISG was up an impressive 32 percent year over year at a record of $354 million.
ISG's impressive turnaround continues as Q1 was also their 11th quarter of gross margin expansion with record gross margin exceeding 50 percent. As a corporation, our consolidated gross margin held up nicely. Gap and non-gap gross margin for the first quarter was 46.8 percent above the midpoint of our guidance driven by higher than anticipated industrial revenue and improved manufacturing performance for Silicon Carbide output.
We also exited an additional $47 million revenue in the quarter at an average gross margin in the mid 40 percent range bringing the total revenue to date to $341 million of non-core business exit.
Our non-gap gross margin declined by 160 basis points quarter of a quarter as expected with the ramp up of Silicon Carbide and EFK headwinds and lower factor utilization of 71 percent as we continue to slow wafer starts.
Q1 was our first quarter of operation since acquiring our 300 millimeter fab and EFK. The current operating cost is much higher than we anticipated so the dilutive impact is greater than we previously expected. However, based on our current outlook, we are confident we can re-align the cost structure of the fab and drive efficiencies to recover by early 2024. As demonstrated in Q1, we expect to maintain our gross margin trajectory for 2023. Our financial strategy remains unchanged as does our capital allocation strategy.
In Q1, we return more than 100 percent of our free cash load to our shareholders with share repurchases of $104 million. This was the first repurchase from our new authorization which allows us to repurchase up to $3 billion through 2025. Additionally, we issued $1.5 billion in convertible notes in Q1 with the proceeds used to repay our term loans. This was essentially leverage neutral and highly accretive as we swapped out a portion of our variable rate debt approaching 7 percent with a fixed rate convert with a coupon of 50 basis points. We also entered a call spread transaction increasing the effective strike price to $156.78 per share providing significant dilution protection.
Now, let me give you some additional numbers for your models. Gap operating expenses for the first quarter are $352.6 million as compared to $314.1 million in the first quarter of 2022. Gap operating expenses were $286 million as compared to $302.8 million in the quarter of a year ago. Non-gap operating expenses were below our guidance as we managed discretionary spending across the company given the uncertain macro environment. We also initiated structural changes to ASG to improve operational efficiency by reallocating resources to high growth R&D initiatives while improving our product development and time to market on industry leading proprietary products.
Gap operating margin for the fourth quarter was 28.8 percent and non-gap operating margin was 32.2 percent a decrease of 190 basis points quarter over quarter. Our non-gap tax rate was 16.3 percent. Gap earnings per diluted share for the first quarter was $1.3 as compared to a buck 18 in the quarter of a year ago. Non-gap earnings per share was $1.19 above the high end of our guidance. Our Gap diluted share count was $448.5 million shares and our non-gap diluted share count was $439.1 million shares.
Turning to the balance sheet, cash and cash equivalence was $2.7 billion and we had 1.6 billion under on on our revolver. Gap from operations was $408.9 million and free cash low was $87.4 million or $4.4 percent of revenue. Free cash low was negatively impacted by timing of annual bonuses and cap-X payment. Capital expenditures during Q1 with $321.5 million which equates to a capital intensity of 16.4 percent for the quarter. As we indicated previously, we were directing a significant portion of our capital expenditures toward Silicon Carbide and enabling our 300-millimeter capabilities at East Biscuits Bab and expect our capital intensity to be in the mid to high-teen percentage range for the next several quarters.
Accounts receivables of $880.9 million increased by $38.6 million and DSO of 41 days increased by 4 days. Inventory increased by $198.1 million sequentially and days of inventory increased by 23 days to 159 days. This includes approximately 43 days of bridge inventory to support fab transitions in the impending Silicon Carbide ramp. We continue to proactively manage distribution inventory decreasing inventory in the channel by $79 million sequentially and at historically low levels with weeks of inventory at 7 weeks compared to 7.3 weeks in Q4.
Total debt was $3.5 billion and net leverage is $0.25. In Q1, we accrued $41 million in our balance sheet under property plant and equipment related to the 25 percent investment tax credit for investments in our U.S. factories. These will eventually flow through our income statement as lower depreciation and will receive the associated cash benefit in the future.
