Welcome to Electrified, it's your host Dylan Loomis. Quick shout out to my newest patrons, Scott B, Ron K, and Sahil K. Thank you for choosing to support the channel. If there was ever a Tesla feature to get more users into the Tesla service mode, this may be it. We now have a log of your Tesla service history. So now, service text, whether it's Tesla's in-house or a third party, or somebody doing it yourself, can log the repair history of your vehicle. This part of Update 2024.38.2. So again, this is aimed at technicians, but it's going to be accessible by any Tesla owner, which should make buying a used Tesla a lot more transparent as well. The service history is permanent and will stay with the vehicle, so once the entries are added, they cannot be edited or removed. As mentioned, you can add your own service logs as well for things like windshield wiper fluid, wheel alignment, or brake cleaning to make it easier to track. So potentially, over time, you won't have people saying, well, show me the car facts when you're looking to sell your used Tesla, you can just pull it up right in the car.
欢迎来到Electrified频道,我是你的主持人Dylan Loomis。首先感谢我最新的赞助人,Scott B, Ron K, 和 Sahil K,感谢你们选择支持这个频道。如果说有哪项特斯拉功能能吸引更多用户进入特斯拉服务模式,那么这可能就是它了。我们现在可以记录你的特斯拉服务历史。因此,无论是特斯拉内部的服务技师、第三方技师,还是你自己,都可以记录车辆的维修历史。这是更新2024.38.2的一部分。虽然这个功能主要是面向技师的,它也对任何特斯拉车主开放,这也使得购买二手特斯拉变得更加透明。服务历史是永久保存的,会与车辆绑定,因此一旦添加就无法编辑或删除。如前所述,你也可以添加自己的服务记录,比如挡风玻璃清洁液、更正车轮定位或刹车清理等等,这样可以更方便地跟踪。这样一来,未来当你想出售二手特斯拉时,可能就不需要听别人问“给我看看车辆记录”了,你只需直接在车内查询即可。
By the way, there are some headlines out there that Tesla has fixed the efficiency when it comes to century mode and the battery drain, but still so far, it's just for the Cybertruck. However, there is now a source saying that this improvement will come to the rest of the Tesla lineup, and it's not just me assuming. There may be a huge influx of used EVs on the market, this coming from JD power as they're projecting a massive amount of EVs returning off leases in the US. They said in 2026 returning EV leases will surge around 230%, with about 215,000 EVs returning. Of course, we don't know what percentage of these customers will be looking to buy those EVs at the end of the lease, but it's certainly not going to be 100%. This potential 215,000 EV return number is up from about 65,600 by the end of this year, and 18,900 at the end of 2021. There's plenty of uncertainty when it comes to the $7,500 tax credit, especially for EV leases, but just something to consider for EV pricing overall the next two years, because if the used EV prices have that downward pressure, it's likely to drag down the price of new EVs as well.
Blink charging has announced a strategic passport hub, data sharing and roaming agreement with Charge Hub North America's leading EV roaming hub. This collaboration grants access to an expanding network of chargers while offering a streamlined payment process through a single account of the user's choice. And in case you're not familiar with Charge Hub's EV roaming plan that they call the passport hub, it's really just a platform to make charging more accessible and more convenient for drivers while simplifying the operations for the network operators. So this passport hub is going to make it a lot easier for drivers to charge at many different charging stations without having to sign up for a bunch of different accounts. And that's what they mean by roaming just using a bunch of different charging providers. Tesla owners really don't have to worry about this type of thing, but Charge Hub is already the leading roaming provider in North America, with over 150 active connections that cover more than two thirds of networked CCS and J1772 chargers in the US and Canada. And Blink is the third largest EV charging network in the US. So Blink's public EV chargers will now be a part of Charge Hub's passport hub charging program.
On X, Strength Plan shared a pretty impressive FSD video I wanted to share. Now I was not able to confirm what version of FSD he's running, but I believe he has a 2022 Model 3, so I'm guessing he's on hardware 3. The weekly number for Tesla China came in strong at 17,300 units comparing that to the same week in quarter three that number was 15,500. Thus quarter over quarter Tesla China has closed the gap a bit now down 4.15% comparing to week six in quarter four last year that number was 12,700. And so now year over year Tesla China has flipped positive with this week sitting up 23.84%. The number consisted of 6,530 Model 3's and 10,770 Model Wives. I have this weekly number tied for the third best so far in 2024. And the Model 3 number serves as a reminder to not overreact to any one week. We did have that slow start for the Model 3 this quarter, but this week turned out to be the second highest Model 3 sales of any week all year. Thus a very strong week for Tesla China. Tesla Manufacturing put out a new video celebrating the five year anniversary of Gigabrelin. Just a few of the milestones from the video they made over 400,000 Model Wives during that time. Over 500,000 drive units produced they're recycling over 90% of the processed wastewater. They produced 6.9 gigawatt hours of solar energy enough to power 1,700 households per year. They're delivering the Model Y to 37 different countries. They've planted over 2 million trees. They hired over 12,000 people. And of course they've opened the Gigajim and the rave cave. And it's obviously not linear because you have to account for the Model Y ramp at Gigabrelin. But if you divide that 400,000 Model Wives produced over that five year time period that's only 80,000 per year. Earlier this year we did hear that Gigabrelin had made 6,000 Model Wives in one week. And assuming 50 weeks of production uptime per year that would be 300,000 units per year. The listed capacity of Gigabrelin is over 375,000. So my point is overall I think people were expecting a bit more production of the Model Y out of Gigabrelin. But as we've said the past few months the fact that Tesla is moving ahead with the expansion of Gigabrelin is an encouraging sign for the future.
