Here's How Screwed Up The Polls Are...
发布时间 2020-10-19 19:00:11 来源
摘要
Joe Biden currently leads in the national polling against Donald Trump by an unprecedented 10.6%. Most people don't give these numbers too much weight as Donald Trump was able to win the election despite unfavorable polling numbers just four years ago. However, 10.6% is much larger than anything that we saw in 2016, and some polls even put Biden up by as much as 15%. But, these numbers are very unlikely to come to fruition as such numbers are generally indicative of an electoral landslide well into the 400s and even 500s. In fact, a 10.6% lead indicates that Joe Biden has a stronger lead than the greatest presidents in US history including John F. Kennedy, Franklin D. Roosevelt, and even Abraham Lincoln. This video compares Joe Biden's lead in the election polls with historical US election results to illustrate how absurd these numbers are likely to be and reasons as to why election polling is so off.
Socials:
https://www.instagram.com/hariharan.jayakumar/
Discord Community:
https://discord.gg/SJUNWNt
Timestamps:
0:00 - Joe Biden’s 10% Lead
1:12 - Ronald Reagan
2:21 - John F. Kennedy
3:25 - Franklin D. Roosevelt
4:24 - Abraham Lincoln
5:09 - Implications
6:55 - What Is Up With Polling?
8:23 - Loss Of Trust
10:17 - Non-Response Bias
Thumbnail Credit:
https://bit.ly/31lOXI5
Resources:
https://pastebin.com/NVDZ1JZN
GPT-4正在为你翻译摘要中......