Let me now provide you key elements of our non-gap guidance for the second quarter. The table detailing our gap and non-gap guidance is provided in the press release related to our first quarter results. Our business continues to strengthen with total committed revenue under LTSA's $17.6 billion and increase of $1 billion quarter of a quarter. We expect to recognize approximately $5.8 billion of committed revenue from our LTSA's in the next 12 months in addition to our non-cancelled non-returnable orders.
Given the macro uncertainty, we are taking a cautious stance in our guidance. We anticipate Q2 revenue will be in the range of $1.975 billion to $2.07 billion. We expect automotive and industrial to increase quarter of a quarter with other markets flat to down as we plan further access in our non-strategic end markets.
We expect non-gap gross margin to be between 45.5 percent and 47.5 percent due to lower factory utilization, EFK headwinds, and the dilutive impact of rampant silicon carbide which remains ahead of plan. This also includes share-based compensation of $4.5 million.
As we previously stated, 2023 will be a transition year for our gross margins and we expect to maintain our trajectory as we manage these temporary headwinds. We expect non-gap operating expenses of $297 million to $312 million including share-based compensation of $28.8 million.
We anticipate our non-gap OIE will be $3 to $5 million. We expect our non-gap tax rate to be in the range of 15.5 percent to 16.5 percent and our non-gap diluted share count to the second quarter is expected to be approximately $440 million shares. This results in non-gap earnings per share to be in the range of $1.14 to $1.28.
We expect capital expenditures of $420 to $460 million, primarily in brownfield investments in silicon carbide and EFK which are more efficient use of capital than the greenfield alternative of building a fab from the ground up.
We are very proud of our financial results through this transformation and will continue to deliver value for our shareholders. We are equally pleased with our cultural transformation. OnSIMI is a very different company today. We challenge the status quo and we hold ourselves accountable to our commitments.
As many of you know, we will be holding an analyst day in New York on May 16th and we look forward to sharing our future plans to accelerate value for our shareholders. We hope to see you there.
With that, I'd like to turn the call back over to Kevin to open the line for questions. Thank you, ladies and gentlemen.
因此,我想把电话交回给凯文开放提问环节。谢谢,女士们先生们。
If you have a question or a comment at this time, please press star 11 on your telephone. If your question has been answered, you wish to move yourself from the queue. Please press star 11 again. We'll pause for a moment while we compile our Q&A roster.
Hi guys. Thanks for letting me ask a question. I want to ask about the auto side of your business. Investors are getting a little more concern just about that market. Given that, it's one of the few that hasn't specifically adjusted. You guys were flat sequentially versus what you thought would be up a bit. That's all despite the Silicon Carbide side, up-siding. I guess could you just talk a little bit about what you're seeing there, inventory, demand, and perhaps separate the Silicon Carbide side from the other parts of the business when you give that answer, please?
Sure, look, obviously for Silicon Carbide, it's a ramping business for us. You've seen tremendous progress in the first quarter. Slightly ahead of what we thought we would be based on just the team doing a stellar job, ramping the technology. That's going to keep ramping throughout the year. You can think about it as an uptick in the second half as we accelerate exiting the year on track for the billion dollar that we talked about. Every day, we add more and more confidence in those numbers.
The rest of automotive, obviously, we have some technologies that remain constrained. Demand is healthy. We remain constrained in our ability to supply to that demand. You can think about that as our Silicon high voltage, Silicon medium voltage, that not just go to the EV demand, but also a broader aspect of that demand. Other technologies, we're monitoring the inventory digestion, as I said in my Preparatory Mark. That was kind of the first quarter where we wanted to look at it.
We used that opportunity to drain the distribution inventory where you see we went from 7.3 to 7 weeks. That's a pretty big number, over 70 million dollar drained from the inventory because we wanted to set ourselves up for the uncertainty in the second half of the year that everybody keeps talking about. From a demand, I'm comfortable with the EV. That's a ramping business for us. The rest we're cautiously monitoring.
