SI425: Passive Investing Is About to Face a Real Test ft. Cem Karsan
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What happens when the system holding global markets together begins to reach its breaking point? In the wake of the US midterm elections, Niels Kaastrup-Larsen is joined by Cem Karsan for a conversation about the powerful forces converging beneath the surface of the global economy. Mounting debt, rising populism, geopolitical confrontation and the battle for control of the US dollar are creating pressures that Cem believes cannot be contained indefinitely. He lays out a provocative scenario in which a financial crisis becomes the catalyst for a historic transformation of economic policy. As the old rules begin to unravel, the conversation turns to a question every investor must confront: how do you prepare for a world that may look radically different from the one we've known?-----JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK! - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Cem on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 00:00 - Introduction and the limits of passive investing02:23 - Market developments and early-November CTA performance05:23 - Volatility strategies, dispersion and pressure on hedge funds08:45 - What the US midterm elections could mean for markets12:40 - The four structural pressures threatening the US economy19:44 - The US dollar, geopolitical power and the future of monetary policy26:19 - Print money, buy stocks and the case for aggressive intervention30:49 - Inflation, populism and the economic implications of AI37:22 - The generational pendulum driving political and economic change44:46 - Why Cem believes a crisis may be necessary for meaningful change50:18 - Building resilient portfolios beyond the traditional 60/40 approach59:59 - Cem's timeline for a potential financial crisisCopyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved----PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here3. Other Resources that can help youAnd if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click HerePrivacy PolicyDisclaimer
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