Hertz just reported its earnings and it's still hurting after its failed EV experiment. The company took a $1 billion non-cash impairment charge during the quarter largely due to the lower value of the battery electric and gas powered vehicles in its fleet. They once again said that repair costs were higher than expected for electric vehicles and customers leased them at lower rates compared to conventional vehicles. Hertz plans to sell 30,000 EVs by the end of this year to get to a number that its customers want to rent. But what doesn't get talked about enough is that Hertz is also selling off many ICE vehicles that they effectively just bought at the peak. Hertz was overhauling its fleet at the worst time when we had the semiconductor shortage and then many auto producers were actually limiting their production numbers. Hertz did say it's on pace to finish its broader fleet changeover effort by the end of 2025 and they said that vehicle pricing levels have normalized. And as I've said a few times in the past, the Tesla depreciation from 2022 to now is likely to be a lot higher than it will be from now two years into the future. But if you go to the Hertz website and search for Tesla, I'm only seeing about 20 listings for Tesla vehicles, a number that was down from thousands just a few months back. So it looks like most of the downward pressure for used Tesla pricing that's specifically caused by Hertz should be in the rearview mirror.
Switching to a Tesla, a smart car has been one of the best purchase decisions of my life. On a more affordable scale, I'm still using this smart extra wallet years later, which has a huge statement about how great it is. Extra is the sponsor of this video, but I've been waiting to say something all year because extra is the perfect gift option with the holidays around the corner and I can almost guarantee you your family will be thankful just as mine has been. I've now had five family members ask about my wallet and we've gifted a few that have been major hits. Extra continually updates its products as they now have the card holder pro, which is even more durable, uses no plastic and can carry seven cards inside the card ejector. Plus now there's even more smart add-ons like cash clips and finder cards. My wallet has a spot for an apple air tag, which has come in handy a few times, but if you want an ultra slim design, the apple finder card works with the apple find my app and you can ring your wallet from anywhere and see where it is on a map. They have plenty of other gifts like book bags that I did use for this trip and cases and other travel accessories. The holiday sale is live right now and you can get up to 55% off just use my code electrified at checkout at partner.extra.com slash Dylan Loomis linked below
Bloomberg NEF is reporting that in Germany their full EV sales are down 61% in August year over year and we've been covering all year the slowdown of full EV sales across Europe. But the reason you have to be so careful with these one month year over year comparisons is you need to know the context for what was happening in that month the prior year. In this case we had a major pull forward of EV demand because the subsidies were set to go away. Don't get me wrong full EV demand in Germany is absolutely struggling. I just think it's important to keep that in mind. BNEF also said that EV demand in Europe right now is complicated due to the fact that automakers are holding off launching more affordable EV models until 2025 when vehicle CO2 targets across the block toughen again. Because these already generally compliant with 2024 targets automakers are under very little pressure to sell additional EVs this year. Which as we know is just a totally different mindset to the one that Tesla operates in. However the analysts are saying that EV sales which do include plug-in hybrids are expected to be 16.7 million units this year up from 13.9 million last year. Which is roughly 21% growth. Elon congratulated the powerwall team at Gig and Nevada for making 1000 powerwalls in a single day. I'll be honest though it's pretty difficult to draw too many conclusions from the production rate of powerwalls as you're about to see. Going back to August 20th earlier this year Tesla Energy said congrats to Tesla Nevada for hitting a new record of more than 500 powerwalls in a single shift. But the problem is we don't have any official word anywhere that I can find about how the powerwall shifts operate. Is there 1, 2 or 3 shifts per day? I could assume but you know what they say about that so let's just stick with the most recent 1000 powerwalls in a single day.
But there was a report in September of 2022 where a site lead at Gig and Nevada said that they have exceeded 6,500 units of the powerwall per week. And if we assume they produce these 7 days per week that would have been a rate of about 928 per week. Over 2 years ago the site lead also said Gig and Nevada produced 37,600 powerwalls in quarter 2 of 2022. And that number divided by 13 weeks in a quarter would give us about 2,900 powerwalls per week. And again assuming production is 7 days a week that would be roughly 415 powerwalls per day. Back in Q2 2022. And 3 months ago in a video from Tesla we learned that with the powerwall 3 Tesla can build 1 every 25 seconds which is over 700,000 units per year or about 9.45 gigawatt hours of capacity at 13.5 kilowatt each. And if you divide that 700,000 per year number by 365 days for symmetry that's about 1,917 per week. So comparing that to this recent update of 1000 per day if we assume that same daily production that would be 365,000 powerwalls per year which is about 4.9 gigawatt hours or about half of the stated capacity according to the video from Tesla. And one more fact for context between 2015 and 2023 the first 8 years of powerwall production Tesla produced 500,000 powerwalls in total.