However, as I mentioned, my Preparatory Mark's Q2 is an up quarter for us in Q1. You can think about automotive as we took a breather in Q1 to test the inventory and we're going to keep ramping for the rest of the year. We're going to be up from last year, so that gives you an idea on the overall demand as we see it outside of quarter on quarter fluctuation.
Perfect. Thanks for that. I guess moving from my follow-up over to that on the gross margin side of things seems pretty good. There were quite a few moving parts, especially the East Fish Kill and the Silicon Carbide side, but the net of it all seemed to be right in line with your plan. Can you just talk a little bit about those moving parts? East Fish Kill is more expensive, but Silicon Carbide's ahead of plan. Is that still net out to the same trajectory through the rest of the year? Just walk us through those puts and takes and maybe the utilization side is part of that as well, please.
Yeah. So the utilization dropped in the quarter from about 74% to 71%. We expect kind of what we're seeing right now is utilization to stay in that range, but it's our minus for the remainder of the year. Obviously, if there's a second half recovery, we can ramp up quickly. We nailed it on the rest of it, Silicon Carbide performed better than expected. EFK cost, as I said, is coming in significantly higher than we expected. You can think about these as being orders of magnitude more dilutive than what we expected. The good news is we are absorbing that. As I said, we're finding additional opportunities to improve gross margin across the company, and we're able to absorb that. We believe by the time we get into 2024, we've got the same amount of money.
We've got the cost structure of the EFK back in line to where we would expect it to be. So we're really confident in the margin outlook for this this year. I don't think anything changes. I think if we look at street consensus for gross margin for 2023, even with these headwinds, we think we can execute to those expectations. Thank you.
Thanks for taking my question. I thought I wanted to ask about your plans for insourcing the material side for Silicon Carbide. Can you give us a progress on how that's going? I believe you said during the prepared remarks that you are targeting to be majority in sources. Is that a full-year comment? Is that an exiting Q4 comment? So just give us an update on where you are from an in-sourcing perspective. And let's say if you are majority in-sourced exiting the year, how does that help you on the gross margin side?
Yeah, look, my comment is exiting the year. You know, it's basically reiterating our plan that I've stated throughout the year. Last year of establishing the supply, establishing the growth in our Hudson facility in order to set ourselves up exiting the year majority. So that holds even more now given the progress that we've had in Hudson just in the last quarter, which drove a lot of our favorability in our results and the gross margin as that talked about. So I remain very, very happy with where we are from the progress and the confidence that we have in reiterating our plans. As far as the gross margin, obviously, in-sourced is always better because you can see the merchant, there's always margin stacking that happens to our ability to be able to mix and have a majority exiting, of course, helps the margin as we move through the year.
But the biggest portion of the margin expansion for silicon carbide is really going to come from the utilization of that fixed cost that we've implemented. And that remains on track for us to get that business to, you know, at or above the corporate margin. So we remain very focused on that and really satisfied with where we've done so far.
Got it. And for my follow up, Hassan, I think you mentioned that so specific to authors that you took the opportunity in Q1 to drain some of the inventory. How are you seeing the overall pricing environment as you look Q2 through Q4 versus what you thought earlier? Are there any changes? You know, there's a lot of macro cross-currents, but how is that impacting your automotive outlook, Q2 through Q4, especially on the pricing side? Are there any changes one way or another?
Absolutely. No changes. It's actually very, very predictable. And that's really the benefit that we've been talking about with the LTSAs that have us really with our customers aligned on pricing and volume through the durations of the LTSAs.
So no conversations about pricing, the focus has always remained on supply. And that's holding up not just through the year, but through the extent of the LTSAs we have with the customers. So very, very stable and no pressure on that.
And by the way, it's not just an automotive. The pricing is holding up across all markets where we have LTSAs. And because we, as you know, we've been focusing on products that provide value.
It's not a pricing conversation. It's about what the products bring to the customer. The things that would have pricing pressures, you know, fact talked about how we have been focusing on exiting those, that business, you know, to the point where it's above, you know, the business we exited had a forehandle on the gross margin.
And we still are steadfast on exiting because that is where the margin pressure will come in and the pricing pressure and we're not going to play in these markets and we're getting ahead of it and exiting those businesses.
