Tesla Dominates: Chinese EV Makers Surge Ahead! #shorts

以下是内容的中文翻译： 这份是所提供转录的摘要，包含了每个不同的要点： 1. **最初预测（2023年6月提出，关于2030年）：** 演讲者预测2030年汽车销量排名前十的公司将是： * **第一名：** 特斯拉。 * **第二至第十名：** 中国电动汽车制造商。 * **最初的但书/附带条件：** 这个最初的预测包括“一两个惊人的例外”，即一些传统汽车公司会奇迹般地避免破产，仍能销售可观数量的电动汽车，而且重要的是，它们会获得特斯拉全自动驾驶（FSD）技术的授权。演讲者指出，他对FSD授权的这一预期，是在他意识到这些公司“愚蠢透顶”（直译：太弱智了）以至于不会这样做 *之前* 提出的。 2. **当前评估（2030年之前）：** 演讲者表示，虽然现在还没到2030年，但迄今为止的数据表明，最初的预测“似乎在方向上是正确的”，并且“实际上可能已被证明完全正确”。 3. **修正后的预测/道歉：** 演讲者承认其最初的预测有一个“重大但书”。他们曾假设，尽管传统汽车公司“无能、缺乏竞争力且脑子严重受损”（直译：严重脑损伤），但其中一些公司会同意获得特斯拉FSD的授权，因为他们明白，要想生存，就必须从“仅仅是一家汽车公司”转型为“一家科技公司”或“一家出行服务公司”。 4. **纠正与最终修订：** 演讲者为此道歉，纠正记录，并更新了他们的预测，表示他们“太高估这些公司了”。他们现在意识到这些“混蛋比我原先想象的还要愚蠢”。 5. **修订预测的结论：** 演讲者宣称“没有什么奇迹可言”，因此，到2030年，传统汽车公司中将**不会有“惊人的例外”**能存活在销量前十名中。

Here's a summary of the provided transcription, including every distinct point: 1. **Original Prediction (Made in June 2023, regarding 2030):** The speaker predicted the top 10 selling automotive companies by vehicles sold in 2030 would be: * **Number one:** Tesla. * **Numbers two through ten:** Chinese EV makers. * **Initial Caveat:** This original prediction included "one or two stunning exceptions" of legacy auto companies that would miraculously avoid bankruptcy, still sell meaningful numbers of EVs, and, importantly, would have licensed Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology. The speaker noted this FSD licensing expectation was made *before* realizing they were "too retarded" to do so. 2. **Current Assessment (Before 2030):** The speaker states that, while it's not yet 2030, the data so far indicates the original prediction "appeared to have been directionally correct" and "may in fact turn out to have been right on the money." 3. **Revised Prediction / Apology:** The speaker acknowledges a "major caveat" to their original prediction. They had assumed that despite legacy auto companies' "ineptitude, incompetence, and severe brain damage," some would have agreed to license Tesla FSD, understanding that to survive they would need to transition from "just an automotive company" to a "technology company" or "transport as a service company." 4. **Correction and Final Revision:** The speaker apologizes, corrects the record, and updates their prediction, stating they "gave them far too much credit." They now realize these "motherfuckers are even dumber than I realized." 5. **Conclusion of Revised Prediction:** The speaker declares there are "no such thing as miracles" and, therefore, there will be **no "stunning exceptions"** of legacy auto companies surviving in the top 10 by 2030.