Professor Jiang: World War 3 Has Already Begun, Let Me Explain!

这位演讲者此前曾准确预测了唐纳德·特朗普在2024年大选中获胜、随后美国与伊朗爆发战争以及美国在这场冲突中失利。如今他又公布了一系列针对近期的、极具争议的新预测。他将这些预测置于一个宏大的地缘政治棋盘之上，认为美利坚帝国正在衰落，而全球各国势力则在争夺影响力。 他声称，美国挑起对伊朗的战争是为了保护石油美元。石油美元受到俄罗斯对乌克兰制裁（资产冻结、SWIFT排除）的反击以及俄中伊三国“欧亚铁路系统”联盟成立的威胁，该联盟将使用黄金作为交易媒介。通过攻击伊朗，美国旨在控制中东能源供应，从而迫使全球依赖美国能源，并挽救其经济主导地位。然而，他预测美国将“输掉”这场战争——并非军事上的失败，而是通过代价高昂的地面入侵，遭遇伊朗的顽强抵抗，导致美国内部政治混乱，最终迫使美国从中东撤退。他解释说，伊朗的战略包括利用其多山的地形进行游击战，并威胁重要的霍尔木兹海峡以造成经济损失。 这位演讲者将特朗普的行动与美国一项更宏大的“国防战略”联系起来：确保西半球安全，迫使盟友增加国防开支，通过经济手段扼杀中国（例如，通过马六甲海峡），并提振美国国防制造业。他颇具争议地提出，从这一战略角度来看，对伊朗的战争对特朗普来说“进展非常顺利”。 他的新预测包括： 1. **特朗普的第三个任期：** 他预见特朗普将获得第三个总统任期，可能通过宪法漏洞，例如其子作为副总统参选后辞职，或者在长期冲突期间通过紧急战争权力推迟选举。 2. **美中大交易：** 中国将避免直接冲突，转而在美国和俄罗斯之间周旋，进行互利的经济交易（例如，通过购买美国国债换取市场准入），而另外两个大国则相互对抗。 3. **伊朗：一场永久战争与全国征兵：** 对伊朗的战争将成为一场旷日持久的“永久战争”，服务于美国的战略利益。这将需要全国征兵，从12月开始，所有18-24岁的美国男性都将自动登记入伍。 4. **人工智能监控国家：** 世界将加速迈向一个由人工智能驱动的监控国家，利用数字身份和数字货币监控并控制所有在线活动和金融交易，预测并影响个人行为。 5. **大以色列计划实现：** 一旦美国撤出中东，以色列将实现其“大以色列计划”，征服从尼罗河到幼发拉底河的广大区域，并消除土耳其等剩余的竞争对手。 6. **北约与俄罗斯争夺敖德萨：** 俄罗斯将夺取关键的乌克兰港口敖德萨，从而控制黑海和全球大部分碳水化合物出口，导致与北约的直接军事对抗。 7. **东亚冲突：** 东亚将出现燃点，包括围绕台湾的冲突（日本战略性介入）、马六甲海峡的控制权，以及朝鲜利用地区混乱向韩国勒索。 演讲者认为，这些事件最终导致第三次世界大战的可能性为80-90%，其推动力是全球大国之间相互冲突的“大战略”。他预计，随着美国试图控制全球海上咽喉要道，美俄“影子舰队”之间将发生直接海战。他认为，俄罗斯将被迫介入伊朗，并通过提供资源、资金和核保护将中国也卷入冲突，从而使战争全球化升级。 他最后预测，美利坚帝国将在未来5-10年内崩溃，并将其与青铜时代崩溃进行类比，这将导致广泛的资源稀缺和大规模难民迁徙。尽管前景如此严峻，他仍传递了一个充满希望的哲学信息，强调现实即意识，个体是“上帝的分形”。他鼓励人们专注于个人美德、韧性和社区建设，暗示这些个人努力可以共同改变被强大的“金融精英”通过媒体、教育和文化叙事所操纵的、被感知的“现实”——他将这种情况比作柏拉图的“洞穴寓言”。

The speaker, having previously made accurate predictions about Donald Trump's 2024 election win, the subsequent US war with Iran, and the US losing that conflict, unveils a series of new, highly controversial predictions for the near future. He frames these predictions within a grand geopolitical chessboard, where the US empire is in decline, and various global powers are vying for influence. He asserts that the US instigated the war with Iran to protect the petrodollar, which was threatened by Russia's response to Ukraine sanctions (asset freezes, SWIFT exclusion) and the formation of a Russia-China-Iran "Eurasian railway system" alliance that would use gold as a medium of exchange. By targeting Iran, the US aimed to control Middle Eastern energy supplies, thereby forcing global reliance on American energy and salvaging its economic dominance. However, he predicts the US will "lose" the war—not by military defeat, but through a costly ground invasion that faces fierce Iranian resistance, causing internal US political chaos and ultimately forcing a US retreat from the Middle East. Iran's strategy, he explains, involves leveraging its mountainous topography for guerrilla warfare and threatening the crucial Strait of Hormuz to inflict economic damage. The speaker ties Trump's actions to a larger US "National Defense Strategy": securing the Western Hemisphere, forcing allies to increase defense spending, economically strangling China (e.g., via the Strait of Malacca), and boosting US defense manufacturing. He controversially suggests that, viewed through this strategy, the war with Iran is "going very well" for Trump. His new predictions include: 1. **Trump's Third Term:** He foresees Trump securing a third presidential term, possibly via a constitutional loophole where his son runs as VP and then abdicates, or through emergency war powers that delay elections during a prolonged conflict. 