Excellent. Thank you, Sam. One moment for our next question.
非常好。谢谢你,萨姆。我们接下来的问题稍等一下。
Our next question comes from Chris Denelli with City Your Line's Open. Thanks, guys. I didn't know I went from a Jewish to Italian overnight. Anyway, can you just give us a little update and some color on the shortages in the lead time situation?
I guess for Hassan, our shortages pretty much exclusively in the automotive business or they elsewhere. And then is there any point in time this year where you think the shortages will go away?
Yeah, look, so the, for me, I always refer to shortages as technologies because they're across all markets where we provide them. You know, high voltage silicon is of course a constraint technology for us.
We ramped capacity yet the demand is much higher than even our increased capacity. And for that business, for example, goes into automotive and it goes into industrial specifically in our alternative energy. And as that said, that's ramping very nicely this year after a very stellar 22 ramp that we talked about last year.
So that is technology that is constrained. We have some intelligent power technologies that are constrained. You know, think about it as a mixed signal analog where demand in automotive and demand in industrial both have been increasing ahead of the capacity we've added. So those are technologies, agnostic of markets.
We remain constrained not because of just capacity but demand keeps accelerating because of the markets we are participating in. As far as the second half of the year, you know, that really depends on what your view is for the second half of the year. Based on our outlook, that technology will still remain constrained there.
While in other areas, not in these specific technologies, we're seeing some flattening in our lead times. And therefore, we can see some of that easing. But the second half is really going to depend on what the demand does. Based on our outlook, we're going to remain constrained.
Yeah, and on the lead times, lead times are relatively stable. You know, running kind of in that 41 to 43 week timeframe. Quarter to quarter, you know, I think down a week to two weeks. But I would call it pretty much across the board, lead times are stable.
Okay, great. And then for my follow up, just I guess one for that. So as the CAPEX is ramping, that can you just talk about maybe over the next three to five years, how that's going to impact depreciation and gross margin.
And can this all be offset by the efficiencies or, you know, what will be the, I guess, the gross margin headwind from all this CAPEX, you know, a little farther down the road.
Yeah, well, you know, I would start out by saying we're making big investments in Silicon Carbide and EFK, as I've mentioned. Now, as you think about our capital expansion and expansion and just capacity, it's the support, the LTSA that we have, right? So this is not a situation where we're building capacity, hoping that we can fill it.
So we're very comfortable that with our margin projections that we can absorb that additional depreciation. I would tell you in general, I wouldn't call it significant, but what you would see is offsetting revenue and gross margin to offset that depreciation.
Perfect. Thanks, guys. Thanks. One number for our next question.
太好了。谢谢,伙计们。谢谢。下一个问题需要一个数字。
Our next question comes from Toshayahari with Goldman Sachseline is open. Hi, good morning. Thanks so much for taking the question.
我们的下一个问题来自高盛的 Toshayahari,请发言。嗨,早上好。非常感谢您回答问题。
I had a follow-up question on gross margins as well, FAD. Just curious how we should be thinking about the timing of headwinds from both the Silicon Carbide ramp and the EFK ramp peaking.
Is that sort of a second half, 23 dynamic, or should we expect the headwinds to stay relatively elevated in the early part of 24? And also the benefits from your FAD light strategy, I think you've sized it at 160 million in reduced cost over time. Once we expect those benefits to kick in. Yeah, so the impact of the 160 million start there, we expect to get that as we exit those FADs. We think that really starts to kick in in 24 and 25. It takes at least three years to exit a FAD. I think most of that starts to roll in in 24 and 25.
On the headwinds from Silicon Carbide and EFK, the EFK is already hit us in Q1. You can think about that as being pretty consistent through the year. We think by early 2024, we can get that back in line. It isn't the headwind that we got surprised with. On Silicon Carbide, it's ahead of schedule, which is really great. It's performing much better than we expected. There is a headwind there. We think it likely peaks in that Q3 time frame. Then we think by the time we get to 24, those margins are at the corporate average. That's behind us as well. EFK will be a little bit of a drag as we've talked about previously. In 24 and 25, as we continue to do that Foundry business for global foundries, but we think we can get the cost structure back in line this year. That's helpful. Thank you.
