In a thought-provoking episode of The VergeCast, host Jake Kastrzanakis interviews Atlantic staff writer Rose Horowicz about her article, "The End of Reading is Here." Horowicz presents alarming statistics and insights into the decline of reading, its intimate ties to technology, and the potential societal implications.
Horowicz's article highlights stark figures: fewer than half of all adults reported reading a book of any kind in 2022, and the proportion of Americans reading for pleasure on any given day fell to just 16% in 2023. Gambling has even surpassed reading a book as a common leisure activity. While acknowledging historical warnings about reading's demise (like those from Marshall McLuhan in 1962 or Neil Postman in 1985), Horowicz argues that these predictions, though not immediately apocalyptic, accurately foretold a *gradual* yet persistent decline. The trend lines, she asserts, are clear. This decline is not confined to any single demographic, affecting even historically avid readers such as retirees, college graduates, and women.
A crucial distinction Horowicz makes is between the sheer volume of words consumed and the *type* of reading being lost. Americans are "probably reading more words than ever before," bombarded by emails, texts, social media posts, and captions. However, this constant influx of short-form text comes at the expense of "rich and complex text... read for a sustained period of time and deeply." Horowicz defines this shift as "post-literacy," not illiteracy, a change in what we understand "reading" to mean.
The biggest drivers of this decline are deeply intertwined with technology. Television initially crowded out reading time. More recently, streaming services, smartphones, and broadband internet have made it "so much easier not to read," offering infinite scrolling and continuous entertainment that discourages sustained attention. Cognitive scientists explain that while our brains haven't fundamentally changed, we become accustomed to immediate gratification. Horowicz cites research showing the average attention span on a screen dropped from two and a half minutes to 47 seconds in just 15 years, demonstrating how our constant media consumption conditions us for rapid switching.
This attention span crisis extends beyond reading. Horowicz notes that film professors observe feature-length movies are now too long for students, who are accustomed to "flicking from one short-form video to the next." This suggests a broader "end of attention spans" for anything "meaty" or demanding sustained focus.
In education, where Horowicz's primary beat lies, a parallel shift is occurring. Curricula have moved away from assigning full books; a recent survey found most middle and high school teachers assign between zero and four books a year, favoring excerpts and comprehension drills for standardized tests. Furthermore, technology is increasingly integrated into classrooms, with 80% of elementary teachers reporting students receive digital devices before kindergarten. College professors note a "fundamental change" in students' relationship to text, where reading is perceived as an "arbitrarily difficult way to get information," preferring AI-generated summaries.
Asked why this decline is a problem, Horowicz explains that it's not about the inherent inferiority of podcasts or TikTok, but about a fundamental societal shift. The medium we use to communicate shapes our thinking, politics, and culture. Moving from the written word to more oral and visual forms will fundamentally change our consciousness and what society values.
The emergence of AI adds another layer of complexity. AI is unique in its ability to *write* for us. Horowicz expresses concern that over-reliance on AI for writing might prevent individuals from engaging in the critical thinking process that writing itself fosters – the act of "figuring out what you think." Paradoxically, while AI generates immense volumes of text, often polished and convincing, it simultaneously demands (and threatens to erode) our critical discernment skills to identify inaccuracies or biases within its output.
While most experts don't foresee a return to a book-centric world, Horowicz discusses potential paths forward. Cell phone bans in schools, for instance, have shown positive results, with one Dallas school district seeing a 200,000 increase in library book checkouts after implementing a ban. Ultimately, Horowicz suggests that restoring deep reading is "an act of will" – a conscious decision by individuals and society to value and preserve the unique benefits that reading offers, even amidst a sea of digital distractions.