Optimus: Elon Musk Admits Toughest Tesla Challenge Yet, Slow Ramp Ahead! #shorts
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埃隆·马斯克正在积极管理人们对 Optimus 机器人产量提升的预期,以回应那些可能认为他“过于乐观”的潜在批评者。他解释说,搞对设计并实现规模化生产是一个“极其困难的问题”,这不仅需要关注功能性,还需要仔细考虑耐用性和磨损问题。
马斯克断言,Optimus 将是“特斯拉有史以来最难实现规模化生产的产品”,因为“几乎所有东西都是全新的”。与汽车产品不同,汽车产品有成熟的轮胎、玻璃等零部件供应链,而 Optimus 的零部件目前没有任何现成的供应链。
他明确警告说,Optimus 的生产爬坡将遵循“S形曲线”,但由于零部件的新颖性,“最初的阶段会非常平坦且漫长”。马斯克直接建议那些未来可能抱怨生产爬坡缓慢的投资者,回顾这些明确的声明,重申生产初期将“非常平坦和缓慢”,并且是“他们做过的最困难的事情”。
Elon Musk is proactively managing expectations for the Optimus robot's production ramp, addressing potential critics who might consider him "too optimistic." He explained that getting the design right and scaling production is an "extremely difficult problem," requiring not only functionality but also careful consideration of durability and wear.
Musk asserted that Optimus will be the "hardest product to scale manufacturing that Tesla has ever done" because "literally everything is new." Unlike automotive products with established supply chains for parts like tires and glass, Optimus lacks any existing supply chain for its components.
He explicitly warned that Optimus's production ramp will follow an "S-curve," but the "initial portion will be quite flat and long" due to the novelty of the parts. Musk directly advised investors with future complaints about a slow ramp to refer back to these clear statements, reiterating that the beginning of production will be "very flat and slow" and the "hardest thing they've ever done."