As my follow up one for Hassan, a little longer term. I think at your previous analyst day, you had guided revenue growth for the overall company in the 7-9% range. I think that was a 2025 model. I think you have pretty good visibility given the LTSA pipeline. The 7-9% range, still the right range in your view as you think about the overall company over the next several years. Do you think with Silicon Carbide and some of the other opportunities that you've secured, you could potentially outgrow that? Thank you. I would say it must be present to win. I'll see you at our analyst day on May 16th for that one.
Okay, that's right. Thank you. One moment for our next question.
好的,没错。谢谢。稍等一下,下一个问题来了。
Our next question comes from Harsh Kumar with a Piper Salary line is open. Yeah, hey guys, first of all, congratulations on a very successful transition so far. Hassan, Pat and team and then also the new term results in our shopping environment. So the first question I had is we had a peer of yours in another perhaps segment in the auto business that had poor results out of China or at least a blame China EV slowdown. I was curious, given your position in China, if you would comment on what you're seeing in the EV market and then I've got to follow up. Yeah, look, I mean, we all see the EV market in China, but the difference for us is China for us is a ramping market and that's really going to be contributing to our ramp throughout the year. So even if the demand call it on the top demand is a little choppy out of China for us, it's incrementally favorable and we're going to continue to ramp there. So we don't see it. So we're kind of disconnected from it, given that for us it's a ramp, it's not a mature market yet and that puts us in a very good position.
Thanks, Hassan. And then maybe one for our dad. What is, you talked about the timing for the Silicon carbide, headwind and the fish scale headwind. Could you quantify what you are seeing in terms of headwind? Would you be able to give us a number? And then the second part of that question is I think, Hassan, you mentioned in your comments that, or maybe that by the third quarter time frame, your Silicon carbide business would be a corporate margin. So are we thinking 40, high 40s, are we thinking 50s ultimately as a stable gross margin for the Silicon carbide business? Yeah, so harsh. You know, what we said is at scale, at once we fully ramped Silicon carbide, those margins would be at or above the corporate average.
As I said, we've got headwinds that we think peak in Q3. We think by the time we get to 24, that headwind is behind us. In terms of the magnitude of the headwind, you know, we've said historically that the Silicon carbide is 100 to 200 basis points of a headwind. We're performing better than we expected. So you can think about that as it's not as the high end of that range, somewhere in between there. But we're very, very confident in our outlook here based on our performance that we can continue to execute there and we feel very good. On EFK, as I said, we had the full impact in Q1. You can see we absorbed it and offset it with a gross margin expansion in other areas. Historically, we've said that's 40 to 70 basis points. I've said it's significantly higher. You can think about it as being, you know, greater than 2X, what are expectations for. Again, we think we can absorb that throughout the year. Our margin trajectory doesn't change and we're very comfortable with street consensus on gross margin for the year. So I think it gives you our confidence in managing through this. Thanks for us. Yep.
Next question comes from Rajeev Gil with Needham, your line is open. Yes. Thank you and congratulations as well on great results in a tough environment. Just a quick question on the automotive market. You mentioned Hassan, a modest inventory digestion in the end market and then you're also kind of reducing distribution inventory.
Can you talk a little bit about the overall demand picture for automotive? I know it's hard to kind of separate the significant ramp that you're seeing in electric vehicles and in turn, so it's in carbide. But just curious if there's a softness in the demand market, if there's a shift away from high end to mid-range, any kind of color on the automotive market, automotive market will be appreciated.
Yeah, look, we don't see a big disconnect in the demand. It was like I said. It was a momentary thing where we use this opportunity to kind of reposition the inventory that we have externally and we're get back to growth in the second quarter and through the year giving us an increase in our automotive revenue year over year. So that really doesn't change the outlook.
But what we take a look at, if you think about it, it's a stable environment, we're going to be growing in automotive. If I really don't see any areas that causes us pause or a change in our outlook, so we remain confident with that.
