Electrified - Tesla Buyer: Beware / New Tesla Semi Partnership / Optimus Preps for Cybercab ⚡️
发布时间:2026-01-28 01:55:27
原节目
以下是ElectroFide转录稿中提到的所有新闻内容的摘要:
**1. 特斯拉Semi卡车与Pilot公司合作建设充电网络:**
* **新合作:** 特斯拉已与Pilot(美国最大的旅行中心运营商)合作安装特斯拉Semi卡车充电桩。
* **地点:** 充电站将建在I-5、I-10沿线、几条主要走廊的指定Pilot地点,最终将扩展到美国东海岸。
* **时间表:** 首批站点预计于2026年夏季开放,建设将于今年上半年开始。
* **首批州份:** 建设将从加利福尼亚州、佐治亚州、内华达州、新墨西哥州和得克萨斯州开始。
* **充电桩规格:** 每个站点将设置4-8个充电桩,采用特斯拉的V4充电柜技术,每个充电桩可提供高达1.2兆瓦(MW)的电力。
* **兼容性:** 特斯拉的Dan Priestley证实,最初专注于特斯拉Semi卡车,但未来可能扩展到兼容使用MCS插头标准的其他制造商的重型电动汽车。
* **充电速度:** Semi卡车大部分500英里(约805公里)的续航里程可在30分钟充电时间内恢复,与专业司机的强制休息时间相符。
* **战略重要性:** 与Pilot(每天服务44个州和5个加拿大省的900多个地点,120万客人)的合作解决了公共、可靠的半挂车充电基础设施严重不足的问题,为特斯拉提供了优越的地产位置。提到的路线(I-5、I-10)对百事可乐等早期采用者至关重要。
**2. 特斯拉Semi卡车业务线:**
* 演讲者重申,特斯拉Semi卡车,包括其充电网络,是特斯拉又一个“万亿美元业务线”,尽管在CyberCab、Optimus和FSD的兴奋之中常常被忽视。
**3. 真正的V4超级充电站推广:**
* **首个真正的V4站点:** 特斯拉的Max证实,犹他州泰勒斯维尔的一个新超级充电站将提供500千瓦(kW)的电力,由V4充电柜供电,标志着它是首批“真正的V4站点”之一。
* **推广速度:** 推广速度目前较慢(“Giga Yorkline正在起步”),但预计会加速。截至目前,只有2-3个真正的V4站点上线。
* **益处:** 这些V4站点将主要惠及Cybertruck(高达500 kW)和Semi卡车(1.2 MW);其他特斯拉车型仍将保持在250 kW左右。
* **部署效率:** 据称V4充电柜部署成本更低,支持8个充电桩(高于之前的4个),功率密度高出约三倍,从而实现更快的整体部署。
**4. 机器人出租车定价与等待时间(Obi报告):**
* **Obi报告数据:** Obi(一个聚合网约车数据的应用)的一份报告,涵盖2023年11月27日至2024年1月1日的数据(来自Waymo、特斯拉、优步、Lyft的94,348次乘车)。
* **特斯拉激进的定价:** 特斯拉目前的平均每次乘车价格约为7.50美元(例如,旧金山为8.17美元,很少超过10美元)。这比竞争对手便宜50%以上:Waymo(约20美元)、优步(约17美元)和Lyft(约16美元)。特斯拉平均每公里1.99美元,是Obi见过的最低价格。
* **竞争对手定价变化:** Waymo现在的平均价格比优步贵12.7%,比Lyft贵27.3%。
* **等待时间:** 特斯拉的平均等待时间为15.3分钟,明显高于Waymo的5.7分钟。
* **机器人出租车调查:** 一项对2000人(加利福尼亚州、内华达州、得克萨斯州、亚利桑那州)进行的调查显示,人们对机器人出租车的接受度从35%上升到63%。45%的人表示竞争成本高昂是一个担忧,而超过50%的人仍然认为安全是一个持续的担忧。
* **奥斯汀机器人出租车运营:** 在奥斯汀最近的一次冬季风暴中,特斯拉暂时关闭了机器人出租车业务,但后来重新开放,而Waymo则下线了更长时间。许多乘车服务仍处于有人监督之下。
**5. 特斯拉硬件变更(机器人出租车与客户车辆):**
* **机器人出租车硬件:** 特斯拉的机器人出租车Model Y并非“标准版”,而是包含了额外的GPS和通信硬件。
* **侧方转向灯摄像头清洗器:** 机器人出租车Model Y现在配备了侧方转向灯摄像头自动清洗器,这项功能未来可能会推广到普通客户车辆。
* **硬件4.5:** 新的Model Y Performance车型正在搭载“硬件4.5”(可通过拉片识别),在零件目录中定价为2,300美元。尽管有人猜测可能存在第三个片上系统,但车内显示屏仍显示“FSD Computer 4”,并且尚未出现经确认的面向客户的差异。特斯拉代表提供了相互矛盾的信息。
* **新的前置摄像头外壳:** 一种新的挡风玻璃前置摄像头外壳,类似于CyberCab/机器人出租车版本,现已开始在客户车辆上搭载。这种设计旨在通过阻止车内空气交换,防止可能阻碍摄像头的冷凝和雾气。
* **柏林超级工厂Model Y更新:** 柏林超级工厂生产的所有Model Y车型现在都配备了更大的16英寸QHD屏幕(包括标准型号)。预计这项改变很快会推广到美国标准版Model Y。内饰环境氛围灯带也已从银色更新为灰色/黑色。