2. **US-China Grand Bargain:** China will avoid direct conflict, instead triangulating between the US and Russia, engaging in mutually beneficial economic deals (e.g., buying US treasuries for market access) while the other two powers clash. 3. **Iran: A Forever War & National Draft:** The war in Iran will become a protracted "forever war," serving US strategic interests. This will necessitate a national draft, with automatic registration for all American males aged 18-24 starting in December. 4. **AI Surveillance State:** The world will accelerate towards an AI-powered surveillance state, utilizing digital IDs and currencies to monitor and control all online activities and financial transactions, predicting and influencing individual behavior. 5. **Greater Israel Project Achieved:** Once the US withdraws from the Middle East, Israel will achieve its "Greater Israel Project," conquering vast swathes of the region from the Nile to the Euphrates, and neutralizing remaining rivals like Turkey. 6. **NATO and Russia Fight for Odessa:** Russia will capture the critical Ukrainian port of Odessa, giving it control over the Black Sea and a significant portion of global carbohydrate exports, leading to direct military confrontation with NATO. 7. **East Asia Conflict:** Flashpoints will emerge in East Asia, including conflicts over Taiwan (with Japan's strategic involvement), control of the Strait of Malacca, and North Korea exploiting regional chaos to extort South Korea. The speaker assigns an 80-90% probability to these events culminating in World War III, driven by the conflicting "grand strategies" of global powers. He anticipates direct naval clashes between the US and Russian "shadow fleets" as the US attempts to control global maritime choke points. Russia, he argues, will be compelled to intervene in Iran, bringing China into the conflict by providing resources, finance, and nuclear protection, thereby escalating the war globally. He concludes by predicting the collapse of the American empire within the next 5-10 years, drawing parallels to the Bronze Age collapse, which will lead to widespread resource scarcity and mass refugee migrations. Despite this dire outlook, he offers a philosophical message of hope, emphasizing that reality is consciousness, and individuals are "fractals of God." He encourages people to focus on personal goodness, resilience, and community building, suggesting that these individual efforts can collectively transform the perceived "reality" that is currently manipulated by a powerful "financial elite" through media, education, and cultural narratives—a situation he likens to Plato's Allegory of the Cave.