All right, very good. It's from my follow up on the LTSA's, FAD, you talked about 17.6 billion, that was up a billion quarter of a quarter. Was that all primary related to self-incremental design or other drivers?
And just along those lines, you saw kind of significant growth in energy infrastructure. You're talking about it about 50% year over year. Can you describe what are some of the tailwinds in that market?
Thank you. Yeah, so the LTSA's, we continue to stack those up, another billion dollars, this quarter to 17.6 billion dollars. It's broad, it's across the board. There's silicon carbide, there's non-silicon carbide. But when we think about how we're engaging with our customers that want assurance of supply, we're looking at the entire portfolio and locking that up with us for multiple years.
And again, keep in mind, these LTSA's on average are four to five years. So it's, as the FONZ pricing is stable, in those really gives us better predictability of our business and we're happy that we continue to engage with customers on that way. We see customers expanding their LTSA's, either by adding additional part numbers or extending the duration and then we've got new customers that have been on the outside looking in, that are coming in saying we need to get an LTSA with you. And so we think that trend will continue.
And then also, I'll turn it up, and the tailwind is the market driven. You know, we had a stellar year in 22 from 21. And that's compounding now what we're going to see in 23 from 22. And that's all of it is market driven. And that's primarily the big components here are silicon power and silicon carbide.
But again, as that mentioned, we have a penetration with the whole bomb, bill of material. And if you recall, most of that market for us is under LTSA's. You know, we have LTSA's with data that have 10 energy vendors in the world.
One number for our next question. Our next question comes from Matt Ramsey with PD Cowan. Your line is open. Thank you very much guys. Good morning. I wanted to, there's so much focus that typically goes into the silicon carbide space on substrate.
You guys mentioned a few times ramping catbacks and other things around brown field fabs in order to support the business as you ramp the substrates out of G-Tat. Maybe you could give us a little bit of color on how the non substrate part of your supply chain is going for silicon carbide and just what position that might give you guys on a cost basis relative to some others that are doing greenfield facilities. Thanks.
Yeah, so look, as I mentioned, we're, we've been increasing capacity, you know, we started in 2022 in preparation for the 23 ramp and really the 24 ramp in this case where a lot of the focus, like you said, has been on substrate because that's the first thing we have to ramp.
But we've increased capacity in our wafering and internal epi. That gives us a very big cost advantage versus getting turn key externally. And then following that is increase in our fab capacity, which also gives us a much better cost structure because the fab we are ramping is an existing power fab.
That's where we do really most of our IGBT's and having a power fab at scale gives us that edge one from a cost and two from the speed at which we can scale. So think about it this way, you know, increasing capacity in an existing fab that already does power is way cheaper and way less risk than brownfield and a power fab and silicon carbide.
That has always given us the confidence in our ramp, has always given us the confidence in the slope of the ramp, which really exceeds everyone else out there and we're on track to achieving it. All of these give us one, the cost to the risk mitigation and three, the confidence in our outlook. Thanks, Hassan.
As my follow up, I wanted to ask, I think both of you guys mentioned in your script this morning, some little pockets where you're, I think the words were cautiously monitoring inventory. Maybe you could, obviously, the growth of the company and the results speak for themselves and you're overcoming some of those things, but if you could just give us a little bit of color on where you are seeing those pockets of inventory, are they clearing up? Are they getting worse? Just any color there will be helpful. Thanks, guys.
Yeah, look, when I say pockets again, I'll go back to my comment from prior about the technology. You know, we had, we, we made constraint and technologists cross all markets and there are areas primarily, you know, as you can think about it mostly on the consumer and compute where we've been one is cautiously monitoring specifically the DST inventory and that's why you've seen us even this quarter be very aggressive in draining, you know, the dollars in the channel. So although the, the weeks were 0.3 weeks down in the channel, but dollars are almost 80 million dollars down and that's a pretty steep decrease that we have been managing and look, we've been managing it throughout the whole even the, when supply was constrained across the board.
