A BIG Earthquake May Strike In-between Japan and Taiwan Very Soon...

Here we have the Ryu Kuyu Trench and Islands. This is an extension of Japan. We see here very strong subduction zone going down and Right near Taipei in Taiwan in general. We're seeing this new seismic burst So this is just for the past 24 hours, okay? I'm gonna click on the seven-day view because we've had other activity just yesterday But we see just in the past 24 hours a magnitude 5.1 5.1 5.4 That's the strongest in this sequence. That was today 553 a.m. Universal time and a 4.6 now if I go here and switch this to our seven-day view We will see that all of a sudden a lot more earthquakes pop up so We can set this to largest magnitude 5.4 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.0 the fact that we have five magnitude 5s all closely grouped together is Indicative that there could be a bigger earthquake soon to come because this is not normal as it relates to let's say it just being a magnitude 5 and that's it if that was the case.

我们这里看到的是琉球海沟和琉球群岛，它们是日本的延伸部分。在这一区域存在强烈的俯冲带，接近台北以及台湾周边。这过去24小时出现了新的地震活动。我现在切换到7天视图，因为就在昨天也有其他活动。过去24小时内，我们记录到了5.1、5.1、5.4级的地震，其中5.4级是目前这一系列中最强的，发生在今天协调世界时早上5:53，还记录到一个4.6级的地震。如果我们看看7天视图，会发现突然出现了更多的地震。我们可以看到最大震级为5.4、5.2、5.1、5.1、5.1、5.0。如此多的5级地震密集地发生在一起，意味着可能会有更大地震的到来，因为这不太正常，不像是单一的5级地震的情况。

The aftershocks would be magnitude 4 maybe one of them and then you get magnitude 3s if this was like a double sequence Sometimes you get kind of two earthquakes similar magnitude. Well, this is five of them, okay? and What we've seen quite a few times now is that We get these sort of magnitude 5 earthquake swarms preceding larger magnitude 6 and 7 events Keep in mind that this is not relieving stress on a fault if there is a magnitude 6.5 or let's say magnitude 7 imminent Okay, because a magnitude 5 earthquake is a thousand times weaker in seismic energy release than a magnitude 7 goes up 32 times per magnitude So a magnitude 5 compared to magnitude 7 is a drop in the bucket. It's nothing So it's not relieving stress on these faults, okay?

余震的震级可能达到4级，其中的一次可能会如此，然后如果这是双震序列之一，你可能会看到3级地震。有时会碰到两个震级相似的地震。然而，这次是五个地震。我们多次观察到的是，这种5级的地震群常常预示着更大的6级或7级地震的到来。需要注意的是，如果即将发生6.5级或7级地震，这种5级的小地震并不能减轻断层上的压力。因为5级地震释放的地震能量比7级地震少一千倍，每升高一个震级能量增加32倍。因此，5级地震与7级地震相比，根本不值一提，对减轻断层压力没有作用。

And we saw this back in November December I started talking about that earthquakes warm literally the moment We had some five saying get ready something biggest coming it happened. We had a 6.4 6.8 we then had some other magnitude 6 quake activity then the 7.6 a struck Japan one of the strongest earthquakes of the year That was up in this region right here. So that was quite significant now we're seeing activity here the real danger for this is if you were to have a big earthquake Look at the location here, okay? You in it shallow you'll notice all these are shallow I mean the 5.4 is at 35 kilometers in depth all the others around 10 this one there That's trying to fill up the ends. It's really zoom in here all them are showing 10 kilometers of depth which is a adept that a lot of frequencies do rupture at and be also their default value when they can't calculate a depth.

我们在十一月和十二月的时候就注意到这种情况了。当时我开始谈论地震的预兆，我们马上就有了一些5级地震，预示着更强烈的地震即将来临。然后，果然发生了。我们经历了一次6.4级和6.8级地震，接着还有几次6级的地震活动，随后日本发生了7.6级地震，这是当年最强的地震之一。在这一地区，这非常重要。现在我们也看到这里有地震活动，真正的危险在于大地震的发生。看这里的位置，好吗？你注意到所有的地震都很浅。比如，5.4级地震的深度为35公里，其他的深度大约在10公里左右。这些都在这里显示出来，10公里是一个深度，很多地震频率都是在这个深度断裂的，而且当无法计算深度时，也常用这个值作为默认值。

