Electrified - We Need to Talk: Elon / Horrendous EV Proposal / DeepSeek's Autonomy ⚡️
发布时间:2025-02-13 02:04:35
原节目
以下是迪伦·卢米斯的“电动化”节目的总结,重点关注其提出的关键议题和论点:
**埃隆·马斯克的政治立场与特斯拉的未来:** 卢米斯承认,人们担心埃隆·马斯克的政治言论正在影响特斯拉的品牌和销量,但他认为这种影响有限,不会严重阻碍公司的长期潜力。他认为,虽然目前“反埃隆团体”的声音很大,但特斯拉的技术进步和盈利能力最终将掩盖政治噪音。他坚信,未来当特斯拉的每股收益(EPS)预期提高,以及特斯拉人形机器人Optimus的C轮版本投产时,这将成为特斯拉市值的主要驱动力,特斯拉的股票将在那个时间窗口“开始疯狂上涨”。
他重申,如果特斯拉能够执行其路线图,那么它有望实现数万亿美元的市值。虽然他承认马斯克的政治参与可能会稍微延迟这个结果,但卢米斯强烈反对将马斯克免职的观点。他认为,免职马斯克会牺牲特斯拉的长期发展潜力,尤其是Optimus机器人项目,他认为这个项目需要马斯克的愿景和领导力才能实现大规模商业化。
卢米斯敦促那些持有不同政治观点的人信任特斯拉的技术和创新,并列举了FSD(完全自动驾驶)、Optimus和特斯拉能源方面的进展。他相信特斯拉的团队将继续执行,无论马斯克的政治评论如何,都会导致股票出现抛物线式上涨。
**特斯拉的装甲车合同:** 卢米斯强调,美国政府授予特斯拉一份价值4亿美元的装甲特斯拉车辆合同。他强调,这笔交易是在特朗普就职之前完成的,驳斥了优待待遇的说法。他计算出合同可能涉及超过7000辆汽车,尽管部分资金可能用于装甲升级。虽然这个数量不会对整体销量产生重大影响,但他认为这对特斯拉来说是一个积极的曝光机会,展示了其车辆的安全性、性能和美国制造的特性。
**拟议的电动汽车税:** 卢米斯批评参议院共和党人提出的一项提案,即对新购电动汽车征收1000美元的税,以支付联邦道路维修费用。他认为,这种前期费用负担过重,不公平地惩罚了所有电动汽车车主,甚至包括那些拥有较轻车辆的车主。他认为这与内燃机汽车车主每年缴纳的燃油税不同,并且对预算紧张的人来说尤其成问题。他建议,只有当真正担心重型车辆对道路造成磨损时,才应该对这些特定车辆征税,而不是对所有电动汽车征税。
**比亚迪的自动驾驶合作伙伴关系:** 卢米斯讨论了比亚迪与DeepSeek合作以增强其自动驾驶技术。他指出,比亚迪的股价因这一消息而上涨,但他警告说,这种合作关系在现实世界中的价值还有待观察。他强调了理论人工智能和实际应用之间的区别。尽管是特斯拉投资者,卢米斯支持竞争和自动驾驶技术的广泛应用,认为这是通往更安全道路的途径。
**特斯拉在中国的法律行动:** 卢米斯提到,有报道称特斯拉在中国起诉汽车车主和媒体,原因是他们声称车辆存在故障并发表批评文章。他认为美联社(AP)的描述具有误导性,暗示特斯拉正在压制言论自由。他澄清说,特斯拉赢得了这些案件中的大多数,调查通常揭示了驾驶员的失误。他捍卫特斯拉有权保护其品牌免受诽谤性言论的侵害,尤其是当这些言论传播广泛且未经证实的时候。
**特斯拉分析师报道和新闻:** 卢米斯简要提到了The Benchmark Company分析师米奇·莱格(Mickey Leg)给出的新的买入评级和475美元的目标价。他还提到了埃隆·马斯克的投资集团据报道对OpenAI提出了近1000亿美元的收购要约。他推荐Ground News,这是一个突出媒体偏见的平台,作为一个了解人工智能等复杂问题的工具。
**电动汽车洞察和特斯拉更新:** 卢米斯分享了彼得·罗林森(Peter Rawlinson)的观点,即180英里续航里程的电动汽车是未来,他质疑这种说法,并认为它在美国的市场有限。他报道了特斯拉的Cybertruck在墨西哥接受FSD测试。他分享了特斯拉餐厅(Tesla Diner)即将完工、中国潜在的新Model Y补贴以及在德州超级工厂(Gigatexas)发现Model Y的消息。他指出库存的2024款Cybertruck降价。他还强调了超级充电桩电缆上安装的防盗装置。最后,他提到了丰田新的电池制造工厂。
Here's a summary of Dylan Loomis's "Electrified" episode, focusing on the key topics and arguments presented:
**Elon Musk's Politics and Tesla's Future:** Loomis acknowledges concerns that Elon Musk's political statements are impacting Tesla's brand and sales, but he believes the effect is limited and won't significantly hinder the company's long-term potential. He argues that while the "anti-Elon group" is currently vocal, Tesla's technological advancements and profitability will ultimately overshadow the political noise. He's confident that in the future when Tesla's EPS expectations are raised and when Tesla Robotaxi season C Optimus is in production that this will be the driving force of Tesla's market cap and Tesla's stock will "start ripping people's faces off at some point in that window."