So inventory for us is a big focal point, not just internally, but externally. And until we get higher and higher confidence in what the second half is going to bring, we're going to be cautiously optimistic and really holding back on what we ship out of the company unless we are seeing high confidence in its POSing. We're not going to have inventory just sitting around whether it's our distribution shelf or the customer shelf and that really sets us up for a very nice recovery whenever that starts turning out to be. Thanks, Son.
One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from Christopher Rowland with SESC. Your line is open.
请稍等,我们的下一个问题来自SESC的Christopher Rowland。您现在可以开话筒了。
Hey guys, thanks for the question. I'm going to talk about image sensors. You did talk about supply constraints across several auto tech. I just wanted to check the update of that and then it seems like some of the drivers there are the move to 8 megapixel. I was wondering kind of what your competitive position is there. What percent of revenue might be at 8 versus 1 or 2 overall. Thanks so much.
Yeah, look, obviously our competitive advantage across the board and image sensor is really on technology. We've talked about specific technology. I mentioned a few of them where it's the near infrared that helps with different lighting conditions. That of course applies an automotive and the examples I've given in my prepared remarks or start industrial. But it also applies an automotive where the high dynamic range, whether it's very bright light with sun or very dark at night. Those are all competitive advantage on the tech, inherent in our technology that customers value and that we provide these solutions for.
On the 8 megapixel, that's a new generation that we have launched across both auto and industrial. You can expect that to be forward looking and makes shift as we ramp that. So today it's very small. At the commentary I gave about ASB with of course, also translates to improved margins. That is on a forward looking basis. Both that and I have always said our new products are at or ahead of our model, the 48 to 50. And as we ramp these products, you're going to see the margin expansion that will be contributed to by these products becoming a higher percent of revenue.
So that's more of a forward looking statement that again gives us the confidence in our margin trajectory and the fact that we've always said it's not the model, it's not the destination, it's really a milestone.
Excellent. And just maybe following up there and then a quick one. So you mentioned the supply constraints across several auto tech technologies. I think you mentioned some but just wanted kind of that more comprehensive list. And then lastly, M&A, you have a ton on your plate organically but are you still considering inorganic and how do you see that market?
Yeah, look so across the board obviously. I think I'll comment on image sensors. Image sensors is a foundry business for us. We're seeing some easing in the foundry so we get a little bit more capacity allocated to us. And I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we use this opportunity to really bridge that supply to demand gap that we've had in the last couple of years and we're making progress into catching up. We're not caught up yet but we're making progress so that remains constrained obviously.
On high power silicon, think about it as IGBT or silicon carbide really. We've always said we're sold out on silicon carbide so improvements that we have contribute to our achieving our numbers. IGBT as I mentioned, remains constrained because of the strength and not just automotive market but also in the industrial. A lot of our energy storage systems are silicon and silicon carbide but a lot of it remains still today on silicon so that adds some of that constraint. So you can see it's really across the board not specifically on markets but it's driven by mega-term growth that we are participating in.
As far as M&A, look you're right, our focus is on execution. We have a lot going on. A lot of it is great work that creates a ton of value for our shareholders so execution is key and execution is our focal point. But we never look away from M&A. We're always looking because those are opportunities that we will participate in but as we sit here today I can't tell you there is something we are missing in order to achieve our organic plans of value creation. So we'll be opportunistic. We'll always drive and participate in the M&A landscape but there's nothing I would say we have to have which is the best place to be because we can be very disciplined in our approach of M&A.
Great update. Thanks, Hassan. One moment for our next question.
很棒的更新,谢谢,Hassan。请等一下,我们要问下一个问题了。
Our next question comes from Gary Mobley with Balsvargo. Your line is open. Hey guys, thanks for taking my question and speaking me in here. I know Harsh asked about the China EV market but I wanted to ask more broadly about China and digital demand. Where do you see that demand profile today and maybe give us a sense of China's digital demand as a percentage of your sale currently versus where it has been in the past in terms of thinking about the option out of the upside there?
Yeah, look, just for China specifically in our non-strategic markets, obviously that's been down, both the market is down but also that's not a strategic market for us so we've been exiting and a lot of the exit is driven by the market in China for us. So that contributes to part of our plan so that's not a surprise for us. It's actually what we anticipated and that's how we've been focusing on these exits as far as protecting our margin and that's been our strategic plan all along and we're starting to see it play out which is not a surprise for us.