* **购买者注意事项:** 演讲者建议目前购买特斯拉的买家要谨慎,因为特斯拉正在迅速且持续地进行硬件变更,以完善其无人驾驶技术。
**6. 奥斯汀Optimus机器人数据收集:**
* **训练扩展:** 特斯拉计划于2月开始在奥斯汀超级工厂收集数据,以训练擎天柱机器人如何在工厂内操作。
* **方法:** 数据收集员佩戴多摄像头头盔和沉重背包,记录自己执行任务(例如整理零件),供擎天柱模仿。
* **猜测:** 演讲者推测这项训练可能是为了新的“拆箱”式CyberCab生产线,预示着擎天柱未来在生产中的作用。
**7. FSD政策、定价与沟通清晰度:**
* **无人监督FSD成本:** 据报道,特斯拉代表表示,一次性支付8,000美元购买FSD将包含无人监督版本,无需额外费用,尽管演讲者警告称这不具有法律约束力。
* **责任转移:** 演讲者担心,向无人监督FSD的过渡涉及特斯拉的重大责任转移,这可能不会“免费”,并且可能需要额外支付保险费用。
* **缺乏清晰度:** 演讲者将特斯拉缺乏清晰信息归因于公司本身仍在摸索这些方面将如何发展以及在什么时间表上实现。
* **Autopilot更名:** 特斯拉已在美国和加拿大取消“Autopilot”(自动辅助驾驶)一词,将其替换为“Traffic Aware Cruise Control”(交通感知巡航控制)作为基础高级驾驶辅助系统(ADAS)。这一变化与公众的误解和法律诉讼有关。
* **FSD一次性购买截止日期:** 购买FSD的截止日期是2月14日。
* **绑定车辆VIN的FSD:** 演讲者主要担心的是FSD与车辆VIN绑定,这意味着如果车辆报废,购买的FSD功能将丢失,而不是绑定到车主的个人账户。
* **沟通批评:** 演讲者批评特斯拉在这些FSD变更方面的沟通不畅,导致客户没有足够的数据做出明智的决定。
**8. “远程关闭开关”法案(《基础设施投资和就业法案》):**
* **2021年法案:** 国会于2021年通过了一项法案(《基础设施投资和就业法案》,第24-2-20节),要求汽车制造商安装技术以防止酒驾、吸毒驾驶或疲劳驾驶。
* **最近的投票:** 众议院最近投票否决了这项法案的该部分,但投票失败,这意味着2021年的原始规则仍然有效。
* **实施:** 美国国家公路交通安全管理局(NHTSA)负责如何实施这项技术,规则可能在2024年末出台,并于2027年左右在新车型中实施。
* **澄清:** 演讲者澄清,这并非政府可以远程停止汽车的“全面远程关闭开关”。
**9. 现代自动驾驶系统评估:**
* **内部评分:** 现代汽车测试了各种自动驾驶系统,其自有的“Atria AI”在技术成熟度方面仅获得100分中的25分。
* **特斯拉领先:** 特斯拉的自动驾驶技术得分为90/100,华为70分,Mobileye/Momenta 50分。
* **英伟达考量:** 现代正在讨论是保留其Atria AI品牌但使用英伟达的“Alpamaio”作为其基础模型,还是完全放弃Atria AI而采用英伟达的解决方案。
**10. CyberCab测试:**
* **广泛测试:** CyberCab的首席工程师埃里克表示,目前有“数十辆CyberCab”正在全国各地进行测试,包括阿拉斯加。
* **改进的上下车方便性:** 埃里克强调,CyberCab由于其设计,即使在狭窄空间内,也将提供比普通车辆更好的上下车方便性。
**11. 特斯拉新软件更新(充电功能):**
* 北美地区的新软件更新允许用户通过拉住并按住左后门把手三秒钟来停止充电并释放充电线,前提是车辆已解锁或附近有识别到的钥匙。(欧洲已经有此功能)。
**12. 特斯拉中国Model YL Plus传闻:**
* 有传言称,特斯拉中国可能会在今年第二或第三季度推出一款新的“Model YL Plus”,其电池组容量将达到88千瓦时(kWh),高于目前Model YL的82千瓦时。
**13. FSD 12.2.2.4推广:**
* 特斯拉目前正在向首批客户推送FSD 12.2.2.4版本。
**14. Figure公司Helix O2人形机器人:**
* **新演示:** Figure公司发布了其“Helix O2”人形机器人的新视频,称其为“迄今为止最强大的模型”。
* **完全自主与灵巧度:** 该机器人展示了完全自主地执行连续多分钟的任务,例如从头到尾洗碗。它展示了“长周期局部操作”,集成了移动、灵巧和感知能力。
* **高级能力:** Helix O2的触觉传感和手掌摄像头使其能够完成超越纯视觉的复杂操作任务,例如拧开瓶盖、捡药片和推注射器。
* **突破:** 关键突破在于该机器人能够在几分钟内一次性流畅地看到、感受、行走、抓取、平衡并纠正自己的错误。
* **演讲者印象:** 演讲者对这一进展印象深刻,但也平衡地提到了埃隆·马斯克关于擎天柱比FSD难100倍的说法,以及方舟投资公司估计人形机器人比自动驾驶难20万倍的说法。
**15. 通用汽车停止雪佛兰Bolt电动汽车生产:**
* **停产:** 通用汽车将停止在其堪萨斯州的工厂生产雪佛兰Bolt电动汽车。
