S&P Global (SPGI), Novo Nordisk (NVO), Deckers (DECK) | Stock Analysis & Valuation (TIP857)
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摘要
In today’s episode, Stig Brodersen is joined by Tobias Carlisle and Hari Ramachandra for a new round of stock pitches. Hari makes the case for Novo, until recently the most valuable company in Europe, now priced as if its obesity franchise is a melting ice cube. Stig pitches S&P Global, the company behind the S&P 500 and one of the world’s great ratings businesses, and explains why it became his first new position in more than a year. Tobias breaks down Deckers Brands, the owner of HOKA and UGG, trading at 11 times earnings and buying back stock aggressively.
What you'll learn here:
00:00:00 - Intro
00:00:45 - Why Hari is bullish on Novo Nordisk (Ticker: NVO), trading at 12 times forward earnings with a 4.5% dividend and an oral obesity pill gaining traction.
00:14:37 - The bear case for Novo Nordisk, including Eli Lilly’s lead in efficacy and market share, Medicare price negotiations, and patent expiries in key markets.
00:23:56 - Why Stig is bullish on S&P Global (Ticker: SPGI), highlighting the ratings oligopoly, the economics of the S&P 500 index, and why he bought a starter position below $400.
00:43:05 - The bear case for S&P Global, including AI disruption of Market Intelligence, competition from startups like AlphaSense and Rogo, and whether 23 times earnings is cheap enough.
00:55:50 - Why Tobias is bullish on Deckers (Ticker: DECK), emphasizing $1.6 billion in net cash, buybacks of 80% of free cash flow, and thoughtful capital allocation.
01:14:00 - The bear case for Deckers Brands, including slowing HOKA growth, the fashion risk in UGG, a squeezed consumer, and the low base rate for brands re-accelerating growth.
Transcript & Guest Info: https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/episodes/mastermind-q4-2026-sp-global-novo-deckers-brands/
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#StockPicks #NovoNordisk #SPGlobal #DeckersBrands #ValueInvesting
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