Tesla CEO Elon Musk: Tesla will have a 'ChatGPT moment' with full self-driving cars

You talk about enhancing humanity, you know I'm curious then about AI, which many people say will lead to great productivity gains. You show those robots, I mean I can imagine what they conceivably could do and powered by AI, but I'm also curious because you've certainly been concerned. What percentage do you give the chance that it will destroy humanity?

你谈到了提升人类，所以我很好奇人工智能，很多人认为它将会带来巨大的生产力和效益。你展示了那些机器人，我可以想象它们可能做到的事情，而且还搭载了人工智能，但也因为你显然很担心，我也很好奇会有多少的概率会毁灭人类？

Well the advent of artificial general intelligence is called a singularity because it is so hard to predict what will happen after that. I think it's very much a double edge sword. I think there's a strong probability that it will make life much better and that we'll have an age of abundance. And there's some chance that it goes wrong and destroys humanity, hopefully that chance is small, but it's not zero. And so I think we want to take whatever actions we can think of to minimize the probability that AI goes wrong. And you've called for a pause along with the number of other people.

人工智能的普及被称为“奇点（singularity）”，因为很难预测其之后会发生什么。我认为这是一把双刃剑。我认为它很有可能让生活变得更美好，开启一个丰富多彩的时代。但也有一些机会，让事情出错，甚至毁灭人类，希望这种机会很小，但它并非为零。因此，我认为我们应尽一切可能来减少 AI 失误的概率。与许多其他人一起，您呼吁暂停 AI 发展。

Yes, I look, when I call for a friend of mine, Max Taigmalk, as a physicist at MIT, you know I want to be a sign on to the letter. I know it would be futile. It is futile. It's futile. I know it would be futile. I just want to call it like it's one of those things. For the record, I am recommended that we pause. Did I think there would be a pause? Absolutely not.

当我叫我的朋友马克斯·泰格莫克（MIT的物理学家）的时候，我确实希望他能签署那封信。我知道这是徒劳无益的，但我想试试。就算没有结果，我也想让自己尝试一下。顺便说一下，我建议暂停一下。我以为会有暂停吗？当然不会。

You're starting X AI. I think that's what you're calling it. Or some new AI effort. How is it going to be different than open AI or alphabet? This is not the time to. We don't have enough time and nor is this the moment to really talk about it.

您正在启动X人工智能。我认为这就是您所说的东西，或者是一些新的人工智能尝试。它会与Open AI或Alphabet有什么不同？现在不是讨论这个的时候。我们没有足够的时间，也没有机会真正谈论它。

We will have a launch event and we will explore the issues in more detail. I should say that. And I mentioned this at the show hall meeting that Tesla has actually a communicability in real world AI. Yes. In fact, it is far ahead of anyone. I know people actually on Twitter, prior to our interview, were saying, you know, he never gets asked about how advanced his AI is. Tesla, you always talk about the other names. Tesla AI is.

我们将会举行一次发布活动，并更详细地探讨这些问题。这是我必须说的。我曾在展厅会议上提到，特斯拉实际上在现实世界的人工智能交流方面具有先进性。事实上，它远远领先于其他任何公司。我知道在我们的面试之前，Twitter上的人说你从来没有被问到过你的人工智能有多先进，你总是谈论其他公司的。特斯拉的人工智能是可以与其他公司咨询的。

I'm not even sure who's second, frankly. Why is that? What are people not understanding about what you have and why are we talking so much about chat GPT in general to the AI at open AI and what Microsoft's going to be able to do with it? And not about Tesla. People do talk about it online.

老实说，我甚至不确定谁是第二名。为什么会这样？人们不理解你拥有的东西是什么，为什么我们要这么多地谈论 AI 和 Microsoft 能做什么，而不是关于 Tesla 的。人们确实在线上谈论它。

I think Tesla will have a chat GPT moment. Maybe if not this year, I'd say no later than next year. Wait, say that again. I'm sorry. You're going to have a chat GPT moment. Oh, you will. In terms of suddenly it will. Yes. Suddenly, 3 million cars will drive themselves with no one. Right. It goes back to that. Right. 5 million cars and then 10 million cars.

我认为特斯拉将经历一个聊天 GPT 时刻。也许如果不是今年，那么最迟也要到明年。等等，再说一遍。抱歉，您将会有一个聊天 GPT 时刻。哦，您会的。突然，3百万辆车将不需要任何人驾驶自动驾驶。是的，就是这个意思。然后是5百万辆车，再到1千万辆车。