* **替代:** 该堪萨斯工厂将转而生产燃油车型。
* **时间表:** 2027款雪佛兰Bolt电动汽车的生产将在其上市约18个月后结束。这标志着通用汽车正在“重新评估电动汽车的需求”。
**16. 埃隆·马斯克财报前夜的评论:**
* **航天工业价值:** 埃隆表示,航天工业的价值将大大超过地球上所有产业的总和。
* **特斯拉的价值(自动驾驶):** 他声称,由于自动驾驶技术,特斯拉的价值已经超过了汽车行业的其余部分。
* **擎天柱的影响:** 这一估值是在“擎天柱实现规模化生产并使地球GDP增加一个数量级之前”的。
**17. 特斯拉股票表现:**
* 特斯拉股价当日收盘价为430.90美元,下跌0.99%,在一个交易量极低(低于平均水平46%)的日子里,所有人都在等待财报。
Here's a summary of every single news item mentioned in the ElectroFide transcript:
**1. Tesla Semi & Charging Network Partnership with Pilot:**
* **New Partnership:** Tesla has partnered with Pilot (the nation's largest operator of travel centers) to install Tesla Semi-chargers.
* **Locations:** Stations will be built at select Pilot locations along I-5, I-10, several major corridors, and eventually on the East Coast.
* **Timeline:** The first sites are expected to open in Summer 2026, with construction beginning in the first half of this year.
* **Initial States:** Construction will start in California, Georgia, Nevada, New Mexico, and Texas.
* **Charger Specifications:** Each location will host 4-8 charging stalls, leveraging Tesla's V4 cabinet charging technology, delivering up to 1.2 megawatts (MW) of power per stall.
* **Compatibility:** Initially focused on Tesla Semi-trucks, but in the future, it may expand to be compatible with heavy-duty EVs from other manufacturers that use the MCS plug standard, as confirmed by Dan Priestley from Tesla.
* **Charging Speed:** The majority of a semi-truck's 500-mile range can be recovered in a 30-minute charging session, matching mandated break periods for professional drivers.
* **Strategic Importance:** This partnership with Pilot (serving 1.2 million guests daily across 900+ locations in 44 states and 5 Canadian provinces) addresses the significant lack of public, reliable semi-charging infrastructure, providing Tesla with prime real estate. The mentioned routes (I-5, I-10) are critical for early adopters like PepsiCo.
**2. Tesla Semi Business Line:**
* The speaker reiterated that the Tesla Semi, including its charging network, represents another "trillion-dollar business line" for Tesla, often overlooked amidst excitement for CyberCab, Optimus, and FSD.