So regardless this 5.4 being the strongest earthquake it has the best ability for us to measure its specific characteristics 35 kilometers. That's not super deep, okay? It's not super shallow, but it's not a deep earthquake that wouldn't trigger a tsunami Let's say a magnitude 7.5 occurs at the same depth that could very well do it shallower would be Better you could say for a big tsunami not that we want that But regardless it's still within that depth range which could trigger something so Here we see that if there was some sort of big event it hit the Philippines Taiwan, Japan Korean Peninsula and also China, but we can drop this guy and right here and Hit play and we'll see that go out So we can see how it impact this part of Asia and Really it's that would be a pretty pretty bad location for something big to occur Not guaranteed Hopefully it doesn't but it's something to be aware of because we're seeing the earthquake activity That often precedes the sort of high magnitude events.

所以尽管这次5.4级地震是最强的，但它让我们最能测量其特定特征，因为震源深度为35公里。这个深度不算太深，也不算太浅，但是不是那种不会引发海啸的深震源。假如同样深度发生7.5级地震，那就很可能引发海啸。如果再浅一点，海啸的威力可能更大，当然我们并不希望发生这样的事情。但是无论如何，它仍然处于可能触发海啸的深度范围内。 如果发生大事件，可能会影响菲律宾、台湾、日本、朝鲜半岛和中国。当然，这只是一种可能性，并不是确定会发生的。希望不会发生，但我们需要警惕，因为我们看到地震活动往往是大规模事件的先兆。我们可以用模型模拟这个情况，看它如何影响亚洲的这部分地区。这确实是一个非常糟糕的大事件潜在发生的地点。

So that's why I report on it when we see the signs we talk about it if nothing's happening there I'm not gonna make a big deal out of nothing like some people do you know They they create these fictional things to drum you up and they'll talk about them for 10 years to create online Cloud at the expense of their soul. That's not what I'm interested in One other thing to note there is that there is a history of strong earthquakes, okay? So we see I just drew a box around just kind of this immediate area for earthquakes Magnitudes seven or greater going back to the year 1900 January 1st You see that Taiwan gets a lot of earthquakes right this junction that makes sense But we do see specifically for right where our earthquakes warm is which is like right here Basically right in the area we see this 7.7 occurred 1938 on the 10th of June at a death of 20 kilometers.

所以，当我们观察到某些迹象时，我会对其进行报告并进行讨论。如果什么都没发生，我不会像有些人那样大惊小怪地凭空捏造一些东西来吸引注意。他们可能会编造故事并谈论十年，只为在线上获取关注，以至于牺牲了自己的良知。那不是我所感兴趣的。需要注意的是，这个地区有发生强烈地震的历史。我在地图上为地震画了一个框，从1900年1月1日开始，记录震级为7级或以上的地震。你会注意到，台湾这个交界处发生了很多地震，这并不奇怪。而我们关注的地区，具体说来，就在这里。1938年6月10日，这里发生了一次7.7级的地震，震源深度为20公里。

So 7.7 is big that would for sure be one of the biggest earthquakes if that occurred this year of the year So it's certainly possible we see that history there we see some other earthquakes nearby 8.1 1910 that's a little further back 7.2 back in 58 and this occurring in 38 means that were What 88 years away from that now? So it's been a while. It's been a while now. We're seeing some foreshock activities So again, no guarantee that's going to result in the you know a big big big earthquake But this sort of foreshock activity is not a Good sign, let's us say unfortunately And it's not relieving stress on the fall if a bigger earthquake is for example you could say destined, okay?.

所以，7.7级的地震非常大，如果今年发生，这将肯定是今年最大的一次地震之一。根据历史记录，这种情况是有可能的。我们可以看到附近的其他一些地震，如1910年的8.1级地震，那已经是很久以前了。此外，1958年发生了7.2级地震，而另一个地震发生在1938年，那距今已有88年了。所以，已经过去了很长一段时间。目前，我们观察到一些前震活动。虽然不能保证这些前震一定会导致一次非常大的地震，但这种前震活动并不是一个好兆头，很不幸，这并没有释放断层上的压力。如果注定会发生更大的地震，情况可能会更严重。