On the EV, although there's some pause in EV or a little bit of redirection on the EV market in China for us, that market is actually net incremental. We are the ramping party in EV in China and therefore that will remain through the rest of the year even with the current outlook as a net favorable to our revenue growth. So I would say no surprises, no changes to our outlook and no changes to our execution as we move forward this year.
Got it. Here's my follow up. I want to ask about the supply of so-and-carp by materials to support your billion dollars of revenue. I appreciate the fact that you will be majority internally sourced for, substrates exiting the year but I presume that you'll probably purchase somewhere close to $200 million in merchant supply this year. Maybe you can get some update in terms of some of the constraints that you might be seeing there from your more traditional suppliers and how you may be broadly your supplier was there.
Yeah, look, I'm not worried about the merchant supply. Obviously, our percent of internal is going to be incrementally going up throughout the year. We're going to be majority internal. But as far as de-risking, we've done a very good job on having multiple sources that we are able to pull on. All sources, not internal, are qualified and we're getting what we need. So therefore, think about it as a very good and already in the playbook risk mitigation strategy while we continue to execute greatly on our internal substrates. Yeah. I would just add that although it's a tight market out there obviously, I think that's well known. We've been building inventory in Silicon Carbide for this ramp, so we've been preparing for it. And then obviously as we get more flex into internally supplied substrates, that helps us.
I saw him at the Silicon Carbide event you hosted. I think it was perhaps about a year ago. You talked about the trend in supplying the man in Silicon Carbide likely remaining in a shortage situation for many years. I think we have this surprise, certainly surprised many people announcement from Tesla that on their next-gen vehicle, the so-called Robotaxi, they're going to be reducing Silicon Carbide usage meaningfully. I know it's only one customer. I know they're still a small share of global auto production, but it's an important customer. It's an important data point. I wonder how that influences your view of supply demand for Silicon Carbide longer term, not just the next year, but as we think about five years plus.
Yeah, look, actually the announcement doesn't change my outlook. It actually, I would say, confirms it because if you think about it, this is a new platform and a much broader platform as far as volume, and therefore it's incrementally beneficial as far as demand is in the market. That's just on Silicon Carbide. The other thing is when you start thinking, and I don't want to talk about customer specifically, but as more and more, you can start thinking about Silicon and Silicon Carbide, so IGBT plus SICK. This is a business that I've been talking about for really a couple of years, and you've heard me talk about how it's always a customer choice, and our ability to supply both is incrementally beneficial for us. Therefore, when you start seeing Silicon Carbide, even with lower penetration of Silicon Carbide on a platform, it's still a net incremental Silicon Carbide in mass market vehicles. That actually supports the concept that I've talked about that we are going to be constrained over the next few years.
Super helpful. One another, if I can, perhaps, that you talked about the product revenue and margin of the exits you did during the quarter. Can you remind us how much is left of that? That duration you expect for the exits to last, and should we continue to expect this mid-40s gross margin level on the exits going forward? Thank you.
Yes. We think for the year, there's about $400 million of exits. This first quarter, we were at $47 million below our original expectations. We thought it was going to be higher than that this quarter. We actually think we will still exit this throughout the year. I think this next quarter in Q2, we're probably looking at about $85 million of exits. Then the remainder of that to be in the second half. You'll see these exits ramped additionally in the second half. The gross margin is, yeah, it's kind of been that mid-40% range of what we're going to lose currently. This is the stuff that's price-sensitive. The reason we're going to lose it is because we're not going to go down that pricing curve. This is these exits over time. We think these gross margins go back into the low range that we're not willing to participate in. For the year, about $400 million, and you can think about it as the mid-40% gross margin range.
Well, ladies and gentlemen, this is the Q&A portion of today's conference. I'd like to turn the call back over to Hassan Halkeri, President CEO for any closing remarks. Thank you again for joining our call. As Stad mentioned, we look forward to seeing many of you at our analyst day. Our future is bright, and we look forward to sharing with all of you what's next for on Sunday. Thank you.