**3. True V4 Supercharger Rollout:**
* **First True V4 Site:** A new Supercharger location in Taylorsville, Utah, is confirmed by Max from Tesla to deliver 500 kilowatts (kW) powered by the V4 cabinet, marking it as one of the first "true V4 sites" live.
* **Rollout Pace:** The rollout is currently slow ("Giga Yorkline is spooling up") but expected to accelerate. As of now, only 2-3 true V4 sites are live.
* **Benefits:** These V4 sites will primarily benefit Cybertruck (up to 500 kW) and the Semi (1.2 MW); other Tesla models will remain around 250 kW.
* **Deployment Efficiency:** V4 cabinets are said to be cheaper to deploy, support 8 stalls (up from 4), and have roughly three times higher power density, leading to faster overall deployments.
**4. Robotaxi Pricing & Wait Times (Obi Report):**
* **Obi Report Data:** A report by Obi (an app aggregating ride-hailing data) covering Nov 27 - Jan 1, 2024 (94,348 rides from Waymo, Tesla, Uber, Lyft).
* **Tesla's Aggressive Pricing:** Tesla's average price per ride is currently around $7.50 (e.g., $8.17 in San Francisco, rarely exceeding $10). This is over 50% cheaper than competitors: Waymo (~$20), Uber (~$17), and Lyft (~$16). Tesla averaged $1.99 per kilometer, the lowest Obi had ever seen.
* **Competitor Pricing Shift:** Waymo is now, on average, 12.7% more expensive than Uber and 27.3% more expensive than Lyft.
* **Wait Times:** Tesla's average wait time was 15.3 minutes, considerably higher than Waymo's 5.7 minutes.
* **Survey on Robotaxis:** A survey of 2,000 people (CA, NV, TX, AZ) showed comfortability with robotaxis increased from 35% to 63%. 45% cited high cost of competition as a concern, while over 50% still cited safety as a persistent worry.
* **Austin Robotaxi Operations:** During a recent winter storm in Austin, Tesla temporarily shut down robotaxi operations but reopened later, while Waymo was offline longer. Many rides are still supervised.
**5. Tesla Hardware Changes (Robotaxi & Customer Fleet):**
* **Robotaxi Hardware:** Tesla's robotaxi Model Ys are not "stock" and include additional GPS and communications hardware.
* **Side Repeater Camera Washers:** Robotaxi Model Ys now feature automatic washers for side repeater cameras, a feature likely to roll out to the general customer fleet eventually.
* **Hardware 4.5:** New Model Y Performance vehicles are shipping with "Hardware 4.5" (identifiable by a pull tab), listed at $2,300 in the parts catalog. While speculation exists about a third system on chip, current in-car displays still show "FSD Computer 4," and no confirmed customer-facing differences have emerged. Tesla reps have provided conflicting information.
* **New Front Camera Housing:** A new front camera housing on the windshield, similar to CyberCab/robotaxi builds, is now shipping on customer vehicles. This design aims to prevent condensation and haze that can obstruct cameras by blocking cabin air exchange.
* **Giga Berlin Model Y Updates:** All Model Y trims from Giga Berlin now come with a larger 16-inch QHD screen (including the standard model). This change is expected to come to US standard Model Ys soon. Interior ambient light strips have also been updated from silver to gray/black.
* **Caution for Buyers:** The speaker advises caution for those buying a Tesla currently due to the rapid and ongoing hardware changes as Tesla refines its technology for unsupervised driving.
**6. Optimus Robot Data Collection in Austin:**
* **Training Expansion:** Tesla plans to begin collecting data in February at the Austin Gigafactory to train Optimus robots how to operate within that facility.
* **Methods:** Data collectors wear helmets with multiple cameras and heavy backpacks to record themselves performing tasks (e.g., organizing parts) for Optimus to mimic.
* **Speculation:** The speaker speculates this training could be for the new "Unboxed" CyberCab manufacturing lines, anticipating Optimus's future role in production.
**7. FSD Policy, Pricing & Communication Clarity:**
* **Unsupervised FSD Cost:** A Tesla representative reportedly stated that an $8,000 upfront FSD purchase would include the unsupervised version without additional charges, though the speaker warns this is not legally binding.
* **Liability Shift:** The speaker raises concerns that the transition to unsupervised FSD involves a major liability shift to Tesla, suggesting it may not be "free" and could incur separate insurance costs.
* **Lack of Clarity:** The speaker attributes the lack of clear information from Tesla to the company itself still figuring out how these aspects will play out and on what timeline.
* **Autopilot Renaming:** Tesla has removed the "Autopilot" term in the US and Canada, replacing it with "Traffic Aware Cruise Control" as the base ADAS. This change is linked to public misunderstanding and legal actions.