So to land this plane my 2 main points are that 1 over time powerwall production will certainly fluctuate so be careful with making any extrapolations. And 2 while this is a nice milestone for powerwall production it sounds like they're still at roughly 50% of their powerwall production capacity. And for me the explanation that makes the most sense is that Tesla is slowly moving from powerwall 2 production over to powerwall 3. I think it would be safe to say Tesla's at a run rate of about 350,000 powerwalls per year and at $10,000 each that's about $3.5 billion in revenue from the powerwall every year. Another hat tip to Waymo they are quietly expanding this time in LA removing the waitlist altogether opening it up for anyone in the city. Starting today anybody in LA can use the Waymo 1 app to hail a self-driving robot taxi throughout the nearly 80 square miles of Los Angeles County. That includes the 300,000 residents that were on Waymo's waitlist. LA marks the third and biggest city where the company's robot taxi service is now fully available. Joining San Francisco and Phoenix. We know Waymo is partnered with Uber to launch its robot taxi service in Austin, Texas next year. And I can almost guarantee you that internally Tesla's team is working to be the first driverless robot taxi provider in its home city of Austin. So at this point the race is definitely on.
GM has just unveiled another EV, the 2026 Cadillac Vistik. I don't really want to go into these numbers because by the sounds of things they're not official, they're just estimates. But for what it's worth they are saying deliveries are expected to start early in 2025 in the US. This is a three row SUV for Cadillac and they're calling it the baby Escalade. They're saying the SUV will start at just under $80,000. And the nickname is because it'll be closer to a smaller Escalade rather than a larger version of the Lyric. They're touting an estimated range of 300 miles. So now from a full EV perspective Cadillac has the optic, the Lyric, the Vistik, the Escalade IQ, and the Celestic. Just to highlight some questionable reporting from auto news specifically Molly Boyan. She said that Tesla itself has acknowledged that it would have to drum up demand for the Tesla semi. And her proof for that was when Lars said semi growth will largely depend on our customers adoption of the product. Well, I don't think we're going to be divided limited on this.
Yeah, which I would say, which is like a brainer for the semi because it's really a commodity of total cost of ownership. Yes, exactly. It's a kind of ridiculous demand for the semi. In that world where it's about how much do I spend to make a good exact same as per mile? It's a no brainer. Yeah, fundamentally, if you've got a semi where the fully considered cost per mile or for a ton of transport is better than say diesel truck, any company that doesn't adopt an electric semi will lose. It's not a subjective thing. It's like of whether do you like this? I mean, we want the style and we want we want to have a good old semi truck. But frankly, if you read an ugly semi truck, what a matter. Then further, she said the real hurdle is finding customers for 50,000 electric class eight trucks every year. And her argument is the market is limited because just 0.4% of new class eight registrations were electric last year. Okay, great. Well, when you consider that the Tesla semi isn't in production yet, and there aren't that many class eight electric trucks available in the region, what are you really expecting? As we've said many times in the past, the adoption for the Tesla semi may be a lot faster than on the consumer side because it's really all about the numbers. Here's one of the only forecasts I could find for the class eight truck market in the US and Canada for 2024. The numbers expected to be between 250 and 270,000 trucks. And if that number stays somewhat steady, that would mean Tesla only needs about 25% of that market alone to sell 50,000 semis per year. Max from the supercharger team at Tesla shared a nice graphic where the left we have the traditional build out with excavations compared to the pre assembled superchargers on the right. And most importantly, he said with the pre assembled method, the cost savings are being passed on to drivers.
Just to highlight the absurdity of some of these Tesla analysts on Wall Street, we have Deutsche Bank with a new Tesla price target. The firm reiterated a buy rating and a $295 price target. Right now, Tesla stock is at $328. So Deutsche Bank is telling you to buy it, but in the next 12 months, they're expecting it to go down over $30 per share. And yet these guys wonder why they get mocked by retail.
As Sawyer shared, the cybercab is now on display at Tesla's legacy West store in Plano, Texas, if you're in the area. The Tesla stock rally took a breather today ending the day at $328.49 down 6.15% while the NASDAQ was down 0.09%. The Tesla volume was 62% higher than the average.
Don't forget, check out Xter links below, take advantage of not only the holiday sale, but also my coupon code as well. I'm telling you they have a wide variety of options and they really do make excellent gifts for the holidays. Hope you guys have a wonderful day, please like the video if you did, you can find me on X-linked below and a huge thank you to all of my Patreon supporters.