He reiterates his belief that Tesla is on track to achieve a multi-trillion dollar market cap if it executes its roadmap. While acknowledging that Musk's political involvement might slightly delay this outcome, Loomis strongly opposes the idea of removing Musk as CEO. He argues that removing Musk would sacrifice Tesla's long-term upside, particularly regarding the Optimus robot project, which he believes requires Musk's vision and leadership to reach mass commercialization.
Loomis urges those with differing political views to trust Tesla's technology and innovation, citing the progress in FSD, Optimus, and Tesla Energy. He believes Tesla's team will continue to execute, leading to a parabolic stock surge regardless of Musk's political commentary.
**Tesla's Armored Vehicle Contract:** Loomis highlights a $400 million contract awarded to Tesla by the US government for armored Tesla vehicles. He emphasizes that this deal was finalized before Trump's inauguration, debunking claims of preferential treatment. He calculates the contract could involve over 7,000 vehicles, though some funds will likely go towards armoring upgrades. While the volume won't significantly impact overall sales, he sees it as positive exposure for Tesla, showcasing the safety, performance, and American-made nature of its vehicles.
**Proposed EV Tax:** Loomis criticizes a proposal by Senate Republicans to impose a $1,000 tax on new EV purchases to cover federal road repairs. He argues that this upfront fee is disproportionately burdensome and unfairly punishes all EV owners, even those with lighter vehicles. He argues it's not equivalent to the annual gas taxes paid by ICE vehicle owners and is specifically problematic for people on tight budgets. He suggests that only if there is a legitimate concern of wear and tear on roads from heavy vehicles, then those specific vehicles should be taxed, not every EV.
**BYD's Autonomous Driving Partnership:** Loomis discusses BYD's collaboration with DeepSeek to enhance its autonomous driving technology. He notes that BYD's shares rose on the news but cautions that the real-world value of this partnership remains to be seen. He emphasizes the difference between theoretical AI and practical application. Despite being a Tesla investor, Loomis supports competition and widespread adoption of autonomy, seeing it as a path to safer roads.
**Tesla's Legal Actions in China:** Loomis addresses reports of Tesla suing car owners and media outlets in China over claims of vehicle malfunctions and critical articles. He argues that the AP's portrayal is misleading, suggesting that Tesla is suppressing free speech. He clarifies that Tesla has won most of these cases, with investigations often revealing driver error. He defends Tesla's right to protect its brand from defamatory claims, especially when they go viral and are unsubstantiated.
**Tesla Analyst Coverage and News:** Loomis briefly mentions a new buy rating and $475 price target from The Benchmark Company analyst Mickey Leg. He also notes Elon Musk's investor group's reported bid on OpenAI for nearly $100 billion. He promotes Ground News, a platform that highlights media bias, as a tool for staying informed on complex issues like AI.
**EV Insights and Tesla Updates:** Loomis shares Peter Rawlinson's view that 180-mile range EVs are the future, questioning the claim and instead believes it will have a limited market in America. He reports on Tesla's Cybertruck being tested with FSD in Mexico. He shares updates on the Tesla Diner nearing completion, potential new Model Y subsidies in China, and sighting of Model Y at Gigatexas. He notes the price reductions on 2024 Cybertrucks in inventory. He also highlights anti-theft devices being installed on supercharger cables. Lastly, he touches on Toyota's new battery manufacturing facility.