* **FSD Outright Purchase Deadline:** The last day to buy FSD outright is February 14th.
* **VIN-Tied FSD:** A major concern for the speaker is FSD being tied to the vehicle's VIN, meaning the purchase is lost if the car is totaled, rather than being tied to the owner's personal account.
* **Communication Criticism:** The speaker criticizes Tesla's poor communication regarding these FSD changes, which leaves customers without enough data to make informed decisions.
**8. "Kill Switch" Legislation (Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act):**
* **2021 Bill:** Congress passed a bill in 2021 (Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, Section 24-2-20) requiring car manufacturers to install technology to prevent drunk, impaired, or drowsy driving.
* **Recent Vote:** The House of Representatives recently voted to stop this part of the bill, but the vote failed, meaning the original rule from 2021 remains in place.
* **Implementation:** NHTSA is responsible for figuring out how to implement this technology, with rules potentially by late 2024 and implementation in new car models around 2027.
* **Clarification:** The speaker clarifies that this is not an "overarching kill switch" where the government can remotely stop cars.
**9. Hyundai Autonomous System Evaluation:**
* **Internal Scores:** Hyundai Motor tested various autonomous systems, with its own "Atria AI" scoring only 25 out of 100 for technological sophistication.
* **Tesla's Lead:** Tesla's autonomous tech scored 90/100, Huawei 70, and Mobileye/Momenta 50.
* **Nvidia Consideration:** Hyundai is debating whether to retain its Atria AI brand but use Nvidia's "Alpamaio" as its foundation model, or to abandon Atria AI entirely for Nvidia's solution.
**10. CyberCab Testing:**
* **Widespread Testing:** Eric, lead engineer for CyberCab, stated that "dozens of CyberCabs" are testing around the country, including in Alaska.
* **Improved Ingress/Egress:** Eric highlighted that the CyberCab will offer better ingress and egress than regular vehicles, even in tight spaces, due to its design.
**11. New Tesla Software Update (Charging Feature):**
* A new software update for North America allows users to stop charging and release the charge cable by pulling and holding the rear left door handle for three seconds, provided the vehicle is unlocked or a recognized key is nearby. (Europe already had this feature).
**12. Tesla China Model YL Plus Rumor:**
* A rumor suggests Tesla China might debut a new "Model YL Plus" in Q2 or Q3 of this year, featuring an 88 kilowatt-hour (kWh) battery pack, up from the current Model YL's 82 kWh pack.
**13. FSD 12.2.2.4 Rollout:**
* Tesla is currently sending FSD 12.2.2.4 to an initial wave of customers.
**14. Figure's Helix O2 Humanoid Robot:**
* **New Demo:** Figure released new videos of its "Helix O2" humanoid, touting it as its "most powerful model to date."
* **Full Autonomy & Dexterity:** The robot demonstrated performing continuous, multi-minute tasks like doing dishes from start to finish, fully autonomously. It showcased "long horizon local manipulation," integrating locomotion, dexterity, and sensing.
* **Advanced Capabilities:** Helix O2's tactile sensing and palm cameras allow for complex manipulation tasks beyond pure vision, such as unscrewing bottle caps, picking pills, and pushing syringes.
* **Breakthrough:** The key breakthrough is the robot's ability to see, feel, walk, grab, balance, and correct its own errors in one smooth, continuous operation for several minutes.
* **Speaker's Impression:** The speaker is impressed by the progress but balances it with Elon Musk's statement that Optimus is 100 times harder than FSD, and Ark Invest's estimate that humanoids are 200,000 times harder than autonomous driving.
**15. GM Ending Chevy Bolt EV Production:**
* **Production Halt:** GM will end production of the Chevy Bolt EV at its plant in Kansas.
* **Replacement:** The Kansas factory will shift to making gas-powered models instead.
* **Timeline:** Production of the 2027 Chevy Bolt EV will conclude about 18 months after its arrival at dealerships. This signifies GM "reassessing demand for EVs."
**16. Elon Musk's Earnings Eve Comments:**
* **Space Industry Value:** Elon stated that space industries will vastly exceed the value of all of Earth.
* **Tesla's Value (Autonomy):** He claimed that due to autonomy, Tesla is already worth more than the rest of the auto industry.
* **Optimus Impact:** This valuation is "before Optimus reaches scale production and increases Earth GDP by an order of magnitude."
**17. Tesla Stock Performance:**
* Tesla's stock closed the day at $430.90, down 0.99%, on an incredibly low volume day (46% below average), as everyone awaits earnings.