The Sovereign Individual - Mastering the Transition to the Information Age - YouTube - PR Report #7 The Sovereign Individual::Chapter 7 - Transcending Locality
发布时间:2021-11-12 19:38:46
原节目
**PR 报告第七集:对《主权个人》第七章 "超越地域性:网络经济的兴起" 的总结**
这份 PR 报告的第七集总结了《主权个人》的第七章,"超越地域性:网络经济的兴起"。 这一章标志着本书的一个重大转变,从历史分析过渡到基于超级政治分析的未来预测。 本书的总体目标是让个人掌握知识,有效地应对向信息时代的过渡,而第 7 章是作者开始推测这一过渡将如何重塑世界的开始。
驱动分析的核心概念是“超级政治”,指的是改变暴力逻辑的隐藏变革因素。超级政治的一个关键要素是地形,即地理对权力行使的影响。 从历史上看,物理屏障以及通信和交通的限制将人类行为限制在局部范围内。 然而,技术进步,尤其是在过去的一个世纪里,使旅行变得更快、更便宜、更容易。 这降低了地域的重要性,并深刻地影响了我们的思维方式。
作者认为,当互联网出现时,最初将其比作“信息高速公路”是不准确的,因为这种比喻植根于以交通为中心的观点。 实际上,互联网提供信息的即时传输和共享,使其成为目的地而不是路线。
然后,本章深入探讨了网络经济的演变,将其分解为三个方面:促进普通工业领域的交易、信息技术新应用的出现,以及交易迁移到国家管辖范围之外。 在金融方面,这体现在银行应用程序、PayPal 等数字货币服务,以及最终,像比特币这样的去中心化加密货币。
一个主要主题是对“铸币税之死”的预期,即政府发行货币所获得的利润。 作者预测,随着个人获得对交易媒介的控制权,政府将失去对货币的控制权。 他们描述了一个拥有“网络现金”的未来,网络现金是唯一的、匿名的、可验证的加密素数序列。 他们认为,这种数字货币系统将允许更大的个人自主权和对财富的控制权,而独立于民族国家。
谈话扩展到探索非国家化的网络货币概念,强调其超越地域性、缺乏物质现实以及免受通货膨胀的特点。 与纸币不同,数字货币不会受到伪造的影响。 作者认为,私人货币将消除通货膨胀,因为市场竞争将迫使发行者保持其价值。 否则,将导致客户流失。
作者预测,由于来自网络货币的竞争,政府的税收能力下降时,他们将通过收紧信贷、提供更高的现金余额收益率以及重新货币化黄金来做出反应。 然而,截至 2021 年 11 月,情况并非如此,但未来可能会发生变化。他们还认为,投资者和企业家将成为资本和资源的主要控制者。 减少国家对资源的控制可以提高经济效率。 他们认为,与由民族国家主导的传统经济相比,这种转变将导致网络经济更高的复合增长率。 尽管存在潜在的转型困难,但他们仍然对全球经济的长期前景持乐观态度。
最后,作者指出一个历史趋势:减少用于战争和警察的资源是经济增长的关键因素。 随着信息时代的进步和民族国家力量的减弱,这一趋势将加速,进一步推动经济发展。 这与本书的总体论点相一致,即技术进步和主权个人的崛起是以 20 世纪民族国家为代价的。
This PR Report Episode 7 summarizes Chapter 7, "Transcending Locality: The Emergence of the Cyber Economy," from "The Sovereign Individual." The chapter marks a significant shift in the book, transitioning from historical analysis to future predictions based on megapolitical analysis. The overarching goal of the book is to equip individuals with the knowledge to navigate the transition to the Information Age effectively, and Chapter 7 is where the authors begin to speculate on how this transition will reshape the world.
The core concept driving the analysis is "megapolitics," which refers to the hidden factors of change that alter the logic of violence. A key element of megapolitics is topography, the influence of geography on the exercise of power. Historically, physical barriers and limitations on communication and transportation have confined human action to local scales. However, advancements in technology, especially over the last century, have made travel faster, cheaper, and easier. This has diminished the importance of locality and profoundly impacted our mindset.
The authors argue that when the internet emerged, initial analogies to an "information superhighway" were inaccurate because they were rooted in a transportation-centric view. The internet, in reality, offers instantaneous transfer and sharing of information, making it a destination rather than a route.
The chapter then delves into the evolution of the cyber economy, broken down into three aspects: the facilitation of ordinary industrial-area transactions, the emergence of novel applications of information technology, and the migration of transactions outside the jurisdiction of nation-states. In terms of finance, this translates into banking apps, digital money services like PayPal, and ultimately, decentralized cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.
A major theme is the anticipated "death of seigniorage," the profit governments make from issuing currency. The authors predict that governments will lose their power over money as individuals gain control over the medium of exchange. They describe a future with "cyber cash," encrypted sequences of prime numbers that are unique, anonymous, and verifiable. They believe such a digital money system will allow for greater individual autonomy and control over wealth, independent of nation-states.
The conversation expands to explore the concept of denationalized cyber money, emphasizing its transcendence of locality, lack of physical reality, and freedom from inflation. Unlike paper money, digital currency will not be subject to counterfeiting. The authors argue that private currencies will eradicate inflation because market competition will force issuers to maintain their value. Failure to do so would result in a loss of customers.
The authors predicted that as governments' ability to tax decreases due to competition from cyber currencies, they would respond by tightening credits, offering higher yields on cash balances, and remonetizing gold. However, that has not been the case in November of 2021, but things may change in the future. They also thought that investors and entrepreneurs would be the primary controllers of capital and resources. Reducing state control of resources improving economic efficiency. This transition, they believe, will lead to higher compound rates of growth in the cyber economy compared to traditional economies dominated by nation-states. Despite potential transition difficulties, they remain bullish about the long-term prospects for the global economy.
Finally, the authors point to a historical trend: the reduction in resources devoted to war and police as a key factor for economic growth. As the information age progresses and the power of nation-states diminishes, this trend will accelerate, further fueling economic development. This aligns with the book's overall thesis that technological advancements and the rise of the sovereign individual come at the expense of the 20th-century nation-state.