以下是将原文翻译成中文： 本次讲座介绍了一门课程，该课程重点关注1989年以来的30年间的权力与政治，这是一个与二战后相对稳定时期相比发生重大变化的时期。讲师强调了这一时期的冲击波，将冷战时期的稳定感与随之而来的快速转型进行了对比。 为了说明这种对比，讲座首先播放了一段1989年柏林墙倒塌的视频，捕捉了东欧各地对民主化的热情和希望。这与另一段来自2017年的视频形成了鲜明对比，该视频展示了极右翼德国另类选择党 (AfD) 的崛起，反映了政治不稳定以及对历史重演的担忧。 讲师强调了2016年英国脱欧和特朗普当选带来的冲击，并指出反建制政党的崛起不仅限于德国，而且在许多国家都可见。 课程的核心问题被提出：我们是如何从1989年的乐观情绪走到今天的局面？未来的挑战和前景是什么？我们如何才能朝着更好的未来前进？ 讲师概述了一种独特的方法，即利用政治学和政治理论的工具来研究历史，同时也利用历史来检验这些学科。1989年的事件为社会科学家提供了一个天然实验，为重新评估既定理论（例如现代化理论及其与民主的相关性）提供了新的数据。 讲座将考虑一系列普遍的观点，例如民主制度与国有经济不相容，或者民主化会导致积极的变化，并利用现在可获得的大量新数据对这些观点进行检验。讲师旨在结合实证分析和规范性思考，重点关注“未选择的道路”，例如北约的扩张。这同样适用于对“全球反恐战争”以及2008年及以后的金融危机的应对。 讲师会将对政治的考量与良好的公共政策以及如何实现它相结合，并探索实现理想结果和阻止不良结果的有效政治策略。 该课程分为五个部分。第一部分探讨共产主义的崩溃及其后果，包括单极世界的崛起以及新自由主义和华盛顿共识的影响。本节还将分析新的全球秩序，评估民主和国际机构的进展。 第二部分题为“历史终结的终结”，讲述了9/11事件、全球反恐战争和叙利亚的崩溃。它着眼于国家资本主义的兴起、俄罗斯作为全球大国的复兴以及商业在全球政治冲突中的作用。 课程的第三部分探讨了源于政府对金融危机的回应而产生的新型不安全政治。 课程的第四部分探讨了可以做些什么，以及政治精英们未能诊断和回应选民情绪的失败，最终导致出台的政策使经济不安全感等问题更加恶化。 最后，讲师介绍了诸如录音、办公时间、阅读材料和考试细节等后勤事项。办公时间将在每周举行。阅读材料将在Canvas上和纽黑文公共图书馆提供。学生将被要求从提供的题目列表中撰写两篇论文，并参加期末考试。禁止使用笔记本电脑、平板电脑和手机。最后，讲师表示他的讲课风格是互动的，并鼓励提问。

The lecture introduces a course focusing on power and politics in the 30 years since 1989, a period of significant change compared to the relative stability of the post-World War II era. The lecturer highlights the shockwaves of this period, contrasting the sense of stability during the Cold War with the rapid transformations that followed. To illustrate this contrast, the lecture begins with a video clip of the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989, capturing the enthusiasm and hope for democratization across Eastern Europe. This contrasts sharply with another video from 2017, showing the rise of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party, reflecting political instability and anxieties about repeating history. The lecturer emphasizes the shocks of 2016 with Brexit and Trump’s election and notes that the rise of anti-establishment parties is not limited to Germany, but is visible in a variety of countries. The central questions of the course are laid out: how did we get from the optimism of 1989 to the current state of affairs? What are the challenges and prospects going forward? And how can we move towards a better future? The lecturer outlines a distinctive approach that studies history using tools from political science and political theory, while also using history to test these disciplines. The events of 1989 present a natural experiment for social scientists, offering new data to re-evaluate established theories, such as modernization theory and its correlation to democracy. The lecture will consider a range of conventional wisdoms such as the long held assumption that democratic systems are incompatible with state run economies or that democratization leads to positive change, putting them to the test on the swath of new data now available. The lecturer aims to incorporate both empirical analysis and normative considerations, focusing on "paths not taken" such as the expansion of NATO. This also applies to responses to the "global war on terror" and the financial crisis of 2008 and beyond. The lecturer will combine considerations of politics with good public policy, and how to realize it and explores effective political strategies for achieving desirable outcomes and blocking undesirable ones. The course is structured into five sections. The first examines the collapse of communism and its aftermath, including the rise of a unipolar world and the influence of neoliberalism and the Washington Consensus. This section also analyzes the new global order, evaluating the progress of democracy and international institutions. The second part is titled “The end of the end of history” and deals with 9/11, the global war on terror and the collapse of Syria. It looks at the rise of state capitalism, the resurgence of Russia as a global power, and the role of business in global political conflicts. The third part of the course addresses the new politics of insecurity, stemming from the government responses to the financial crisis. The fourth part of the course deals with what can be done and the failures of political elites to diagnose and react to voter sentiment, which ultimately created policies that made issues such as economic insecurity even worse. Finally, the lecturer addresses logistical matters such as recording, office hours, readings, and exam details. Office hours will be held weekly. Readings will be available on Canvas and at the New Haven Public Library. Students will be expected to write two papers from a provided list of topics and take a final exam. Laptops, tablets and cell phones will be prohibited. Finally, the lecturer states his lecturing style is interactive and encourages questions.