In episode 31 of the Acquired podcast, hosts Ben Gilbert and David Rosenthal welcome Brad Stone, senior executive editor of Global Technology at Bloomberg and author of "The Everything Store" (about Amazon) and "The Upstarts" (about Airbnb and Uber). The episode dives into the story of the merger between Uber and Didi Chuxing in China, a tumultuous battle that had significant implications for the ride-sharing industry worldwide.
The narrative begins in 2012 when Uber, already a rising force in the US, recognized a potential threat from London-based Halo's plans to expand into the US market. Simultaneously, ride-sharing pioneers like Lyft and Sidecar were gaining traction in the US, prompting Uber to launch Uber X. As the ride-sharing market boomed, entrepreneurs globally took notice, particularly in China, where around 30 companies emerged to compete. Among these was Didi Dache, founded by Chang Wei and Wang Gong, former Alibaba employees.
Brad Stone highlights Chang Wei's humility and ruthless drive to succeed. He emphasizes how Halo's earlier public announcement of its international expansion inadvertently spurred entrepreneurship in China. The early competition among the 30 Chinese companies was fierce, with companies aggressively burning cash by heavily subsidizing rides. Didi Dache, recognizing Tencent's potential, strategically partnered with the company and integrated into WeChat, propelling the firm forward through a red-envelope promotion to drive payment volume.
Yuri Milner from DST, who missed out on investing in Uber, invested in Didi and started brokering a deal between Didi and Quadi. Recognizing the looming threat of Uber, the parties were more amenable to a deal. Didi secured 60% of the merged company and appointed Chang Wei as CEO.
Uber, aware of the Chinese market's potential, initiated clandestine testing in 2013. As Didi and Quadi focused on their merger, Uber seized the opportunity to gain a 30% market share. However, Uber’s CEO, Travis Kalanick, underestimated Didi and offered to acquire the Chinese company for a 40% stake, which Chang Wei rejected.
The rejection ignited a costly battle, with both companies raising billions to subsidize rides. Didi made a shrewd move by investing in Uber's rivals globally, including Lyft, Ola in India, and Grabtaxi in Southeast Asia, forming a global alliance against Uber. Brad Stone points out that Uber initially dismissed the alliance, believing its capital advantage would prevail. However, Didi's investments from Apple and Foxconn led Uber executives to question their ability to win.
By the summer of 2016, Didi claimed 85% market share and operated in 400 Chinese cities, while Uber operated in only 100. Under investor pressure, Uber initiated peace negotiations. Within weeks, a deal was reached where Uber sold its China operations to Didi in exchange for a 17% equity stake, a billion-dollar investment, and a board seat. Brad Stone sees this outcome as a victory for Didi, gaining the market and the absence of a major rival.
The hosts then turn to grading the transaction, with David and Ben awarding B+ and A- to Uber, respectively, and B- and B+ to Didi. Brad chooses not to grade the transaction. The hosts discuss whether Uber could have IPO’d earlier if it did not engage in the costly battle in China, and the importance of building a moat versus torching the Earth.